Tuesday Tidbits

Tuesday Tidbits

Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

From the Omicron front, the Wall Street Journal reports that

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention added to research suggesting the Omicron variant can lead to reinfections that are often accompanied by mild Covid-19 symptoms, as new cases soared across the U.S.

States reported 512,553 cases on Monday—the most for a single day since the start of the pandemic—as states caught up after pausing for the Christmas holiday, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University. The tally lifted the seven-day average of reported cases to 237,061, 15,000 less than the pandemic high recorded about a year ago.

The report for Monday didn’t include North Carolina, South Carolina and Rhode Island, which remained on pause. That gap and more blackouts in reporting during the New Year weekend are expected to muddy the tracking of the full extent of the pandemic’s trajectory until January, when reporting catches up. 

Covid-19 testing was also less prevalent earlier in the pandemic, complicating case-rate comparisons from one surge to another. As with earlier variants, tracking Omicron’s spread in the U.S. has been a challenge for public-health officials. The CDC on Tuesday estimated that Omicron was responsible for 59% of new infections for the week through Dec. 25 and 23% for the week through Dec. 18. Last week, the CDC had estimated Omicron drove some 73% of infections in the week through Dec. 18. The CDC said Tuesday that the latest figures fell within the bounds of its statistical model and that the trend of Omicron’s increasing prevalence among U.S. cases is clear. 

Bloomberg adds

The omicron-fueled U.S. surge in Covid-19 cases appears to be triggering a lower rate of hospitalizations than earlier waves, more evidence that the highly transmissible variant leads to milder symptoms than other strains. 

The seven-day average of new cases hit 206,577 on Sunday, roughly 18% lower than the all-time high recorded on Jan. 11, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Meanwhile, hospitalizations rose to a seven-day average of 8,964, only half their earlier peak recorded in January. * * *

Even when patients do end up in the hospital with omicron, they appear to spend less time there. However, the increasing numbers of breakthrough infections among vaccinated people may skew hospitalization data, said Jeffrey Morris, professor and director of the biostatistics division at the University of Pennsylvania’s Perelman School of Medicine.

“It appears there is less risk of hospitalized disease across the board, but we have to be a little bit careful about interpreting that,” he said in a phone interview. The rate of hospitalizations and deaths may appear artificially lower because breakthrough cases tend often turn out to be mild, Morris said.

From the Affordable Care Act front, the Department of Health and Human Services issued the first round of 2023 Benefit and Payment Parameter rules today. Here’s a link to the CMS fact sheet which describes big, disruptive proposed changes to the federal and state marketplaces. For example

CMS proposes to require issuers in the FFMs and State-based Marketplaces on the Federal Platform (SBM-FPs) to offer standardized plan options at every product network type, metal level, and throughout every service area that they offer non-standardized options in plan year (PY) 2023. For example, if an issuer offers a non-standardized gold plan in a particular service area, that issuer must also offer a standardized gold plan in that same service area. CMS is not proposing to require issuers to offer standardized plan options at product network types, metal levels, and throughout services areas in which they do not offer non-standardized options. CMS has designed two sets of standardized plan options at each of the bronze, expanded bronze, silver, silver cost-sharing reduction (CSR) variations, gold, and platinum metal levels of coverage, with each set being tailored to the unique cost-sharing laws in different sets of states. CMS also proposes to display these standardized options differentially on HealthCare.gov and to resume enforcement of the existing standardized plan option differential display requirements for web brokers and QHP issuers utilizing a Classic Direct Enrollment or Enhanced Direct Enrollment pathway.

The key aspect of these rules applicable to the FEHB Program is the disclosure of the 2023 limits on in-network cost sharing. The fact sheet explains that

CMS will issue the 2023 benefit year premium adjustment percentage, the maximum annual limitation on cost sharing, reduced maximum annual limitation on cost sharing, and the required contribution percentage (payment parameters) in guidance by January 2022, consistent with policy finalized in the 2022 Payment Notice (86 FR 24140). 

These rules also routine tweak the medical loss ratio rules under which FEHB community rated plans generally operate.

From the No Surprises Act front, the Internal Revenue Service released Rev. Proc. 2022-11. This Rev. Proc. explains that

For an item or service furnished during 2022, the group health plan or group or individual health insurance issuer must calculate the qualifying payment amount by increasing the median contracted rate (as determined in accordance with § 54.9816-6T(b), 29 CFR 2590.716-6(b), and 45 CFR 149.140(b))8 for the same or similar item or service under such plan or coverage, on January 31, 2019, by the combined percentage increase as published by the Department of the Treasury (Treasury Department) and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to reflect the percentage increase in the consumer price index for all urban consumers (U.S. city average) (CPI-U) over 2019, such percentage increase over 2020, and such percentage increase over 2021. * * *

This Rev. Proc. provides that combined (2019-2021) CPI-U adjustment for next year which of course begins on Saturday:

For items and services provided on or after January 1, 2022, and before January 1, 2023, the combined percentage increase to adjust the median contracted rate is 1.0648523983.10 Pursuant to this revenue procedure, group health plans and group and individual health insurance issuers may round any resulting qualifying payment amount to the nearest dollar.

Example. A group health plan sponsor calculates a median contracted rate for a service with service code X; the service is not an anesthesia service or air ambulance service. The median contracted rate for service code X is $12,480 as of January 31, 2019. For a service with service code X furnished during 2022, increasing the median contracted rate by the combined percentage increase of 1.0648523983 results in $13,289.36; rounding to the nearest dollar results in a qualifying payment amount of $13,289.

From the upcoming new year department —

  • Fedweek offers advice to federal employees on paycheck changes to expect / confirm in the first paycheck of 2022 which, “[d]epending on the payroll provider, employees typically receive a pay distribution late in the week following the end of a pay period [here January 15] or early in the week subsequent to that.”
  • STAT News again peers into its crystal ball and predicts / discusses three challenges facing hospitals next year: Staffing, federal assistance, and patient capacity. On that last challenge

The bright spot is that the health care system could have another tool in its arsenal to fight Covid-19 in 2022 — antivirals that could reduce hospitalizations even if people become infected. There are some logistical challenges around deploying the pills, as they have to be taken early in the course of the Covid-19 infection. If the United States can capitalize on their potential, the treatments have the potential to relieve the worst of the pressure that 2022 could bring to bear on weary hospitals.

Holiday Weekend Update

The FEHBlog trusts that his readers had a Merry Christmas.

Congress is on a break until next week when the second session of the 117th Congress kicks off.

On Saturday, January 1, 2022, the surprise billing protections of the federal No Surprises Act take effect.

From the Omicron front, Bloomberg’s Prognosis informs us that

The coronavirus that causes Covid-19 can spread within days from the airways to the heart, brain and almost every organ system in the body, where it may persist for months, a study found.

In what they describe as the most comprehensive analysis to date of the SARS-CoV-2 virus’s distribution and persistence in the body and brain, scientists at the U.S. National Institutes of Health said they found the pathogen is capable of replicating in human cells well beyond the respiratory tract.

The results, released online Saturday in a manuscript under review for publication in the journal Nature, point to delayed viral clearance as a potential contributor to the persistent symptoms wracking so-called long Covid sufferers. Understanding the mechanisms by which the virus persists, along with the body’s response to any viral reservoir, promises to help improve care for those afflicted, the authors said.

An opinion piece in STAT News discusses a trend in COVID weekly new death statistics in the U.S. that the FEHBlog noticed in last Thursday’s post:

Several colleagues and I [Duane Schulthess] at Vital Transformation began closely following the data on Covid-19 early in the pandemic.

Since that time, we’ve kept a keen eye on the relationship between cases and deaths, particularly during the recent waves, which have been influenced by improved treatments and vaccines, as well as by new variants. There are legitimate concerns about the trajectory of the newest variant, Omicron, and public health experts are paying close attention to the exponentially mounting cases, particularly in the United Kingdom, which in the past has functioned as a canary in the Covid-19 coal mine for the U.S.

While early reports from South Africa suggested that Omicron might cause less-severe Covid-19, the rapidly mounting case numbers and overall transmissibility have been alarming, particularly in the U.K. According to a Dec. 10 government technical briefing(see page 17), Omicron cases were expanding by 35% per day.

But there’s something else different this time around, at least in the U.K.: the statistical relationship between Covid-19 cases and deaths appears to have broken down with Omicron.

Looking at daily death rates in the U.K. from May 15 — essentially from the point at which the Delta wave began — to Sept. 15, there is a highly statistically significant relationship between daily new cases and deaths. In short, case rates accurately predict death rates. But beginning the analysis on Sept. 15, coinciding with flattening of the Delta curve and the onset of Omicron, shows no statistical relationship between Covid-19 case rates and deaths. * * *

It’s still, of course, early days. While it is possible that death rates due to Omicron may rise later, at the moment in the U.K., Covid-19 daily cases no longer meaningfully link to deaths. So, according to the math, Omicron cases rising no longer automatically means impending doom and gloom

In healthcare M&A news, Healthcare Dive tells us that

— Tenet and its subsidiary USPI completed a $1.1 billion acquisition of SurgCenter Development, giving the ambulatory surgery unit an ownership stake in 86 more surgery centers and related support services.

— Tenet said it’s willing to buy additional interests of up to $250 million from physician owners. This process is expected to continue over the coming months, Tenet said Wednesday.

— As part of the deal, USPI will have exclusivity on developing new centers — at minimum 50 — with SCD during a five-year period.

Fierce Healthcare peers into its crystal ball to let us know about

From the FDA new drug approval front, MedCity News reports that

The FDA has approved a new cholesterol-lowering drug from Novartis that addresses the same target as two commercialized medicines from Amgen and Regeneron, but with a different approach and a key dosing advantage—just two injections per year.

The drug, inclisiran, is part of a relatively new class of genetic medicines that work by stopping production of a problem protein. In the case of the Novartis drug, which will be marketed under the name Leqvio, the target is PCSK9, a liver protein that in high amounts, impedes the body’s ability to clear low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, the “bad” form of cholesterol. Leqvio is comprised of small-interfering RNA that harnesses a cellular mechanism called RNA interference to stop a gene from producing PCSK9.

The way that Leqvio and other RNAi drugs work is sometimes referred to as gene silencing. It’s a different approach than PCSK9 inhibitors, antibody drugs that bind to this protein to block it. The FDA approved two of these drugs, Amgen’s  Repatha and Regeneron’s Praluent, in 2015. They’re both given as subcutaneous injections every two weeks or monthly. However, their high price tags made them a tough sell to payers, and revenue fell short of initial expectations. In 2018, Amgen slashed Repatha’s price by nearly 60%, making the drug available at list price of $5,850 per year. Months later, Regeneron matched the pricing move for its PCSK9-blocking drug.

The benefits of competition do apply to prescription drug development.

Last week, the U.S. Census Bureau released its “Vintage 2021 national and state population estimates and components of change.” In sum,

Since April 1, 2020 (Census Day), the nation’s population increased from 331,449,281 to 331,893,745, a gain of 444,464, or 0.13%.

Between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, the nation’s growth was due to natural increase (148,043), which is the number of excess births over deaths, and net international migration (244,622). This is the first time that net international migration (the difference between the number of people moving into the country and out of the country) has exceeded natural increase for a given year.

The voting-age resident population, adults age 18 and over, grew to 258.3 million, comprising 77.8% of the population in 2021.

The South, with a population of 127,225,329, was the most populous of the four regions (encompassing 38.3% of the total national population) and was the only region that had positive net domestic migration of 657,682 (the movement of people from one area to another within the United States) between 2020 and 2021. The Northeast region, the least populous of the four regions with a population of 57,159,838 in 2021, experienced a population decrease of -365,795 residents due to natural decrease (-31,052) and negative net domestic migration (-389,638).

The West saw a gain in population (35,868) despite losing residents via negative net domestic migration (-144,941). Growth in the West was due to natural increase (143,082) and positive net international migration (38,347).

Midweek Update / At Last a COVID Pill!

From the Omicron front, STAT News reports that

The Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday authorized Paxlovid, a pill developed and made by Pfizer, as a treatment for Covid-19, a significant step in the battle against the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

The drug was authorized for use in people as young as 12 so long as they weigh at least 88 pounds.

The authorization of an oral antiviral to beat back Covid has been eagerly anticipated because such a medicine could reach large numbers of people infected with the virus and prevent them from becoming seriously ill or hospitalized. Existing medicines, such as monoclonal antibodies, must be given intravenously or as injections.

Still, initial supplies of Paxlovid will be limited. Pfizer has said it expects to produce more than 180,000 courses of the treatment this year. The company said Wednesday it now expects to provide 120 million courses by the end of 2022, up from 80 million previously, thanks in part to new contract manufacturers. Pfizer has contracted with the U.S. government to provide 10 million courses by the end of 2022 at a cost of $5.29 billion.

Once readily available, Paxlovid will be the answer to a positive COVID test, rather than 10 days of quarantine or hospitalization. Jingle bells, indeed.

Speaking of the FDA, MedPage Today informs us that

The FDA approved the first monotherapy for bipolar-related depressive episodes, Intra-Cellular Therapies announced Monday.

The atypical antipsychotic lumateperone (Caplyta) gained an indication for the treatment of depressive episodes associated with bipolar I or II disorder in adults, as monotherapy and as adjunctive therapy with lithium or valproate. It was first approved for adults with schizophrenia in December 2019. * * *

“The efficacy, and favorable safety and tolerability profile, make Caplyta an important treatment option for the millions of patients living with bipolar I or II depression and represents a major development for these patients,” said Roger McIntyre, MD, of the University of Toronto, in a statement released by the manufacturer. “Caplyta is approved for a broad range of adult patients including those patients with bipolar II depression who have been underserved with limited treatment options.”

Switching back to the Omicron front, the Wall Street Journal reports that

New data from Scotland and South Africa suggest people infected with the Omicron variant of coronavirus are at markedly lower risk of hospitalization than those who contracted earlier versions of the virus, promising signs that immunity as a result of vaccination or prior infection remains effective at warding off severe illness with the fast-spreading strain.

The findings begin to fill in unknowns around the severity of the disease caused by Omicron, a major variable critical to health authorities around the world as they gauge how to react to the new variant.

Scientists are still unsure how the positive findings around hospitalizations will stack up against another major variable: Omicron’s much increased transmissibility. Both variables are likely to change depending on local conditions, such as the proportion of the population that has been vaccinated against Covid-19.

“This is a qualified good news story,” said Jim McMenamin, incident director for Covid-19 at Public Health Scotland, and one of the authors of the Scottish study, at a briefing. “It’s important we don’t get ahead of ourselves. A smaller proportion of a much greater number of cases can still mean a substantial number of people that might experience severe Covid infections that could lead to hospitalization.”

From the COVID vaccine mandate challenge front, the Journal also tells us that

The Supreme Court on Wednesday said it would hold fast-track oral arguments early next month to consider whether the Biden administration can enforce Covid-19 vaccine-or-testing rules for large private employers, as well as vaccine requirements for many healthcare workers.

The cases, set for argument on Jan. 7, could go a long way to determining how much latitude the administration has to combat the coronavirus pandemic in the workplace.

The high court issued a pair of short, written orders to schedule the arguments, in response to a growing pile of emergency appeals asking the justices to intervene.

The cases haven’t yet been fully litigated in the lower courts; the Supreme Court will be deciding whether the Biden administration rules can be implemented for now. But practically speaking, the court’s decision is likely to determine whether the requirements survive. 

Curiously, it does not appear that the stay of the government contractor mandate will be presented to the Supreme Court. Instead the parties have agreed to expedite briefing and the oral arguments on the merits of the case.

From the OSHA ETS front, the Society for Human Resource Management reports that


Now that a federal appeals court has revived the Occupational Safety and Health Administration’s (OSHA’s) emergency temporary standard (ETS), covered employers will need to prepare a written COVID-19 vaccination-or-testing policy by Jan. 10.

Under the ETS, employers may choose to require vaccination or allow covered employees who are unvaccinated to wear a mask and provide proof of a negative COVID-19 test on a weekly basis. The start date for the testing requirement has been extended to Feb. 9, but many other components of the ETS take effect on Jan. 10, such as the requirement for employers to determine the vaccination status of each employee and develop a written policy.

“Keep it simple,” recommended Eric Hobbs, an attorney with Ogletree Deakins in Milwaukee. “Do not include anything in the plan that you can’t follow through on.”

The Supreme Court is unlikely to rule on the OSHA ETS mandate stay before January 10, 2022.

From the Federal employee compensation front, Federal News Network reports that

President Joe Biden on Wednesday signed an executive order making federal pay raises official for many civilian employees in 2022.

As expected, General Schedule employees will receive an across-the-board federal pay raise of 2.2% in 2022, plus an additional 0.5% locality pay adjustment, to total a 2.7% average increase.

An Office of Personnel Management official confirmed the 2.7% federal pay raise to Federal News Network Wednesday evening. The agency hasn’t yet posted detailed pay tables describing pay rates for each locality pay area.

The raises take effect Jan. 1, or more specifically during the first pay period in January.

Under OPM’s regulations, Open Season changes take place on January 1 for annuitants and on the first day of the first pay period in the new year for employees. GSA’s federal employee calendar for 2022 shows that January 2 is the first day of the first pay period for next year.

From the Affordable Care Act front, the FEHBlog apologizes that he left a sentence off yesterday’s post about the current federal fiscal year’s PCORI fee. To close the unintended loop, IRS Notice 2022-04 states that “The applicable dollar amount that must be used to calculate the [PCORI] fee imposed by sections 4375 and 4376 for policy years and plan years that end on or after October 1, 2021, and before October 1, 2022, is $2.79” per bellybutton.

Winter is here!

Photo by Clarisse Meyer on Unsplash

The Wall Street Journal reports that “The 2021 winter solstice [took] place on Tuesday, Dec. 21, at 3:59 p.m. Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), the international standard time used by astronomers. That is 7:59 a.m. Pacific Time and 10:59 a.m. Eastern Time. * * * On the winter solstice, our planet’s [23.5 degree] tilt brings the South Pole closest to the sun—and the Antarctic Circle gets 24 hours of daylight. The North Pole is tilted away from the sun, and the Arctic Circle is shrouded in darkness for nearly a full day. * * * The winter solstice in the Northern Hemisphere marks the point at which the season’s short days start to lengthen—continuing until the summer solstice in June, when there is the longest period of daylight and the shortest period of darkness there.”

Winter solstice 2019 was pre-pandemic. Winter solstice 2020 conincided with the introduction of the mRNA vaccines in the U.S. and this winter solstice is expected to coincide with the introduction of the early onset COVID pills from Pfizer and Merck.

Bloomberg informs us that

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration is poised to authorize a pair of pills from Pfizer Inc. and Merck & Co. to treat Covid-19 as soon as this week, according to people familiar with the matter — a milestone in the fight against the pandemic that will soon expand therapies for the ill.

An announcement may come as early as Wednesday, according to three of the people. They asked not to be identified ahead of the authorization and cautioned that the plan could change. 

Pfizer’s pill, Paxlovid, and Merck’s molnupiravir are intended for higher-risk people who test positive for the coronavirus. The treatments, in which patients take a series of pills at home over several days, could ease the burden on stretched hospitals with infections poised to soar through the winter in the U.S. 

This is similar to the roll out of the mRNA vaccines which initially administered to higher-risk people as well as first responders. FiercePharma tells us that “Pfizer expects to make 80 million courses of COVID drug Paxlovid by the end of 2022.” Bloomberg adds that “’It’s the biggest thing to happen in the pandemic after vaccines,’” said Eric Topol, director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute.” For what it’s worth, the FEHBlog shares this sentiment.

In other COVID treatment news, Medscape reports that

A “definitive study” from Johns Hopkins University researchers and others shows that convalescent plasma can cut hospital admissions for COVID-19 by 54% if therapy is administered within 8 days of symptom onset.

In the study of 1181 adults randomly assigned to high-titer convalescent plasma or placebo, 2.9% of people receiving the therapy were hospitalized compared to 6.3% who received placebo control plasma.

This translates to a 54% risk reduction for hospitalization with convalescent plasma. * * *

Whereas many convalescent plasma studies were done in hospitalized patients, this is one of only a handful performed in outpatients, the researchers note.

There is a regulatory catch. The FDA restricted emergency use authorization (EUA) for convalescent plasma in February 2021 to include only high-dose titer plasma and to limit the therapy to hospitalized patients with early disease or for immunocompromised people who cannot mount an adequate antibody response.

[Dr. David] Sullivan and colleagues hope their findings will prompt the FDA to expand the EUA to include outpatients.

From the White House front, the President spoke this afternoon about an enhanced federal government response to Omicron, including federal government run testing and vaccination sites and federally funded home delivery of rapid COVID tests.

Govexec explains that

The administration will launch federal testing sites around the country, standing up the first in New York City before Christmas. It will establish subsequent sites in states and communities where capacity is constrained, a senior administration official who spoke to reporters on the condition of anonymity said on Monday, with those going up in January and February. The government will once again deploy hundreds of federal personnel to boost vaccination capacity around the country, with the goal of boosting capacity by thousands of shots per week. The Federal Emergency Management Agency will oversee pop-up vaccination sites operated by the federal government, with the first ones going to Washington and New Mexico.  * * *

The White House also announced it was purchasing 500 million tests and will soon set up a website for any Americans to order one for free. The tests will be available in January and delivered by mail for free, though the White House is still finalizing how many each individual will be entitled to order. The administration pledged to boost its use of the Defense Production Act to boost the supply of at-home, rapid tests.

It’s not yet clear whether this initiative replaces the earlier proposal to have health plans reimburse their members for these over the counter tests.

The San Franciso Chronicle seeks to put the transmissibility of Omicron in perspective

The reproductive number known as R0, pronounced “R naught,” measures a disease’s transmissibility at the beginning of a pandemic with no preexisting immunity, said Warner Greene, a virologist and senior investigator at the Gladstone Institutes in San Francisco. It represents how many people one sick person will infect.

According to a study released in October, the original COVID-19 strain that emerged from Wuhan has an R0 value of 2.79. The delta variant has a value of between 5 to 6 — about twice as contagious as the original strain.

Chicken pox has an R0 value of 9-10. The R0 value of measles is estimated at 12 to 18.

Greene said to really know the true R0 value of omicron, more information is needed. He cited an estimate from Martin Hibberd, a professor of emerging infectious diseases at the London School Of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, that omicron could have an R0 of 10.

Chin-Hong said “a lot more fully vaccinated people will get breakthrough infections, but will not likely get very ill and are very unlikely to die.”

For unvaccinated people, the situation is much more serious.

“It will be very difficult to avoid getting infected with omicron,” Swartzberg said. “You may have been lucky with the other variants and the ancestral strain. It’s unlikely you will be with omicron. The unvaccinated will be the biggest spreaders of omicron and they will be the ones most likely hospitalized from it.”

No joke.

From the National Institutes of Health front —

  • “Yesterday the U.S. Food and Drug Administration announced its first approval of a long-acting HIV prevention medication. Developed by ViiV Healthcare, the medicine is long-acting cabotegravir injected once every two months. FDA has approved the medicine for use by adults and adolescents weighing at least 35 kilograms who are at risk of sexually acquiring HIV. This milestone marks a vital expansion of biomedical HIV prevention options available to people in the United States.”
  • “Despite important advances in the understanding and treatment of oral diseases and conditions, many people in the U.S. still have chronic oral health problems and lack of access to care, according to a report by the National Institutes of Health. Oral Health in America: Advances and Challenges, is a follow-up to the seminal 2000 Oral Health in America: A Report of the Surgeon General.” * * * “The authors make several recommendations to improve oral health in America, which include the need for health care professionals to work together to provide integrated oral, medical, and behavioral health care in schools, community health centers, nursing homes, and medical care settings, as well as dental clinics. They also identify the need to improve access to care by developing a more diverse oral health care workforce, addressing the rising cost of dental education, expanding insurance coverage, and improving the overall affordability of care.”

From the Affordable Care Act front, the Internal Revenue Service announced today that the applicable dollar amount that health plans must use to calculate the [PCORI] fee imposed by sections 4375 and 4376 for policy years and plan years that end on or after October 1, 2021, and before October 1, 2022, is $2.79″ per bellybutton. The immediately preceding years fee was $2.66 per bellybutton.

Monday Roundup

Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash

From the Omicron front, STAT News reports that

The Omicron variant now accounts for 73% of Covid-19 infections being diagnosed in the United States, and in some parts of the country 90% of infections are caused by viruses from the Omicron strain, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said late Monday.

Though it’s been clear from Omicron’s astonishing spread elsewhere that it would rapidly take over from Delta as the dominant variant in this country, the speed is nevertheless startling to witness.

“What we are watching unfold is microbial evolution. This is remarkable,” said Michael Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Diseases Research and Policy. “But this is what these viruses can do.”

The Centers for Disease Control updated its Omicron website today.

This Wall Street Journal article indicates the obtaining an mRNA booster (Moderna or Pfizer) will provide protection against Omicron as well as Delta.

The Centers for Medicare and Medicare Services today updated their “vaccine toolkit designed for issuers of group and individual health insurance and Medicare Advantage health plans.”

From the COVID vaccine mandate litigation front, the American Hospital Association reports that

Over the weekend, and as of this writing, eight groups of challengers to the OSHA vaccine mandate filed emergency applications with the U.S. Supreme Court asking the high court to once again stay the mandate following the Sixth Circuit’s Dec. 17 decision to lift the Fifth Circuit’s previously entered stay.
 
Today, the Supreme Court asked the federal government for a response to the challengers’ applications by Dec. 30 by 4 p.m. If that sounds familiar, it is because Dec. 30 at 4 p.m. is also the date and time the challengers to the CMS vaccine mandate will be filing their responses to the federal government’s Supreme Court application asking the court to stay the Missouri and Louisiana preliminary injunctions enjoining the CMS mandate. Both sets of applications will be briefed at the same time and the Supreme Court will have the opportunity to rule on the fate of both the CMS and OSHA vaccine mandates at the same time, if it so chooses.

The FEHBlog can find no word about whether the government has appealed to the Supreme Court the 11th Circuit’s decision last Friday to maintain in force the stay on the federal government contractor COVID vaccine mandate. The FEHBlog will keep looking.

From the healthcare business front —

  • Fierce Healthcare informs us that “Amazon has consolidated its healthcare efforts under one central organization and tapped a former Prime executive to run the businesses. The tech giant elevated Neil Lindsay to the new role of senior vice president of health and brand within Amazon’s worldwide consumer business, an Amazon spokesperson confirmed to Fierce Healthcare.”
  • mHealth Intelligence reports that “Supermarket retailer Hy-Vee, Inc. has launched a telehealth platform that allows individuals to receive treatments and prescriptions through the mail. The new service, RedBox Rx, offers virtual health consultations through a partnership with Reliant Immune Diagnostics’ telehealth platform MDbox.”
  • Healthcare Dive tells us that

Software giant Oracle is acquiring EHR vendor Cerner for $28.3 billion, the two companies announced Monday. The deal is expected to close sometime next year.

It will be Oracle’s largest acquisition to date, with the next highest being the 2005 purchase of PeopleSoft Inc. for $10 billion. The deal further pushes Oracle into the healthcare market, where its presence is mostly in data use efficiency for payers and providers. Oracle’s areas of focus include database software and cloud systems.

Cerner will be a dedicated business unit within Oracle, according to the Monday press release. Voice-enabled user interfaces will be a key focus with a goal to “deliver zero unplanned downtime in the medical environment.”

From the too little too late front, STAT News tells us that

Biogen said Monday that it has reduced the price of its Alzheimer’s drug Aduhelm by half and is planning a series of cost-cutting measures across the company next year that aim to save $500 million.

The moves follow a disappointing commercial launch of Aduhelm, as well as anger over the drug’s high price. 

The new, lower price for Aduhelm is $28,200, or roughly half what the drug cost when it launched in June. Insurance companies balked at its original list price, averaging $56,000 a year per patient, while physicians have fervently questioned whether Biogen’s supporting evidence merited the drug’s approval by the Food and Drug Administration, let alone widespread use. * * *

Biogen is announcing the Aduhelm price cut less than one month before Medicare is expected to make an all-important decision on whether and how widely to pay for the drug. A draft ruling is expected in January, followed by a final decision in the spring.

But with Aduhelm delivering paltry revenue, Biogen is also being forced to downsize the company. On Monday, Biogen said it would implement a series of cost-cutting measures in 2022 that are expected to total approximately $500 million. Details will be announced in the first quarter. 

Weekend update

Photo by Jessica Delp on Unsplash

Congress has lowered the curtain on the first session of the current two year long Congress, the 117th in our Nation’s history.

Roll Call reports that

Sen. Joe Manchin III said on Sunday that he can’t support the sweeping social safety net and climate change package that President Joe Biden and Democratic leaders have made their top legislative priority.

The West Virginia Democrat’s opposition is likely the final nail in the massive $2 trillion-plus “Build Back Better” legislation given the Senate’s 50-50 split, unless extensive changes are made that would result in key provisions being scuttled.

“I can’t vote for it and I cannot vote to continue with this piece of legislation,” Manchin told “Fox News Sunday.” “I just can’t. I’ve tried everything humanly possible.  I can’t get there … This is a ‘no.’ “

Of course, the legislative struggle over the BBB bill is not over but at least we should enjoy a peaceful holiday period.

From the Omicron front, Bloomberg reports that

Lockdowns in the U.S. will likely not be necessary even as Covid-19 cases increase, according to President Joe Biden’s top medical adviser, Anthony Fauci. Even so, many hospitals may be strained as the omicron variant spreads, especially in regions with lower levels of vaccination, he said. 

New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio called on the federal government to step up supplies of tests and treatments to the city amid a spike in infections caused by the omicron variant. New York state broke a record for new infections for the third consecutive day.

From the COVID mandate challenge front —

Since last Wednesday

  • The Fifth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals lifted the nationwide stay on the CMS healthcare provider COVID vaccine mandate, but left the stay in place for 24 states which had obtained their own stays. The federal government has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to lift the stays applicable to those 24 states. The Supreme Court has allowed the respondent states until December 30, 2021, to respond to the federal government’s motion.
  • The American Hospital Association (“AHA”) reports in the wake of the Court action that “CMS’s website states that CMS “has suspended activities related to the implementation and enforcement of [the mandate] pending future developments in the litigation.” AHA has confirmed with CMS that this statement applies nationwide and remains accurate even after the Fifth Circuit’s order staying the nationwide effect of the Louisiana district court’s preliminary injunction. 
  • The Sixth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals lifted the nationwide stay on the OSHA ETS COVID vaccination screening program. The State of Georgia has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to reinstate the stay.
  • The American Hospital Association reports again in the wake of the Court action that “OSHA has announced that it is ‘exercising enforcement discretion with respect to the compliance dates of the’ mandate. OSHA states that ‘it will not issue citations for noncompliance with any requirements of the [mandate] before January 10 and will not issue citations for noncompliance with the [mandate’s] testing requirements before February 9, so long as an employer is exercising reasonable, good faith efforts to come into compliance with the standard.’ OSHA has also promised to ‘work closely with the regulated community to provide compliance assistance.’”
  • The Eleventh Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals upheld the nationwide stay on the government contractor mandate. The federal government is expected to ask the Supreme Court to lift this stay tomorrow.
  • It certainly appears that all three mandate issues will be presented to the Supreme Court simultaneously. 

In Affordable Care Act news, CMS announced on Friday that

Health insurers have provided approximately $2 billion in rebates for the 2020 reporting year to an estimated 9.8 million consumers, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is announcing today. Insurers were generally required to provide such rebates and notice of any rebates owed to consumers no later than September 30, 2021. Rebate payments can be provided in the form of a premium credit, lump-sum check, or, if a consumer paid the premium using a credit card or direct debit, by lump-sum reimbursement to the account used to pay the premium.

CMS released a list today of all insurers owing Medical Ratio Loss (MLR) rebates for the 2020 reporting year, with total amounts by state and market. The CMS market breakdown estimate includes approximately 4.8 million consumers in the individual market and 5 million employees in the group market (this represents 2.6 million employees in the small group market, and 2.4 million employees in the large group market). 

Today’s release also includes the Public Use Files (PUFs) containing the data from all health insurers’ final MLR filings for the 2020 reporting year. 

For more information visit: https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Programs-and-Initiatives/Health-Insurance-Market-Reforms/Medical-Loss-Ratio

Link to PUFs here: https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Data-Resources/mlr

If federal employee compensation news, Govexec tells us that

[Last] week, the President’s Pay Agent, which is made up of Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, Acting Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young and Office of Personnel Management Director Kiran Ahuja, issued its annual report ahead of President Biden’s executive order finalizing an average 2.7% pay raise in 2022. The pay agent declined to issue waivers based on a locality’s number of authorized positions, but approved Carroll County’s addition to the Davenport, Iowa, locality pay area due to the fact that it recently has met the 2,500 employee threshold.

Friday Stats and More

Using the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker and Thursday as the first day of the week, here is the FEHBlog’s weekly chart of new COVID cases for 2021:

Here is a link to the CDC’s weekly chart of new COVID admissions which also continues to trend up.

Here is the FEHBlog’s weekly chart of new COVID deaths for 2021.

Here is the FEHBlog’s weekly chart of new COVID vaccinations administered and delivered from the 51st week of 2020 through the 50th week of the 2021. For the second week in a row, administered vaccines including boosters has exceeded 10 million for the week.

Here’s a link to the CDC’s weekly interpretation of its COVID statistics. The CDC weekly review will not be published again until January 7. Hopefully by then the FDA will have granted emergency use authorization to the Pfizer early onset COVID pill. That would be a great holiday gift for America.

The CDC’s Fluview reports that “Seasonal influenza activity in the United States is increasing, including indicators that track hospitalizations. The amount of activity varies by region.”

From the COVID vaccine front, the Wall Street Journal informs us that

Pfizer Inc. and partner BioNTech SE  have pushed back plans to request authorization of their Covid-19 vaccine in children ages 2 to 5, after the shot generated a weaker than expected immune response in a key study. 

The companies said Friday they would begin testing the addition of a third dose in the children, and if successful, would ask U.S. health regulators to authorize use sometime during the first half of 2022.

STAT News tells us that CDC Director Rochelle Walensky has approved her Advisory Committee on Immunization Practice’s unananimous “preferential recommendation to the Covid vaccines based on messenger RNA technology on Thursday — a decision aimed at steering people away from the Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine because of concerns about a rare but serious side effect.” STAT dives into more detail in an accompanying article titled “The Tragedy of Johnson & Johnson’s COVID vaccine.

In COVID vaccine mandate news the Wall Street Journal reports this evening that

A federal appeals court Friday reinstated Biden administration rules that require many employers to ensure that their workers are vaccinated or tested weekly for Covid-19.

A divided panel of the Sixth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals dissolved a stay issued by another court that had blocked the rules. The majority, in a 2-t,o-1 ruling, said legal challenges to the administration’s vaccination-and-testing requirements were likely to fail.

This decision was made in the consolidated challenge to the OSHA action. The Sixth Circuit reversed a Fifth Circuit stay of the OSHA action. The plaintiffs are likely to ask all of the 6th Circuit’s active judges to consider this issue, e.g., a motion for rehearing en banc

In other judicial news, STAT News reports that

A federal court judge has reversed the hotly contested Purdue Pharma bankruptcy plan after deciding a bankruptcy judge did not have authority to grant immunity to the Sackler family members who control the controversial drug maker. * * *

One legal expert explained the decision is significant. “The decision is an important recognition of the arguments made (by the U.S. Trustee and the eight states) and the concerns they had. That is an important value for a justice system,” Melissa Jacoby, a professor at the University of North Carolina who specializes in bankruptcy law, wrote us.

So what happens next?

“…It is too soon to know what the effect will be. It is possible the Sacklers will increase their monetary offer to avoid further litigation to try to make the releases fully consensual, even though I can imagine grounds on which the 2nd circuit (appeals court) would reverse the district court,” she continued. “Presumably, they are examining those options right now.”

In M&A news, Healthcare Dive informs us that

— Intermountain Healthcare and Colorado-based SCL Health signed a definitive agreement Wednesday to move forward with merger plans to create an $11 billion health system spanning six states.

— The deal is expected to close next April. Financial terms were not disclosed.

— Intermountain CEO Marc Harrison will serve as the leader of the combined organization.

Thursday Miscellany

Photo by Juliane Liebermann on Unsplash

From the Capitol Hill front, Roll Call reports that

President Joe Biden and Democratic leaders reluctantly acknowledged Thursday that the Senate would soon recess for the year without passing their sprawling $2.2 trillion social safety net and climate spending bill or voting rights legislation. 

From the Omicron front, Bloomberg tells us that

President Joe Biden warned that unvaccinated Americans face “a winter of severe illness and death” as he urged initial doses and booster shots amid a surge of coronavirus cases and the emergence of the omicron variant.

David Leonhardt writing in his New York Times Morning column adds that “about 15 percent of American adults remain unvaccinated.”

From the COVID vaccine front, AHIP informs us that

Today, the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) convened to discuss the recent developments and safety considerations for the Janssen/Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine. 

ACIP voted unanimously to amend their recommendation: mRNA COVID-19 vaccines are preferred over the Janssen COVID-19 vaccine for the prevention of COVID-19 for those 18 years of age and older. 

Deliberations within the committee stressed the importance of updating the Clinical Considerations and educational materials regarding the vaccine to ensure that anyone who chooses to receive the Janssen adenovirus-based vaccine is informed of the potential risks.  

Earlier this week, the FDA updated its Emergency Use Authorization Fact Sheet to indicate that the Janssen vaccine is contraindicated for individuals with a history of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS).  This was based on new information showing that cases of TTS have been reported in both males and females, and that approximately 15% of TTS cases have been fatal.

Following the discussion, the Committee reviewed a presentation on safety data regarding the use of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine in children aged 5-11 years old.  Very few adverse events or severe systemic reactions were reported, with most incidents including pain, fever, fatigue, headache, and/or myalgia, and most beginning one or two days following the second dose with symptoms alleviating within a few days.  To date, there have been two deaths in children who received the vaccine, each with children who have complicated medical histories, both of which are still under investigation.

Finally, CDC presented current data about the Omicron variant.  This variant appears to be more transmissible than earlier variants, but more data is needed to know if it causes more severe illness.  Vaccines are expected to protect against severe illness, hospitalizations, and death, with booster vaccines showing increased protection than the two-dose series.  It is unclear how prior infection impacts neutralization.  CDC is continuing to monitor real-world evidence across all populations to inform further action.

Also from the omicron front, Healthcare Dive reports that

— FDA has identified three COVID-19 molecular tests that are not able to detect the omicron variant and warned that the diagnostics from Applied DNA Sciences, Meridian Bioscience and Tide Laboratories will return false negative results.

— The agency on Wednesday updated its list of tests impacted by virus mutations. While FDA continues to gather additional information and work with the three manufacturers to address these issues, it recommended the diagnostics not be used by clinical laboratory staff and healthcare providers.

— Makers of both polymerase chain reaction and rapid antigen tests have said their tests can detect omicron. Siemens Healthineers is the latest company to claim its testing portfolio is unaffected by the variant. However, Tim Stenzel, director of the FDA’s Office of In Vitro Diagnostics and Radiological Health, told test developers Wednesday during a virtual town hall that the agency continues to receive “a lot of inquiries” about omicron and its potential impact on diagnostics and will continue to focus efforts on evaluating molecular and antigen tests.

The Wall Street Journal adds that

Pfizer Inc. and BioNTech SE  say they have asked U.S. regulators to fully approve their Covid-19 vaccine for adolescents ages 12 to 15. The vaccine was fully approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in August for people 16 years and older. 

From the COVID vaccine mandate front, we have two court decisions:

  • The Society for Human Resources Management explains that “On Dec. 15, the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals lifted a district court’s order that had blocked the Biden administration’s COVID-19 vaccination directive for health care workers nationwide. But the requirement remains blocked in 24 states.” The 24 states are composed of 14 State plaintiffs in the 5th Circuit case and 10 State plaintiffs in the first PI. The Congressional Research Service recently wrote a report on nationwide injunctions.
  • The government contractor mandate nationwide preliminary injunction (“PI”) followed the same course as the healthcare workers preliminary injunction — a PI issued for three states followed by a court in another state issuing a nationwide injunction. Perhaps the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals which is hearing the government’s appeal of the government contractor mandate PI (Case No. 21-14269), will follow the 5th Circuit’s lead.
  • The National Law Review reports that

[Also on Dec. 15] The [U.S. Court of Appeals for the] Sixth Circuit denied en banc review in the OSHA vaccine mandate cases.  The vote was a close one, with eight judges voting in favor of initial hearing en banc.  But that’s not enough under the circuit’s rules, which require a majority of the 16 active judges to vote for en banc treatment.  As a result, the current panel reviewing the case will decide whether to continue the stay issued by the Fifth Circuit, which may end up being the most consequential decision in the case until it comes before the Supreme Court.

From the miscellany department —

  • GoodRx brings us up to date on Alzheimer’s Disease research.
  • “The HEALTH CARE TRANSFORMATION TASK FORCE (HCTTF or Task Force), a group of leading health care payers, providers, purchasers and patient organizations, today announced that its provider and payer members reported having 61 percent of their business in value-based payment arrangements at the end of 2020. Value-based care and payment arrangements focus on lowering costs and improving the quality of care to drive overall population health. The new report shows significant progress towards the goal and has increased twofold from the group’s first report of 30 percent in value-based arrangements in 2015.”

Roughly 40% of U.S. healthcare payments were tied to alternative payment models (APMs) last year, with Medicare Advantage claims representing the largest amount, a new survey found.

The survey, published Wednesday by the Health Care Payment Learning & Action Network, showed that more work needs to be done as most healthcare payments were still tied to a fee-for-service model.

“The survey shows we have made limited progress in moving away from fee for service between 2019 and 2020,” said Mark McClellan, M.D., Ph.D., director of Duke University’s Margolis Center for Health Policy and co-chair of the LAN CEO forum, during the LAN Summit Wednesday. “Most payments are still in fee-for-service, especially outside of Medicare.”

  • If you are bit confused by these findings, APMs are a type of value based pricing arrangement. Health Affairs offered a useful article on the various value based payment models earlier his year.

Midweek Update

From the Capitol Hill front, Roll Call reports that

The Senate easily passed the annual defense policy bill on Wednesday, authorizing $768 billion in defense spending for fiscal 2022.

The final tally for the fiscal 2022 National Defense Authorization Act was 88-11. * * *

The legislation marks the 61st straight year that Congress has passed the NDAA. President Joe Biden is expected to sign it into law shortly.

The Federal Times discusses the federal employment aspects of the new law.

The Wall Street Journal adds that “Democrats braced for weeks of delay and uncertainty on their roughly $2 trillion education, healthcare and climate package they had hoped to finish by year end, as efforts faltered to secure the pivotal support of Sen. Joe Manchin (D., W.Va.) for the bill.”

From the Omicron front Bloomberg informs us that

The results from initial studies of the omicron variant of the coronavirus are starting to roll in almost daily, and early suspicions are gaining more support. The mutation is much better at infecting—70 times faster than delta and the original strain. But the severity of illness is likely to be much lower, according to a study from the University of Hong Kong, echoing earlier observations from doctors in South Africa where the variant was first observed. The supercharged speed of omicron’s spread in the human bronchus was found 24 hours following infection, according to the university. However, the study found it replicated in lung tissue much less efficiently than earlier mutations, which may signal “lower severity of disease.”

The FEHBlog ran across not one but two articles prognosticating about the extension of no cost sharing coverage of at home rapid antigen COVID tests scheduled for next month:

  • The Society for Human Resource Management points out a Mercer consulting report on the coverage issue.

HR consultancy Mercer explained: “Under existing guidance (see FAQ Part 43, Q/A-4), at-home COVID tests must be covered without participant cost-sharing, but only when ordered by an attending health care provider who has determined the test is medically appropriate based on current accepted standards of medical practice.”

Mercer noted that “group health plans and insurers currently may (but are not required to) provide coverage of at-home tests without participant cost-sharing even absent a health care provider’s determination of medical necessity. While we await important details, it seems quite possible that forthcoming guidance will significantly expand the scope of required coverage of at-home COVID testing without participant cost-sharing, in short, by eliminating the need to involve a health care provider.”

  • Health Payer Intelligence notes that “In a letter to CMS, the Alliance of Community Health Plans (ACHP) has requested that the federal government establish certain requirements for at-home COVID-19 testing coverage.” ACHP letter builds on Mercer’s concerns.

From the substance use disorder front —

Overdose deaths involving the synthetic opioid, illicitly-manufactured fentanyl (IMF), skyrocketed across the country from 2019 to 2020, researchers found.

Between July 2019 and December 2020, IMF-involved overdose deaths nearly doubled in the West (93.9%), increased 65% in the South and 33% in the Midwest, reported Julie O’Donnell, PhD, of the CDC’s National Center for Injury Prevention and Control in New Orleans, and colleagues.

Moreover these deaths were quick, as 56% of people who died from an IMF-involved overdose did not have a pulse when first responders arrived on the scene, and approximately 40% of IMF-involved deaths also involved a stimulant, O’Donnell’s group wrote in the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.

  • The NIH HEAL Initiative reported that texting and related apps can be used to lengthen use of drugs taken to treat opioid use disorder. Here’s the background:

Medications such as methadone, buprenorphine, and naltrexone are highly effective for treating opioid use disorder. Yet only a fraction of people who could benefit actually receive these medications. Worse, about half of those who start taking them discontinue use within the first 6 months of treatment. Research has shown that the longer people continue treatment, the better their outcome is and the lower their risk of overdose.

  • On the bright side, NIH also reports that

The percentage of adolescents reporting substance use decreased significantly in 2021, according to the latest results from the Monitoring the Future survey of substance use behaviors and related attitudes among eighth, 10th, and 12th graders in the United States. In line with continued long-term declines in the use of many illicit substances among adolescents previously reported by the Monitoring the Future survey, these findings represent the largest one-year decrease in overall illicit drug use reported since the survey began in 1975. The Monitoring the Future survey is conducted by researchers at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, and funded by the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), part of the National Institutes of Health.

From the this and that department —

  • Health Affairs unveiled the National Health Care Spending Report for 2020:

US health care spending increased 9.7 percent to reach $4.1 trillion in 2020, a much faster rate than the 4.3 percent increase seen in 2019. The acceleration in 2020 was due to a 36.0 percent increase in federal expenditures for health care that occurred largely in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. At the same time, gross domestic product declined 2.2 percent, and the share of the economy devoted to health care spending spiked, reaching 19.7 percent. In 2020 the number of uninsured people fell, while at the same time there were significant shifts in types of coverage.

  • The Wall Street Journal graphically points out that emergency room charges can vary significantly for common emergencies in downtown Boston.
  • Fierce Healthcare tells us that

UnitedHealth Group has pushed back the deadline for its nearly $8 billion acquisition of Change Healthcare, according to a new filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Change said in the filing that UnitedHealth informed the company that it was pushing back the deal’s outside date to April 2022. Previous filings suggested that the acquisition could close as early as late February.

Within the merger agreement, both companies have the right to push back the outside date.

UnitedHealth and Change are awaiting the completion of an investigation into the merger by the Department of Justice, which has been probing the deal on antitrust grounds.

Tuesday’s Tidbits

Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

From the Capitol Hill front, the Wall Street Journal reports that

The Senate passed a measure raising the government’s borrowing limit by $2.5 trillion, as Democrats moved to quickly bring the measure to President Biden’s desk and push the next debt-ceiling standoff past the midterm elections.

The Senate voted 50-49 to approve the legislation, sending it to the House, which could pass it as soon as later Tuesday. 

Meritalk informs us that

The Senate on Dec. 14 voted to invoke cloture on the conferenced version of the fiscal year (FY) 2022 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), setting up a final vote on Wednesday for the $768 billion defense spending bill. The cloture motion sailed through the Senate by an 86-13 vote, ending debate on the compromise NDAA bill. 

Roll Call adds that

Senate Democrats on Tuesday softened their optimism that their party’s sweeping safety net and climate spending and tax package will pass before Christmas, citing uncertainty about whether Sen. Joe Manchin III, D-W.Va., is ready to support it and procedural steps that are far from complete. 

“It’s a tough timeline,” Michigan Sen. Debbie Stabenow, a member of Democratic leadership, said. “So we’re still pushing forward. We have a lot of agreement. But, you know, if this is not done in the next two weeks, we’ll come back in January and get it done.”

The House passed a $2.2 trillion version of the bill last month. Senate Democrats have released updated text for nine of their 12 committees that have jurisdiction over the package. The Energy and Natural Resources Committee that Manchin chairs is among the three committees that have not released text, along with Environment and Public Works and Judiciary. 

And STAT News reports that

Robert Califf escaped largely unscathed from a two-hour hearing Tuesday vetting him to be commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration. He gushed about his love of high-quality data, skillfully navigated questions on hot-button topics like abortion and drug pricing, and even had personal anecdotes about Covid-19 testing and opioid prescribing at the ready. * * *

The smooth hearing is the latest signal that Califf, who already survived a confirmation process for the FDA’s top job in 2016, will be easily approved for the job again. A vote on his confirmation has not been scheduled, but is expected in early 2022.

From the Delta/Omicron front

STAT News tells us that

The Omicron variant is starting to eat into Delta’s dominance in the United States.

The new variant accounted for 2.9% of sequenced Covid-19 cases in the United States in the week ending Dec. 11. The week before, 0% of cases were from Omicron. Delta accounted for essentially all of the other sequenced cases, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The new figures, updated Tuesday, indicate that Omicron started circulating before that week, given how long it can take for infections to be sequenced and reported. They show that Omicron’s advantage over the highly transmissible Delta variant is becoming noticeable in this country. * * *

Experts have said it appears Omicron is taking over faster than Delta did as it became dominant globally earlier this year.

The National Institutes of Health Director’s blog this week offers the latest on the Omicron variant and COVID vaccines.

It’s important to note that scientists around the world are also closely monitoring Omicron’s severity While this variant appears to be highly transmissible, and it is still early for rigorous conclusions, the initial research indicates this variant may actually produce milder illness than Delta, which is currently the dominant strain in the United States.

But there’s still a tremendous amount of research to be done that could change how we view Omicron. This research will take time and patience.

What won’t change, though, is that vaccines are the best way to protect yourself and others against COVID-19. (And these recent data provide an even-stronger reason to get a booster now if you are eligible.) Wearing a mask, especially in public indoor settings, offers good protection against the spread of all SARS-CoV-2 variants. If you’ve got symptoms or think you may have been exposed, get tested and stay home if you get a positive result. As we await more answers, it’s as important as ever to use all the tools available to keep yourself, your loved ones, and your community happy and healthy this holiday season.

The New York Times observes that

As the coronavirus pandemic approaches the end of a second year, the United States stands on the cusp of surpassing 800,000 deaths from the virus, and no group has suffered more than older Americans. All along, older people have been known to be more vulnerable, but the scale of loss is only now coming into full view.

Seventy-five percent of people who have died of the virus in the United States — or about 600,000 of the nearly 800,000 who have perished so far — have been 65 or older. One in 100 older Americans has died from the virus. For people younger than 65, that ratio is closer to 1 in 1,400. * * *

Since vaccines first became available a year ago, older Americans have been vaccinated at a much higher rate than younger age groups and yet the brutal toll on them has persisted. The share of younger people among all virus deaths in the United States increased this year, but, in the last two months, the portion of older people has risen once again, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. More than 1,200 people in the United States are dying from Covid-19 each day, most of them 65 or older.

The FEHBlog certainly hope that more readily available boosters and rapid antigen testing combined with the Pfizer and Merck early onset pills will help stem the death toll. The Wall Street Journal reports tonight that

Preliminary laboratory tests gave encouraging signs that Pfizer Inc.’s PFE 0.62% experimental Covid-19 pill for the newly infected could work against Omicron, the company said. * * * The positive results come as the Food and Drug Administration reviews whether to clear use of Paxlovid in high-risk adults, a decision that could come before the end of the year. * * * Meanwhile, a separate, preliminary analysis provided signs the drug may help people at low risk of severe Covid-19, such as vaccinated individuals who end up becoming sick.

From the tidbits department —

Healthcare mergers and acquisitions surged in 2021, growing 56% in the 12 months through Nov. 15 versus 2020.

There was particularly high growth among physician medical groups, which saw more than 400 deals, as well as managed care and rehabilitation subsectors, according to a new report from PwC. This compares to about 200 to 250 deals per year between 2017 and 2019.

There’s the potential for more consolidation and private equity roll-ups in 2022 and beyond as practices have experienced challenging economics and may face 2022 Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) payment cuts.

  • The Leapfrog Group announced its 2021 top hospitals in our country.

This year, 149 hospitals from across the country received the Top Hospital Award. California, Florida, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania were the states with the most Top Hospitals, with ten or more hospitals in each state receiving the designation. The Top Hospitals are recognized in four categories: Top General Hospitals (46 recipients), Top Rural Hospitals (23 recipients), Top Teaching Hospitals (72 recipients), and Top Children’s Hospitals (8 recipients).

Full results of the 2021 Leapfrog Hospital Survey are publicly reported and available for free on Leapfrog’s website, providing patients with a resource to make informed decisions about where to seek treatment.

To see the methodology for Top Hospitals, please visit https://www.leapfroggroup.org/tophospitals.

  • The Centers for Disease Control offers six tips for eating healthy on a budget.