Friday Stats and More

David Ermer–ACA, COVID-19, COVID-19 vaccine, Rx coverage–

This week’s chart of new COVID-19 cases (and deaths) is startling. Week 27 ended on July 9.

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What strikes the FEHBlog is that the number of COVID-19 related deaths has remained stable over this time period. If the number of new cases is a leading indicator of deaths, then the number of deaths should have steadily increased following week 20. That hasn’t happened. Why you ask? In the FEHBlog’s opinion, the at risk folks have been taking effective protective measures, and the doctors have learned better approaches to treating the disease.

On the COVID-19 vaccine front —

  • Medcity News reports that Moderna is making progress with its vaccine studies. If the studies prove successful, “The company said that it is on track to provide about 500 million and potentially up to 1 billion doses of the vaccine annually starting next year.”
  • Fierce Pharma reports that “In separate interviews this week, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla and BioNTech CEO Ugur Sahin said their mRNA vaccine candidate could be ready to submit to regulators in the fall or winter, respectively, pending success in a massive pivotal study yet to kick off.”

Fingers crossed.

Pharma Catalyst informs us that “more than 20 leading biopharmaceutical companies are launching the AMR Action Fund, a ground-breaking partnership to invest nearly $1 billion to ensure a robust and diverse pipeline of new medicines to treat drug-resistant infections.” That’s important too.

The Affordable Care Act created “grandfathered plan” status for electing employer sponsored plans. Grandfather status exempts the plan from many of the ACA mandates. The Obama Administration used its regulatory authority to minimize the availability of this exemption. The Kaiser Family Foundation reported last year that 13% of employees were covered under a grandfathered plan. Most of the grandfathering occurs in the midwest. That’s more than the FEHBlog expected to find. In any event, today the Trump Administration’s ACA regulators issued a proposed rule to create two new flexibilities that would help employers preserve grandfather plan status. Here’s a link to the FAQ on the proposed rule.