Friday Stats and More

Friday Stats and More

Based on the Centers for Disease Control’s COVID-19 Data Tracker website, here is the FEHBlog’s chart of new weekly COVID-19 cases and deaths over the 14th week of 2020 through 34th week of this year (beginning April 2, 2020, and ending August 25, 2021; using Thursday as the first day of the week in order to facilitate this weekly update):

and here is the CDC’s latest overall weekly hospitalization rate chart for COVID-19:

The FEHBlog has noticed that the new cases and deaths chart shows a flat line for new weekly deaths  because new cases significantly exceed new deaths. Accordingly here is a chart of new COVID-19 deaths over the period (April 2, 2020, through August 25, 2021):

Finally here is a COVID-19 vaccinations chart over the period December 17, 2020, through August 25, 2021, which also uses Thursday as the first day of the week:

The cases, hospitalizations, and death charts move continue to move in the wrong direction. New vaccinations remain steady as people recognize that the Delta variant is more aggressive than the 2020 wave. If there is any bright side it is that the elderly (age 65 and older) who are at the greatest risk of death from COVID-19 are the most vaccinated group in the U.S. with 81.5% fully vaccinated and another 10% at the first dose stage.

For more stats, here’s a link to the CDC’s weekly interpretative review. “As of August 26, 2021, 203 million people in the United States have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. 172 million people are fully vaccinated. That’s 60.8% of the eligible population (12 years and older). * * * COVID-19 vaccines remain the most powerful tool we have against COVID-19, making it critical that all people get vaccinated as soon as they are eligible. To find a vaccine provider near you, visit vaccines.gov or your state or local public health department.”

The CDC also issued its 2021-22 flu season vaccination recommendations today.

Routine annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months who do not have contraindications. * * * Balancing considerations regarding the unpredictability of timing of onset of the influenza season and concerns that vaccine-induced immunity might wane over the course of a season, particularly for older adults, vaccination is recommended to be offered by the end of October. * * * Children aged 6 months through 8 years who require 2 doses (i.e., children in this age group who have never received influenza vaccine or who have not previously received a lifetime total of ≥2 doses; see Children Aged 6 Months Through 8 Years) should receive their first dose as soon as possible after the vaccine becomes available to allow the second dose (which must be administered ≥4 weeks later) to be received, ideally, by the end of October. Children of any age who require only 1 dose for the season should also ideally be vaccinated by the end of October; vaccination of these children may occur as soon as vaccine is available because there is less evidence to suggest that early vaccination is associated with waning immunity among children compared with adults.

Also from the Delta variant front

  • The Numbers columnist in the Wall Street Journal reports that “Medical studies often use thousands of volunteers. But sometimes good things come in small packages—like a handful of people willing to contract a deadly virus. Researchers in the U.K. have deliberately infected 30 volunteers with the virus that causes Covid-19, in the first human challenge study of the disease. Infecting the volunteers—who are healthy, unvaccinated and range in age from 18 to 30—will allow the scientists to observe in real time how the virus attacks the body and, from the moment of exposure, how the immune system responds. * * * [In contrast to a large clinical study involving the use of placebo] a human challenge study of a relatively small number of participants offers precise answers to specific questions, often related to immune response. Today, human challenges conducted under the supervision of institutional review boards are routinely used to research diseases such as influenza, malaria, cholera, salmonella, shigellosis and norovirus.”
  • The Journal also reports that British scientists are making progress in carefully growing the Delta variant for use in these human challenges. The U.S. is not conducting human challenges involving COVID-19 at this time.
  • The Journal also informs us that “U.S. intelligence agencies are unable to determine conclusively how the Covid-19 pandemic emerged, a summary of a classified report released Friday said.” The article concludes “In a July 27 letter to Mr. Biden, the Democratic and Republican leaders of the Senator Foreign Relations and Intelligence committees urged the president to carry on with the investigation until the intelligence community had reached conclusions on the origin of the pandemic with a high degree of confidence. The letter urged that the inquiry examine what U.S. government funding was provided to the Wuhan Institute of Virology for advanced virus research.”

In other news —

  • The Federal Times reports that “Federal employees will get a total 2.7 percent pay raise in 2022, as President Joe Biden informed Congress Aug. 27 that he intends to exercise his authority to determine federal pay rates during a state of emergency.” The increase will breaks down into a 2.2% general increase and a 0.5% locality pay increase.
  • Fierce Healthcare tells us that “OptumRx has released its quarterly look at the drug pipeline, and two of the therapies highlighted in the report target fairly common conditions. Finerenone, or the brand name Kerendia, was approved by the Food and Drug Administration on July 9. The drug treats chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes. Some 26.8 million Americans have been diagnosed with diabetes, and one in three eventually develop some kind of kidney disease. Bill Dreitlein, senior director of pipeline and drug surveillance at OptumRx, told Fierce Healthcare that the drug will be entering a market where many patients are already treated by low-cost therapies. “With the entrance of this drug, some patients are going to shift from a low-cost treatment to a higher-cost treatment,” he said. The other drugs highlighted in the report are: (1) Atogepant, which is pending a brand name, a drug that treats episodic and chronic migraines; (2) Odevixibat, or the brand name Bylvay, which treats progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis, a liver disease, and (3) Maralixibat, which also has yet to set a brand name, treats Alagille Syndrome, a rare genetic disease of the liver.
  • Healthcare Dive informs us that “COVID-19 hospitalizations continue to rise as coronavirus cases surge across the U.S. This once again puts pressure on hospital operations and will likely put downward pressure on nonprofit hospital margins, according to a new report from Fitch Ratings. In some areas, hospitalizations are higher than they were during previous surges.”

Tuesday’s Tidbits

Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

From Capitol Hill, the Wall Street Journal reports that “Top House Democrats said the chamber would move forward with voting on the budget blueprint for a $3.5 trillion healthcare, education and climate package next week, rebuffing demands from a group of centrist Democrats to first vote on a $1 trillion infrastructure bill and urging their caucus to stay unified around President Biden’s agenda” According to the article the centrist Democrats opposed the Speaker’s compromise approach discussed in Sunday’s Post and the much larger Democrat progressive causus pushed hard for this outcome. Speaker Pelosi can only afford to lose three of the nine Democrat centrists as the Republicans are expected to unanimously oppose the budget blueprint.

From the Delta variant front

  • Bloomberg reports that the Southern states continue to experience robust vaccination rates one month after the mid-July low point.
  • The Wall Street Journal informs us that “The Delta variant of the Covid-19 virus appears to be breaking through the protection vaccines provide at a higher rate than previous strains, a Wall Street Journal analysis found, though infections among the fully inoculated remain a tiny fraction of overall cases, and symptoms tend to be milder.”
  • Most significantly the New York Times reports tonight that

The Biden administration has decided that most Americans should get a coronavirus booster vaccination eight months after they received their second shot, and could begin offering third shots as early as the third week of September, according to administration officials familiar with the discussions.

Officials are planning to announce the decision on Wednesday at the White House. Their goal is to let Americans who received the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna vaccines know now that they will need additional protection against the Delta variant, which is causing caseloads to surge across much of the nation. But the new policy will depend on the Food and Drug Administration authorizing additional shots.

Recipients of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, which was authorized as a one-dose regimen, will also most likely require an additional dose, the officials said. But they are waiting for results, expected this month, from a clinical trial that provided participants with two doses. So far, only about 14 million people in the United States have gotten the Johnson & Johnson shot, which the government began offering in March. The first Pfizer and Moderna vaccines were given in December.

The first boosters would probably go to nursing home residents, health care workers and emergency workers, who were the first to be vaccinated last winter. They would likely be followed by other older people, then by the general population. Officials envision giving people the same vaccine they originally received.

On the federal employment front, Federal News Network tells us that OPM is promulgating an interim final rule that will allow agencies to “hire [bachelors degree or graduate] students to a temporary appointment of a year or a term appointment of one-to-four years. Students will work for their agency at the General Schedule 11 level or below while in school. Students who finish their degrees and meet a series of other requirements are eligible for a permanent position at the same agency, OPM said.”

From the federal guidance front

  • The National Law Review informs us that “OSHA’s Revised COVID-19 Guidance [released August 13] Adopts CDC’s Latest Recommendation on Masks for Vaccinated Employees, Advocates for Vaccination, and Suggests Periodic Testing for Unvaccinated Employees.” “Although OSHA disclaims that its recommendations are legally binding on employers, the agency also includes language that signals that failure to adhere to the recommendations could be legally significant for the employer.  Specifically, OSHA prefaces its guidance by stating: “The recommendations are advisory in nature and informational in content and are intended to assist employers in providing a safe and healthful workplace free from recognized hazards that are causing or likely to cause death or serious physical harm.”
  • The tri-agencies issued Affordable Care Act FAQ 48 informing interested parties that in response to litigation they are working on an amending the “2018 final regulations that expanded exemptions for entities with religious or moral objections to the contraceptive coverage requirement to which their health plans would otherwise be subject.” That rulemaking of course will lead to more litigation and so on.

On the drug news front, STAT News reports that

A new study found that the number of adults who used two widely prescribed stimulants nearly doubled in recent years, raising concerns about a potential wave of abuse since both medicines can be highly addictive.

Specifically, an estimated 4.1 million adults reported using amphetamines and methylphenidate in 2018, an increase of nearly 80% from 2013. Measured by total prescriptions, the use of amphetamines rose 119% during that time, while the use of methylphenidate grew about 39%, according to the study, which was published in BMJ Open.

The article warns that this surge could turn into another epidemic.

On the healthcare utilization front, Fierce Healthcare reports that

Hospitals did not experience a major rebound in deferred care in the first part of 2021, foretelling that such care may not be coming back, a new analysis finds.

The analysis from Kaiser Family Foundation and the Epic Health Research Network, released Tuesday, found hospital spending was 4.1% below expected levels in June. It is the latest evidence of how the lingering impact of the pandemic could affect hospital finances, especially as the highly transmissible delta variant is causing new surges in most states.

“Several factors may be contributing to the lower-than-expected number of hospital admissions in early 2021,” the analysis said. “For example, the economic effects of the pandemic may depress the number of people seeking services.”

Researchers explored data from 250 hospitals across 47 states and 112 million patients through April 9, 2021.

Hospital admission rates were nearly 90% of what were expected if the pandemic did not happen, the analysis found.

From the tidbits department

  • Health Day tells us that “A small, new study suggests that getting out of your chair every half hour may help improve your blood sugar levels and your overall health.”
  • Fierce Healthcare informs us that “New York City-based Unite Us announced this morning [August 17] the acquisition of Carrot Health, a consumer data and predictive analytics platform offering engagement insights to payer and provider customers. With its new purchase, the social determinants of health software platform said it will be better positioned to help healthcare organizations identify patients with unmet social needs and connect them to community resources across all 50 states. Unite Us did not disclose the terms of the deal, which has already closed.”
  • In this week’s NIH Director’s blog, Dr. Francis Collins discusses how advanced brain scanning can help guide neurosurgeons.
  • Last but certainly not least the HHS Agency for Healthcare Quality and Research issued a call to action on achieving health equity.

Thursday Miscellany

Photo by Juliane Liebermann on Unsplash

Govexec reports that

The Veterans Affairs Department will more than triple the number of employees who must receive the vaccine, bringing the total to 360,000. VA originally required just its frontline health care staff—those hired under Title 38 of the U.S. Code—to be inoculated, which amounted to about 115,000 workers. 

The mandate will now include Title Five employees within the Veterans Health Administration—such as housekeepers, engineers and administrative staff—and health care providers such as psychologists, pharmacists, physical therapists, nursing assistants and others in “Hybrid Title 38” positions. 

“We’re now including most VHA employees and volunteers and contractors in the vaccine mandate because it remains the best way to keep veterans safe, especially as the Delta variant spreads across the country,” Secretary Denis McDonough said. “This pandemic is not over and VA must do everything in our power to protect veterans from COVID-19. With this expanded mandate, we can once again make—and keep—that fundamental promise.”

Employees impacted by the new mandate will have eight weeks to get the vaccine or prove they already have.

In the same vein, the Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) announced today that

[HHS] will require more than 25,000 members of its health care workforce to be vaccinated against COVID-19.

Staff at the Indian Health Service (IHS) and National Institutes of Health (NIH) who serve in federally-operated health care and clinical research facilities and interact with, or have the potential to come into contact with, patients will be required to receive the COVID-19 vaccine. This includes employees, contractors, trainees, and volunteers whose duties put them in contact or potential contact with patients at an HHS medical or clinical research facility.

Additionally, U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy will immediately require members of the U.S. Public Health Service Commissioned Corps to be vaccinated against COVID-19 as part of medical readiness procedures to prepare for any potential deployment need as emergency responders

Those two mandates apply to about 20% of the federal workforce. In contrast, the general approach is a vaccine screening requirement — either attest to receiving the vaccine or wear a facemask and receive regular COVID-19 testing.

Furthermore, the Wall Street Journal reports that

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration authorized booster shots for certain people with weakened immune systems, likely the launch of broader efforts to better protect against evasive variants like Delta.

The agency on Thursday cleared giving a third dose of a messenger RNA Covid-19 vaccine from Pfizer Inc. PFE 2.01% and its partner BioNTech SE BNTX 4.13% or from Moderna Inc. MRNA 1.58% to immunocompromised people who had received a solid organ transplant or individuals who have been diagnosed with conditions that are considered to have an equivalent level of immunocompromise.

From the health equity front, the National Institutes of Health released a disturbing study on maternal mortality:

Racial and ethnic disparities in maternal mortality — deaths related to pregnancy or childbirth — in the United States may be larger than previously reported, suggests a study funded by the National Institutes of Health. By re-examining information on death certificates from 2016 and 2017, researchers found that the maternal mortality rate among non-Hispanic Black women was 3.5 times higher than among non-Hispanic white women. Previously, standard analyses had indicated a 2.5-times-higher death rate for Black women.

The new analysis also revealed that these disparities were concentrated among a few causes of death. Postpartum cardiomyopathy (disease of the heart muscle) and the blood pressure disorders preeclampsia and eclampsia were leading causes of maternal death for Black women, with mortality rates five times higher than those for white women. Pregnant and postpartum Black women were two to three times more likely than white women to die of hemorrhage (severe bleeding) or embolisms (blood vessel blockages).

The study was funded by NIH’s Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) and led by Marian MacDorman, Ph.D., of the Maryland Population Research Center at the University of Maryland. It appears in the American Journal of Public Health.

Healthcare Dive reports on HIMSS conference presentations on this important topic of achieving health equity.

Healthcare executives do say equity is a top priority for their organizations, with half of the CEOs surveyed by Deliotte early this year saying its among their top three organizational priorities this year, according to a recent report from the consultancy.

However, companies are at different stages of actually implementing equity and inclusion programs, with some reporting they’ve been focused on addressing disparities for years, and others just beginning to define what it means to their organization.

Of the 20 chief executives surveyed by Deliotte, 17 said they had a dedicated team or budget for health equity initiatives.

That top-level buy-in is important, but addressing health inequities needs to be a whole-enterprise mission, [Ronald] Copeland[, the chief equity, inclusion and diversity officer for integrated health giant Kaiser Permanente] said, integrated into every facet of payer and provider goals. One strategy to achieve this could be to make health equity a formal dimension of quality improvement, a policy that’s even recently been considered in federal payer programs under the Biden administration.

In other HIMSS conference news —

  • Fierce Healthcare informs about HIMSS conference discussion on rationalizing patient and provider experiences with multiple front end apps.
  • Healthcare Dive interviews Teladoc’s president of hospitals and health systems, Joe DeVivo about the state of the telehealth market and the company’s ambitions.

STAT News informed us today that 19,000 people attended the HIMSS conference in person and 5,000 attended virtually. 700 exhibitors attended. Both of those totals are about half of the normal in person attendance at HIMSS.

From the drug costs front, the White House released the President’s ideas on how to reduce prescription drug costs. The President leads off with encouraging Congress to allow CMS to negotiate Medicare Part D drug contracts. That change may save money for the federal government but it shift those savings to the commercial sector including the FEHB.

Also the HHS Inspector General released a report on opioid use among Medicare beneficiaries in 2020. “More than 43,000 Medicare Part D beneficiaries suffered an opioid overdose—from prescription opioids, illicit opioids, or both—in 2020.” The Inspector General also noticed a drop in prescriptions for opioid treatments which the OIG found concerning. “A May 2020 OIG data brief recommended that CMS educate Part D beneficiaries and providers about access to MAT drugs and naloxone. We continue to encourage CMS to take these steps. It is also critical for CMS to closely monitor the number of beneficiaries receiving MAT drugs and naloxone and take action, if needed. OIG is also committed to continuing our work on opioid use and access to treatment.”

In litigation news, the prescription benefit manager trade association, PCMA, has filed a lawsuit against HHS in the District of Columbia’s federal court challenging the legality of certain aspects of the payer transparency rule scheduled to start phasing in on January 1, 2022.

PCMA is not challenging the portions of the rule that direct plans to provide useful information directly to patients. But we are challenging the portions of the rule that do not meet those important objectives and will not produce information that patients and physicians can use.

These parts of the Trump administration’s transparency rule will drive prescription drug costs higher. By requiring disclosure of “historical” net prices, which are essentially current year net prescription drug prices, the rule will directly provide drug manufacturers access to their competitors’ negotiated rebates, discounts, and price concessions. This in turn will allow drug manufacturers to discount less deeply as they realize their price concessions went beyond those of competitors.

In addition, outside entities will not be able to develop reported information into a useful and understandable format for patients. Unlike health plans and PBMs, third-party application developers will not know patients’ existing insurance enrollment and eligibility or their current benefits and whether they have met a deductible or reached an out-of-pocket limit, and so the third-party applications are likely to cause widespread confusion among patients. Net prices are generally not useful information to patients because their deductible and coinsurance payments are calculated based on negotiated rates, not net prices.

PBMs and health plans already have real-time benefits tools for patients and prescribers, which they can use at the point of prescribing to check on cost-sharing for every patient based on their individual situation and health plan.

Coincidentally, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has filed a substantially similar lawsuit in the federal court for the Eastern District of Texas. That case challenges the legality of the “historical net prices” provision and the “three machine readable tapes” provision of the HHS rule on the ground that they have no utility to consumers. Good luck.

Finally, the Census Bureau released a lot more 2020 census data today. The Wall Street Journal observes that “The nation’s population grew just 7.4% during the decade, the second slowest on record for a decennial census. Only the 1930s—the era of the Great Depression—saw slower growth.”

Midweek Update

Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

The American Hospital Association informs us that

The Senate early this morning approved on a party line vote a $3.5 trillion budget resolution, which included reconciliation instructions which will provide the majority party with the means to pass a comprehensive reconciliation package with just 51 votes in the Senate, rather than the usual 60-vote hurdle. The House will reconvene on Aug. 23 to consider the budget resolution. Once the resolution has passed both chambers, the House and Senate majorities can proceed with the reconciliation process, a resolution to which is expected in the fall. 

Bloomberg adds

Translating the budget framework into law will require Biden and Democratic congressional leaders keeping their party’s moderate and progressive wings marching together.

Just hours after passage of the budget blueprint, Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat from West Virginia, said he couldn’t support a social spending bill with a $3.5 trillion price tag. Senator Kyrsten Sinema, an Arizona Democrat, has said the same. One Democratic objection is all it would take to scuttle the package in the Senate.

Time will tell but we are talking about $3.5 trillion on top of the $1 trillion infrastructure bill and multi-trillion COVID-19 relief bills that Congress has passed in the last 18 months. It appears that Congress is trying to disprove the adage that money can’t solve all problems.

One of the initiatives in the budget reconciliation package is to add dental, vision, and hearing coverage to Medicare. Kaiser Health News discusses the issue here.

From the Delta variant front

  • The Centers for Disease Control’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practice released a helpful report on COVID-19 adverse side effects which it summarized as follows

What is already known about this topic?

Rare serious adverse events have been reported after COVID-19 vaccination, including Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) and thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) after Janssen COVID-19 vaccination and myocarditis after mRNA (Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna) COVID-19 vaccination.

What is added by this report?

On July 22, 2021, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices reviewed updated benefit-risk analyses after Janssen and mRNA COVID-19 vaccination and concluded that the benefits outweigh the risks for rare serious adverse events after COVID-19 vaccination.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Continued COVID-19 vaccination will prevent COVID-19 morbidity and mortality far exceeding GBS, TTS, and myocarditis cases expected. Information about rare adverse events should be disseminated to providers, vaccine recipients, and the public.

  • Forbes tells us that today “The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention encouraged anyone pregnant and breastfeeding to get vaccinated against coronavirus Wednesday, pointing to a growing amount of evidence that vaccines are safe and effective as new cases and hospitalizations linked to the virus surge across the country.” The Washington Post adds “Just 23 percent of pregnant women have received at least one shot of vaccine.”
  • Also from Forbes as schools begin to reopen “Vaccine rates among teenagers have remained lower than the U.S. population overall, with only 43% of 12- to 15-year-olds and 52.8% of 16- and 17-year-olds receiving at least a first dose as compared with 58.9% of the total population and 71.2% of adults.”
  • The Boston Globe discusses this teenage hesitancy issue — “The top reservation among parents of unvaccinated teens was the lack of information about the long-term effects of the shot, followed by concerns about side effects and fertility — despite conclusive evidence that the vaccine has no negative impacts on reproduction. Dr. Jill Kasper, a pediatrician at Cambridge Health Alliance, said she typically encounters ‘very little hesitancy’ from parents about routine adolescent vaccinations. That hasn’t been the case with COVID-19.”

The HHS Agency for Healthcare Quality and Research issued two noteworthy studies today. Here are the topline findings

  • #1 Overuse or low-value procedures may result in patient physical, psychological, or emotional harm. This study explored the association between eight low-value care procedures and length of stay (LOS) and cost. All eight procedures were associated with increased LOS and cost, particularly spinal fusion. Patients receiving low-value care may be exposed to increased risk of adverse events and hospital-acquired conditions.
  • #2 Medication administration errors made by parent or caregivers can result in medication errors at home. This systematic review found that 30% to 80% of pediatric patients experience a medication error at home, and that the risk increases based on characteristics of the caregiver and if a prescription contains more than two drugs.

Healthcare Dive informs us that

  • CVS Health said its Aetna unit will offer virtual primary care to self-funded employers nationwide in a move that underscores the growing popularity of telehealth services fueled by the COVID-19 public health emergency.
  • Using Teladoc Health’s physician-led care team model, the Aetna Virtual Primary Care service is intended to help strengthen the patient-doctor relationship and improve access to care, the vertically integrated company announced Tuesday. Members can receive health services remotely and in person.

Such support for primary care should be applauded.

In other healthcare news

  • STAT News reports that The Department of Veterans Affairs has decided not to cover a new Alzheimer’s drug from Biogen [Adulhelm], citing insufficient evidence of “a robust and meaningful clinical benefit” and concerns about safety. In a notice issued by the agency, the VA said it will make exceptions for “highly selected patients” and listed several hurdles that must be cleared before the medicine will be covered, such as requiring it to be prescribed by providers who specialize in treating dementia and ensuring patients had recently received MRI brain scans. * * * ‘Its bad news for Biogen,’ said Ira Loss of Washington Analysis, which tracks legislative and regulatory issues affecting the pharmaceutical industry for investors, who noted several private insurers have either declined or delayed coverage for the drug. ‘The VA is a big buyer of medicines. And you don’t like this kind of publicity, that’s for sure.’”
  • Fierce Healthcare continues to report from the HIMSS conference in Las Vegas. “Health IT giant Epic launched a new customer story-sharing website that lets Epic users share insights, tips and creative ideas around using health IT to improve their organizations and patient care. The site, EpicShare.org, combines insights from industry leaders, quick tips on improving outcomes and performance, in-depth case studies as well as a “Hey Judy” column from Epic founder and CEO Judy Faulkner.”

Friday Stats and More

Based on the Centers for Disease Control’s COVID-19 Data Tracker website, here is the FEHBlog’s chart of new weekly COVID-19 cases and deaths over the 14th week of 2020 through 31st week of this year (beginning April 2, 2020, and ending August 4, 2021; using Thursday as the first day of the week in order to facilitate this weekly update):

and here is the CDC’s latest overall weekly hospitalization rate chart for COVID-19:

The FEHBlog has noticed that the new cases and deaths chart shows a flat line for new weekly deaths  because new cases significantly exceed new deaths. Accordingly here is a chart of new COVID-19 deaths over the period (April 2, 2020, through August 4, 2021):

Finally here is a COVID-19 vaccinations chart over the period December 17, 2020, through August 24, 2021, which also uses Thursday as the first day of the week:

While COVID-19 cases are soaring, the number of deaths remains stable thanks to the high vaccination rates for Americans over age 65. It is also encouraging that the number of administered vaccinations also is increasing.

In other Delta variant news:

  • Surprisingly, according to STAT News, “with nearly 20% of all U.S. Covid cases last week recorded in children, the American Academy of Pediatrics and 11 other organizations put out a consensus statement this week calling on providers conducting sports physicals to ask about children’s Covid vaccination status and to use it as an opportunity to administer a vaccine, if possible.”
  • Fierce Pharma tells us that “In a trial of nearly 480,000 healthcare workers in South Africa, Johnson & Johnson‘s one-dose vaccine helped prevent severe disease from the Delta variant, Bloomberg reports. The trial is the first piece of large-scale evidence that shows the shot works against the variant, the news service stated. In fact, Glenda Gray, one of the leaders of the work, said the vaccine may provide better protection against Delta than the Beta variant.”
  • MedPage Today reports that “Unvaccinated adults who were previously infected with COVID-19 were twice as likely to be reinfected as those previously infected but also fully vaccinated, researchers found. A case-control study in Kentucky found a more than two times higher risk of COVID-19 cases among unvaccinated adults with prior infection compared with their fully vaccinated counterparts (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.58-3.47), reported Alyson Cavanaugh, PhD, of the CDC, and colleagues, writing in an early edition of the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.
  • In related news Precision Vaccines tells us that “The World Health Organization (WHO) issued Influenza Update N° 399 on August 2, 2021, saying, ‘Globally, despite continued or even increased testing for influenza in some countries, influenza activity remained at lower levels than expected for this time of the year.'”

From the No Surprises Act (“NSA”) front, the FEHBlog discovered today that last Tuesday the tri-agencies and OPM submitted their second NSA interim final rule, which concerns the independent dispute resolution process, to OMB’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs for final review. OIRA already has two listening sessions concerning this rule making on its calendar. This indicates that the second interim final rule will be made public in early September, rather than on its October 1, 2021, due date.

From the federal employee front

  • Govexec brings us up to date on the development of the President’s mandatory vaccination program for federal employees. “The Safer Federal Workforce Task Force—a group President Biden created by executive order that is led by the White House, General Services Administration and Office of Management and Budget—confirmed in new guidance agencies would not initially ask for proof of vaccination, but they could follow up for documentation if they receive “a good faith allegation that strongly suggests” an employee lied on their attestation form. Those “certification of vaccination” forms will soon go out via email to all federal employees, with an Office of Management and Budget official saying that process will begin next week.  While agencies will initially rely on the honor system as it begins asking employees for their vaccination status, the administration made clear there could be consequences for lying.”
  • Govexec also discusses how Medicare Advantage plans are being integrated into FEHB plans. The trend started with HMOs and the APWU Health Plan picked it up for this year. Expect more plans to follow suit for 2022.  

In more news

  • Earlier this week, the FEHBlog noted a Reuters report that the Justice Department is preparing to file suit to block Optum’s acquisition of Change Healthcare. Fierce Healthcare reports today au contraire that “Change Healthcare President and CEO Neil de Crescenzo said Thursday he’s pleased with the company’s progress on regulatory review of its pending deal with Optum and is moving forward with plans for a successful integration. ‘We look forward to continuing to work diligently in coordination with UHG (UnitedHealth Group) to provide the necessary information requested by the DOJ (Department of Justice) and completing the transaction.'” Time will tell.
  • Medcity News informs us that “GoodRx struck a partnership with medication data giant Surescripts that would let healthcare providers access cash price information on medications. Arlington, Virginia-based Surescripts dominates the e-prescribing market, offering technology that routes clinicians’ electronic prescriptions directly to pharmacies. It’s owned by CVS Health and Express Scripts, and nearly 2 billion prescriptions were delivered through its software last year.”
  • mHealth Intelligence tells us that “While the pandemic prompted an unprecedented surge in telehealth to address healthcare needs, it also highlighted the gap between those who can access care and those who can’t. Now health systems, community health organizations, non-profits and philanthropic groups are moving to address those gaps with programs that use telehealth to extend care to those who can’t access or afford it. They’re fueling a surge in connected health charities and projects targeting the social determinants of health. Among those groups is Beam Up, an organization launched by telehealth company Beam Healthcare to address gaps in access to health food, quality education and healthcare services. Executives see a need for these services not only in other countries – a partnership with Tyto Care is equipping a handful of orphanages in Mexico with telemedicine technology – but in cities and rural regions across the United States.

Midweek Update

It turns out that OPM Director Kiran Ahuja held her first virtual press conference this morning.

  • The Federal Times discusses her conversation with reporters about implementing the President’s vaccination mandate and piloting an online retirement application for federal employees.
  • Federal News Network and FCW paint with broader brushes about Ms. Ahuja’s goals and challenges.

The FEHBlog noticed today that the OPM senior staff bios on its website provide a good picture of Director Ahuja’s team.

On the Delta variant front

  • Kaiser Health News makes a convincing economic agreement for receiving a COVID-19 vaccination.
  • The New York Times reports that “With a new surge of coronavirus infections ripping through much of the United States, the Food and Drug Administration has accelerated its timetable to fully approve Pfizer-BioNTech’s coronavirus vaccine, aiming to complete the process by the start of next month, people familiar with the effort said. President Biden said last week that he expected a fully approved vaccine in early fall. But the F.D.A.’s unofficial deadline is Labor Day or sooner, according to multiple people familiar with the plan. The agency said in a statement that its leaders recognized that approval might inspire more public confidence and had “taken an all-hands-on-deck approach” to the work.”

On the 2nd quarter financial reports front, Healthcare Dive reports that

Returning utilization of health services and higher-than-expected COVID-19 care costs drove CVS Health’s net income in the second quarter down 7% year over year to $2.8 billion, the healthcare behemoth reported Wednesday.

The payer business, which includes Aetna, reported a medical loss ratio of 84.1%, up significantly from 70.3% the same time last year. The hike in MLR, which was higher than both internal and analyst forecasts, is especially acute compared to the second quarter of 2020, which saw a severe dip in utilization as COVID-19 lockdowns and elective procedure restrictions kicked into gear.

However, CVS beat Wall Street expectations for both earnings and revenue, with topline of $72.6 billion, up 11% year over year, driven mostly by growth in government products. The Woonsocket, Rhode Island-based company raised its full-year guidance following the results.

In legal news, Business Insurance informs us that “The U.S. Department of Justice is weighing a possible lawsuit to block UnitedHealth Group’s (UNH.N) nearly $8 billion deal to acquire health care analytics and technology vendor Change Healthcare (CHNG.O), the Information reported on Tuesday.”

From the federal employee benefits front, Reg Jones tells us in FedWeek that “One valuable feature of the Federal Long Term Care Insurance Program is its more generous rules regarding coverage in retirement, as compared with the FEHB health insurance and FEGLI life insurance programs.” Of course, the greater flexibility may be explained by the facts that FEHB and FEGLI coverage are government funded while FLTCIP is fully member funded. Still it’s useful information.

In other mid-week news

  • The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation released its 2020 report to Congress today.
  • STAT News tells us that “For all the explosive controversy over the approval of the first treatment for Alzheimer’s disease in nearly 20 years, hardly any patients have actually gotten it yet. The drug’s eye-popping, $56,000 annual price and questionable benefit to patients have been a shock to the bureaucracy that makes the health care system run — and that’s having a clear effect on uptake. Some analysts estimated last month that fewer than 100 patients were dosed in the first weeks after the therapy was approved, though availability will likely ramp up over the coming months.”
  • Health Payer Intelligence discusses “five ways payers have tackled mental, hehavioral Healthcare in 2021. As the coronavirus pandemic becomes more manageable and vaccination rates increase nationwide, payers are channeling funds into mental and behavioral healthcare programs.” That’s a sound focus of attention.

Thursday Miscellany

From the Delta Variant front

  • As explained in this White House fact sheet, President Biden announced, among other things, that “to help protect workers and their communities, every federal government employee and onsite contractor will be asked to attest to their vaccination status. Anyone who does not attest to being fully vaccinated will be required to wear a mask on the job no matter their geographic location, physically distance from all other employees and visitors, comply with a weekly or twice weekly screening testing requirement, and be subject to restrictions on official travel. * * * These rules should not only apply to federal workers and onsite contractors. President Biden is directing his team to take steps to apply similar standards to all federal contractors. The Administration will encourage employers across the private sector to follow this strong model.”
  • The FEHBlog was struck by the fact that President intends to apply the mandate to federal contractors which group includes all of the FEHB carriers. If President were to flow down the mandate to federal subcontractors, he would pick up a large chunk of the American economy. This mandate whatever its scope would be accomplished by an amendment to the Federal Acquisition Regulation or perhaps regulator interpretations of the FAR which already includes a lot of provisions on worker safety. Time will tell.
  • Govexec reports on federal employee union and organization responses to the vaccine mandate which has been mixed. The Wall Street Journal adds that “Two prominent business groups, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Business Roundtable, said they welcomed Mr. Biden’s actions.”
  • The Wall Street Journal reports on private sector employers that have implemented a vaccine mandate, including Morgan Stanley, Google and Facebook. These mandates have been tied to office reopenings.

In telehealth business news —

Healthcare Dive reports that

Teladoc Health saw its year-over-year total revenue more than double in the second quarter of this year, coming in above Wall Street expectations and hiking its full-year guidance for the second time this year after offering mild expectations in February.

Analysts noted, however, that membership numbers were stale and the hospital business was slower than expected for the quarter. Shares were down 6% in morning trading Wednesday.

In a call with investors Tuesday, executives tried to steer the conversation toward per-member revenue metrics and touted new contracts, including with major Blues payer HCSC and a primary care platform agreement in the works with an unnamed national payer.

Fierce Healthcare reports that “Amwell is acquiring two digital health companies for $320 million to expand its services beyond telehealth visits. The virtual care company is scooping up SilverCloud Health, a digital mental health platform, and Conversa Health, which offers automated virtual healthcare. The addition of the two companies’ technology will help to differentiate Amwell from other telehealth players, company executives said.”

In prescription drug news, STAT News tells us more about the interchangeable insulin biosimilar that the Food and Drug Administration approved for marketing yesterday. Of note

The agency endorsed Semglee, a copy of long-acting Lantus (insulin glargine), that it first approved last year. * * * But Lantus, which is sold by Sanofi (SNY), already faces competition from several other long-acting insulins. And the company that sells Semglee – Viatris (VTRS), which was created last year when Mylan merged with Pfizer’s Upjohn unit – faces the same challenges winning coverage from health insurers. * * *

The real impact rests with patients whose out-of-pocket costs are more closely tied to the wholesale price for Semglee, according to Sonia Oskouei, vice president of biosimilars at Cardinal Health, a large pharmaceutical wholesaler. Those who pay cash or have high deductible health insurance typically pay more than others, which is where the “market opportunity” exists, she explained.

Depending on the pharmacy, Semglee injector pens cost about $150 to $180 without insurance for a typical month’s supply, compared to $340 or more for the same supply of Lantus, according to the GoodRx web site.

Also STAT News informs us that “Emergent BioSolutions (EBS) plans to resume Covid-19 vaccine production at its Baltimore plant after getting the green light from the FDA, according to The Wall Street Journal. The Baltimore plant had been shut down after FDA inspectors determined there was severe contamination at the plant, which makes the Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) vaccine. While domestic demand for the J&J shot has dwindled in recent months, the Biden administration is seeking to export the vaccine to countries needing protection against Covid-19.” The loss of the Johnson & Johnson to the U.S vaccination campaign will be noted in histories as the one dose is effective with socially vulnerable communities.

Midweek update

From the Delta variant front:

  • The Wall Street Journal offers a helpful set of FAQs on the Delta variant of COVID-19.
  • The Journal also reports that “President Biden is expected to announce Thursday that his administration will require federal employees to get vaccinated or be regularly tested for Covid-19, according to a person familiar with the discussions. * * * The person familiar with the situation said no decision has been finalized, and the policy is still under review. The person said the administration is also strongly considering more stringent masking protocols for unvaccinated federal workers. Such policies could affect millions of workers, depending on which categories of employees were included.
  • Federal News Radio writes out a laundry list of “tricky legal questions” posed by the vaccine mandate, according members of the bar. The FEHBlog expects that the courts will resolve these questions in the government’s favor expeditiously.
  • Bloomberg reports that vaccinations rates are up sharply in the areas of the country where the Delta variant is running amuk. In the end you can count on common sense prevailing.
  • The Journal also informs us that “Protection against symptomatic Covid-19 from Pfizer Inc. and partner BioNTech SE’s vaccine diminished over time but remained strong after six months, according to data released by the companies Wednesday. The efficacy of the vaccine protecting against symptomatic disease dropped every two months, to 84% after six months from a peak of 96% within two months of vaccination, a decline that may add urgency to Pfizer’s push to administer an additional dose to maintain protection. The companies reported that cumulatively the vaccine was 91% effective at preventing symptomatic Covid-19 during the first six months, in line with the analysis that was first reported earlier this year.”

On the new drug / drug research front

  • The Food and Drug Administration today approved for marketing “the first interchangeable biosimilar insulin product, indicated to improve glycemic control in adults and pediatric patients with Type 1 diabetes mellitus and in adults with Type 2 diabetes mellitus. Semglee (insulin glargine-yfgn) is both biosimilar to, and interchangeable with (can be substituted for), its reference product Lantus (insulin glargine), a long-acting insulin analog. Semglee (insulin glargine-yfgn) is the first interchangeable biosimilar product approved in the U.S. for the treatment of diabetes. Approval of these insulin products can provide patients with additional safe, high-quality and potentially cost-effective options for treating diabetes.” Outstanding.
  • The National Institutes of Health (NIH) announced that “Researchers have identified a cellular defect common to familial and sporadic forms of ALS [/ Lou Gehrig’s Disease]. The NIH-funded study may point to possible therapeutic target for the disease.” Encouraging.

In other NIH news, the director of the National HEAL Initiative provides an update on the program’s efforts. She describes her program as follows:

HEAL’s mission is to find scientific solutions to help end addiction long-term. And although this goal is concrete, it’s not always simple. We recognize that people face real-world challenges accessing high-quality care for pain and addiction, and our research needs to take this into account. As I’ll describe in the post, HEAL is funding several studies to accelerate research to practice to improve health, as well as to prevent unnecessary loss of life from overdose.

Good luck with that worthy effort.

In FEHB news, Reg Jones has posted a Fedweek column on children’s benefits under the program.

Healthcare Dive continues to report on second quarter financial reporting from health insurers. Today, Humana reported. According to Healthcare Dive,

Non-COVID-19 medical use bounced back faster than expected during the second quarter, Humana executives told investors Wednesday. The insurer was able to post net income of $588 million as COVID-19 treatment costs for its members fell faster than anticipated, compared to $1.8 billion a year ago as patients deferred care amid the pandemic.

Humana, which insures a large portion of seniors through Medicare, did disclose that is has noticed COVID-19 admissions increasing in recent weeks, a potentially troubling sign.

The payer experienced robust membership growth in its Medicaid business while it reported declines in the fully-insured commercial segment. Overall, total medical membership was up slightly compared to the prior-year period.

Monday Roundup

Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash
  • On the COVID-19 front, David Leonhardt in the New York Times provides valuable insights on how to think about COVID-19 cases that have broken through vaccinations. “

Different vaccinated people are going to make different decisions, and that’s OK. I find the risk of breakthrough infections to be small enough that I’m not going to make major changes to my behavior.

I would feel differently if I lived in a community with a lower vaccination rate — or if I lived with somebody who was vulnerable to Covid because of an immunodeficiency. And the current surge in cases has changed my thinking. I will again wear a mask sometimes when in close contact with strangers, even if it has little tangible effect. The main reason to do so, as Dowdy said, is to contribute to a shared sense that we have entered a worrisome new phase of the pandemic.

  • Fierce Healthcare reports that “Dozens of healthcare professional organizations including the American Hospital Association, America’s Essential Hospitals and the Association of American Medical Colleges have released joint or individual statements calling for providers to implement mandatory COVID-19 vaccination policies for healthcare personnel.” The Wall Street Journal adds that “A significant uptick in Covid-19 cases across the U.S. is leading to new vaccination mandates for public employees, with the Department of Veterans Affairs on Monday becoming the first federal agency, California the first state, and New York the first major city to announce requirements for their workers. “epartment of Veterans Affairs Secretary Denis McDonough said healthcare personnel who work in or visit Veterans Health Administration facilities or provide direct care to people the VA serves would have eight weeks to get vaccinated. Officials in the state of California and New York City said Monday they would require their workers to either be vaccinated against Covid-19 or be tested at least weekly for the virus. California’s order, which also applies to those who work in healthcare settings, goes into effect in August. The New York City mandate begins after Labor Day.”
  • The Wall Street Journal also reports “The U.S. has purchased 200 million additional Covid-19 vaccine doses from Pfizer Inc. and partner BioNTech SE at a higher price than previous deals. The U.S. is paying about $24 a dose, according to Pfizer, up from the $19.50 that the government paid in its earlier deals to supply the country. The deal brings the total purchased from the U.S. to 1 billion doses. The companies said they expect to deliver 110 million of the additional doses by the end of the year, with the rest by the end of next April.  While demand has largely stalled in recent weeks, additional demand could open up if the vaccine is cleared for use in younger children. Pfizer is testing the vaccine in children under 12 years old, and has said it hopes to begin having data available before the end of the year.  The new agreement is in addition to the one announced last month for 500 million doses that the U.S. is scheduled to donate to the rest of the world.”
  • In this regard, the Washington Post reports that “Federal regulators have requested that vaccine companies expand their trials to test coronavirus shots in several thousand school-aged children before seeking [emergency use authorization] — a move intended to assess whether a rare inflammation of the heart muscle that has been seen in young adults shortly after vaccination is more common in younger age groups.”
  • STAT News provides its perspective on the current surge. STAT suggests that this surge is accelerating faster than last summer’s surge which is not surprising because the Delta variant is much more contagious that the variant in circulation last summer.
  • The Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) has announced that it ‘will invest more than $1.6 billion from the American Rescue Plan to support testing and mitigation measures in high-risk congregate settings to prevent the spread of COVID-19 and detect and stem potential outbreaks.’
  • Today, in commemoration of “the 31st anniversary of the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), (HHS) and the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) jointly published guidance on how “long COVID” can be a disability under the ADA, Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act, and Section 1557 of the Affordable Care Act.  The guidance is on the HHS website and on the DOJ website.

Also today, HHS announced phase 2 of the HPV vaccination campaign for young adults.

Currently, only 40% of young adults in the United States have received one or more doses of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine, and only 22% have completed the vaccine series.i The HHS Office of the Assistant Secretary for Health’s Office on Women’s Health is launching the second phase of the HPV VAX NOW campaign to address this gap. The initial campaign launched on January 6, 2021 to support healthcare providers who counsel young adults in Mississippi, South Carolina, and Texas by providing resources to promote effective HPV vaccine recommendations. The second phase of the campaign will target young adults ages 18–26 in the same three states, with the long-term goal of empowering all to complete the HPV vaccine series.

In health equity developments

  • The American Academy of Actuaries has released a paper on health equity from an actuarial perspective that is worth a gander.
  • Patient Engagement HIT discusses how “a new study [in the New England Journal of Medicine] revealing unequal opioid and pain medication prescription access between White and Black patients is calling into question the prevalence of implicit bias in medicine.” The researchers concluded that “We do not know whether or how these differences affect patient outcomes, because both opioid underuse and overuse can cause harm. We do know that skin color should not influence the receipt of pain treatment. “Our overall observations and system-specific reporting should prompt action by providers, health system administrators, and policymakers to explore root causes, consequences, and effective remediation strategies for racially unequal opioid receipt.”
  • In that regard, Kaiser Health News discusses the pros and cons of state and local government monitoring of opioid prescriptions.

When efforts to establish Missouri’s statewide monitoring program stalled, St. Louis County established one in 2017 that 75 local jurisdictions agreed to participate in, covering 85% of the state, according to the county health department. The county now plans to move its program into the state one, which is scheduled to launch in 2023.

Dr. Faisal Khan, director of the county department, said he has no doubt that the St. Louis program has “saved lives across the state.” Opioid prescriptions decreased dramatically once the county established the monitoring program. In 2016, Missouri averaged 80.4 opioid prescriptions per 100 people; in 2019, it was down to 58.3 prescriptions, according to the CDC.

Khan acknowledged that a monitoring program can lead to an increase in overdose deaths in the years immediately following its establishment because people addicted to prescription opioids suddenly can’t obtain them and instead buy street drugs that are more potent and contain impurities.

But he said a monitoring program can also help a physician intervene before someone becomes addicted. Doctors who flag a patient using the monitoring program must then also be able to easily refer them to treatment, Khan and others said.

“We absolutely are not prepared for that in Missouri,” said Winograd, of NoMODeaths. “Substance use treatment providers will frequently tell you that they are at max capacity.”

The FEHBlog would rather see expansion of treatment facilities that loosening standards on opioid prescribing.

Weekend update

Photo by Dane Deaner on Unsplash

Both Houses of Congress will be in session this week for Committee business and floor voting. It should be noted that for the next several weeks that FEHBlog will be writing from Austin, TX, way outside the Capital Beltway.

On the COVID-19 front

  • The American Medical Association offers an article on what doctors would like their patients to know about COVID-19 variants.
  • The Wall Street Journal reports on the efforts of Pfizer, Merck and the Japanese drugmaker Shionogi to develop a pill to treat COVID-19. “Drugmakers are looking for a pill that those who get a positive Covid-19 test could take at home while their symptoms are mild. Such medicines already exist for influenza, including Roche Holding AG’s Tamiflu and Shionogi’s Xofluza, although they don’t work for all patients and might be prescribed too late to do much good. Xofluza is marketed in the U.S. by Roche. ‘Our target is a very safe oral compound, like Tamiflu, like Xofluza,’ said Isao Teshirogi, Shionogi’s chief executive officer. He said Shionogi’s Covid-19 pill aims to neutralize the virus five days after a patient takes it.” In contrast to the convenience of pills, existing COVID-19 treatments must be administered by a doctor in a hospital or other healthcare facility.

On the regulatory front

  • The American Hospital Association provides more background on the last week’s proposed Calendar Year 2022 Medicare Part B payment rule. The public comment deadline is September 17.
  • Kaiser Health News reports on Biogen’s rather aggressive response to criticism of its FDA approval Alzheimer’s Disease drug Aduhelm which was rolled out last week.

In other news —

  • AHIP discusses health insurer efforts to address provider burnout stemming from the pandemic.
  • Fierce Healthcare reports that UnitedHealthcare, the largest insurer in the country, will make Peloton’s fitness classes to nearly 4 million fully insured members at no cost through its app, beginning on Sept. 1, the company announced. Eligible members will have access to either a 12-month Peloton digital subscription or a four-month waiver for a Peloton All-Access Membership, the insurer said. All-Access members can take fitness classes through connected devices, such as Peloton’s bikes, and track their metrics, in addition to app access.”
  • Fierce Healthcare also informs us that “Anthem and Humana have signed on for a minority stake in a new joint venture that aims to reshape the claims management experience. DomaniRx, pending regulatory approval, will feature a cloud-native, API-driven claims adjudication platform, according to an announcement. SS&C Technologies, which provides services and software to the financial and healthcare industries, will have a majority stake in the venture. * * * The goal of the venture, according to the announcement, is to arm healthcare organizations with “end-to-end transparency and data analytics” to help them keep up with an ever-changing regulatory environment.”