Friday Stats and More

Mental health care

Friday Stats and More

David Ermer–CDC, COVID-19, FDA, Medicare, Mental health care, OPM, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Sincerely Media on Unsplash

From the Omicron and siblings front, the Centers for Disease Control’s weekly interpretative summary of its Covid statistics explains

Cases

As of November 30, 2022, the current 7-day average of weekly new cases (43,300) decreased 1.2% compared with the previous 7-day average (43,837). A total of 98,777,220 COVID-19 cases have been reported in the United States as of December 30, 2022.

Variant Proportions

CDC Nowcast projections* for the week ending December 3, 2022, estimate the proportion of lineages designated as Omicron with estimates above 1%: BA.5—and four of its sublineages (BQ.1, BQ.1.1, BF.7, and BA.5.2.6)—BA.4.6,and XBB. XBB is a recombinant of two BA.2 sublineages.

New Hospital Admissions

The current 7-day daily average for November 23–29, 2022, was 4,201. This is a 17.6% increase from the prior 7-day average (3,572) from November 16–22, 2022.

Vaccinations

As of November 30, 2022, 655.3 million vaccine doses have been administered in the United States. Overall, about 267.3 million people, or 80.5% of the total U.S. population, have received at least one dose of vaccine. About 228.4 million people, or 68.8% of the total U.S. population, have completed a primary series.

Of those who have completed a primary series, about 114.8 million people have received a booster dose,* and more than 39.7 million people have received an updated (bivalent) booster dose. But 48.3% of the total booster-eligible population has not yet received a booster dose. Learn more about who is eligible.

Deaths

The current 7-day average of new deaths (254) decreased 32.4% compared with the previous 7-day average (376). As of November 30, 2022, a total of 1,077,303 Covid-19 deaths have been reported in the United States

The CDC also released an encouraging report about Paxlovid’s efficacy.

Summary

What is already known about this topic?

Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid) is an outpatient antiviral medication recommended for adults with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 who have elevated risk of severe illness.

What is added by this report?

Among U.S. adults diagnosed with COVID-19, including those with previous infection or vaccination, persons who were prescribed Paxlovid within 5 days of diagnosis had a 51% lower hospitalization rate within 30 days after diagnosis than those who were not prescribed Paxlovid.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Paxlovid should be offered to eligible adults irrespective of vaccination status, especially in groups with the highest risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes, such as older adults and those with multiple underlying health conditions.

Also from the public health front, the CDC’s Fluview tells us

  • Seasonal influenza activity is high and continues to increase across the country.
  • Of influenza A viruses detected and subtyped this season, 79% have been influenza A(H3N2) and 21% have been influenza A(H1N1).
  • Two influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported this week, for a total of 14 pediatric flu deaths reported so far this season.
  • CDC estimates that, so far this season, there have been at least 8.7 million illnesses, 78,000 hospitalizations, and 4,500 deaths from flu.
  • The cumulative hospitalization rate in the FluSurv-NET system is higher than the rate observed in week 47 during every previous season since 2010-2011.
  • The number of flu hospital admissions reported in the HHS Protect system during week 47 almost doubled compared with week 46.
  • The majority of influenza viruses tested are in the same genetic subclade as and antigenically similar to the influenza viruses included in this season’s influenza vaccine.
  • All viruses collected and evaluated this season have been susceptible to influenza antivirals.
  • An annual flu vaccine is the best way to protect against flu. Vaccination helps prevent infection and can also prevent serious outcomes in people who get vaccinated but still get sick with flu.
  • CDC recommends that everyone ages 6 months and older get a flu vaccine annually. Now is a good time to get vaccinated if you haven’t already.
  • There are also prescription flu antiviral drugs that can be used to treat flu illness; those need to be started as early as possible.

The Wall Street Journal offers a helpful overview of the tripledemic situation.

From the Alzheimer’s Disease front —

STAT News reports

Scientific meetings about Alzheimer’s disease can be funereal affairs, with researchers from around the world gathering in hopes that the latest in a long line of negative clinical trials might light the path to a long-awaited success.

This year was different. Nearly 2,000 people showed up to the Clinical Trials in Alzheimer’s Disease meeting, a conference record, to hear about lecanemab, a drug from Eisai and Biogen that appears to have broken the decades-long cycle of disappointment.

A packed audience repeatedly burst into applause during Eisai’s lecanemab presentation on Tuesday — with onlookers clapping even when they learned that the results had been concurrently published in the New England Journal of Medicine. Supplemental figures don’t usually don’t draw cheers, but the warm reception underscored how overjoyed researchers were to have any kind of success against Alzheimer’s, even a modest one. * * *

Several researchers compared this moment in Alzheimer’s research to the early days of cancer therapy or HIV treatment — the first drugs aren’t smash hits, but they’re something for scientists and doctors to build on and learn from.

“It’s not like you’ve won the war with lecanemab,” said Eric Siemers, chief medical officer of Acumen Pharma. “We’ve got a lot of work to do. But this is an inflection point. There’s no question about it.”

In that regard, BioPharma Dive points out lessons learned from testing a Roche drug similar to lecanermab.

After one year of treatment, [the Roche drug] gantenerumab reduced amyloid burden in patients only half as well as the trials’ designers had expected based on previous research, said researcher Randall Bateman, a neurology professor at Washington University in St. Louis who helped lead the studies.

Moreover, around half as many gantenerumab patients as predicted tested negative for amyloid over the course of the trial. Almost none tested negative after one year of treatment, and only around a quarter did after more than two years, researchers revealed.

Data for lecanemab and donanemab presented at CTAD, meanwhile, showed stronger amyloid clearance, helping boost confidence in those drugs.

Bateman also pointed to a post-study analysis researchers conducted of Roche’s trials that hinted at better outcomes for trial participants who had higher reductions in amyloid, although this finding wasn’t statistically conclusive.

Taken together with data from other trials, gantenerumab’s results should help researchers as they try to optimize available therapies and develop new ones, Bateman said.

“I see this as one of the missing essential pieces of the puzzle of figuring out how to optimally treat along this pathway for amyloid removal,” he said.

Meanwhile, the New York Times tells us about “A Promising Trial Targets a Genetic Risk for Alzheimer’s
Preliminary results offer hope that gene therapy can protect people with a version of the brain disease driven by a particular gene variant.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front, Healthcare Dive reports

Advocate Aurora Health and Atrium Health announced Friday the two providers have closed their merger deal, becoming the nation’s fifth-largest nonprofit health system by revenue.

The new system, Advocate Health, will generate revenue of more than $27 billion and operate 67 hospitals and more than 1,000 sites of care in six states. The system expects to treat nearly 6 million patients each year. * * *

The two systems do not have any geographic overlap, an aspect that has tripped up prior hospital mergers.

Instead, economists told Healthcare Dive, the FTC is likely to examine insurer overlap in the case of Advocate Health. The combined entity operates in Illinois, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Alabama.

From the federal employment front —

Govexec informs us

The Biden administration will allow agencies to hire employees in certain positions on a temporary basis for up to 10 years, more than doubling the current cap limiting the assignments for those workers.

The Office of Personnel Management issued the rule on Thursday, finalizing a proposal first put forward by the Trump administration. The rule will enable federal agencies to appoint employees in STEM jobs for a decade. OPM said the change would give agencies more flexibility when tackling long-term science, technology, engineering and mathematics projects. Previous regulations required agencies to get special permission from OPM to keep any term employee on staff for longer than four years.

Viet Tran, an OPM spokesman, said the rule showed the administration’s “commitment to STEM hiring.” He added it would allow for more federal, rather than outsourced, hiring. 

“With this final rule, agencies have more flexibility and support (and less administrative burden) to hire employees—rather than contractors—for non-permanent STEM positions that agencies expect from the outset to last longer than 4 years but not more than 10 years,” Tran said. “This is another tool to help agencies better compete for talent.”

As the FEHBlog has explained, federal employees can expect a 4.6% pay raise for 2023 with 4.1% of the increase being distributed across the GS schedule and the remaining 0.5% allocated to locality pay. As it turns out, the Society for Human Resource Management tells us

Employers in the U.S. plan to boost salaries an average of 4.6 percent in 2023, up from 4.2 percent this year, according to a new study.

Employers say inflationary pressures and the ongoing challenges of finding and keeping workers are the main reasons for the higher projected increases. Indeed, 3 in 4 of the 1,550 U.S. employers in the latest Salary Budget Planning Report by consultancy WTW say they continue to experience problems attracting and retaining workers. The survey was conducted from Oct. 3 to Nov. 4, 2022.

From the plan design front, a recent Kaiser Family Foundation report explains the growing use of all sizes of employers to provide retiree health benefits through Medicare Advantage plans.

This analysis uses data from the 2022 KFF Employer Health Benefits Survey to examine the extent to which large private and non-federal public employers that offer retiree health benefits are turning to Medicare Advantage and why they are making this shift. However, the Survey does not include information about union-administered benefits. For additional information about methods, see Survey Design and Methods.

Based on the Survey, we find:

  • Half (50%) of large employers offering retiree health benefits to Medicare-age retirees offer coverage to at least some retirees through a contract with a Medicare Advantage plan, nearly double the share in 2017 (26%).
  • About 44% of large employers that offer Medicare Advantage coverage to their retirees do not give retirees a choice in coverage options. 
  • Among larger employers with 1,000 or more workers that offer retiree health benefits through a Medicare Advantage plan, the most commonly cited reason they elected this option was the lower cost.

FEHB plans also are implementing integrated Medicare Advantage plans as a cost-saving measure.

From the HHS front, “Today, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Xavier Becerra marked the one-year anniversary of HHS’s Overdose Prevention Strategy (Strategy) by announcing the progress the nation has made since the release of the Strategy, showing expanded treatment capacity, lives saved from an overdose, and commitment to long term recovery supports.” Kudos. Here is the fact sheet.

Tuesday’s Tidbits

David Ermer–CDC, Congress, COVID-19, FDA, Mental health care, NIH, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

From Capitol Hill, Roll Call reports

Congressional leaders and top appropriators are set to meet as early as Wednesday to work through differences on a potential omnibus spending agreement, Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer said Tuesday.

President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, along with a few top White House aides, met with Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Schumer earlier Tuesday to discuss the lame-duck agenda.

Schumer said the leaders had a “productive discussion” about funding the government, and said all four leaders aim to come together to pass an omnibus.

“We all agreed that it should be done this year, we all agreed we have to work together and everyone has to give a little bit,” he said. “We also…said we would all work toward getting an omnibus as opposed to a CR.”

The prospects of a lame duck omnibus remain murky as Republicans and Democrats have not reached a topline spending agreement. The current continuing resolution runs out Dec. 16, though lawmakers have discussed a stopgap extension of perhaps a week to buy extra time.

The FEHBlog sees these developments as a good sign.

From the Omicron and siblings front, MedPage Today informs us

What happens to people who get reinfected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19? A recent paper in Nature Medicinehas been misinterpreted by some as providing evidence that repeat infections are somehow worse than first-time infections.

Here’s the actual situation: second infections are far less dangerous than first infections, with respect to severe, critical, and fatal COVID-19. This is true regardless of vaccination status.

Health Payer Intelligence offers three interesting survey findings about health insurance in our country

  • “Health insurance coverage disruptions were associated with higher mortality risks for people with private and public insurance, a JAMA Health Forum study found.”
  • “In two-adult families with and without children, the majority of members had the same type of health insurance coverage, whether they had group plans, non-group plans, or Me,dicaid” according to a brief from the Employee Benefit Researcher Institute (EBRI).

From the public health front, the FEHBlog ran across The PCORI Health Care Horizon Scanning System identifies and monitors developing innovations with potential to change health care. This database can be used by patients, care partners, and others to track advancements in care options.

The Wall Street Journal reports

The rate of gun deaths in the U.S. reached a 28-year high in 2021 after sharp increases in homicides of Black men and suicides among white men, an analysis of federal data showed.

A record 48,953 deaths in the U.S., or about 15 fatalities per 100,000 people, were caused by guns last year, said the analysis published Tuesday in the journal JAMA Network Open. Gun deaths declined in the 1990s, but have been rising steadily over the past decade and skyrocketed during the Covid-19 pandemic, said researchers who conducted the analysis.

Gun-related deaths of women and children have risen, the analysis said, but men remain far more likely to die from guns.

“The disparities are so marked,” said Chris Rees, a co-author of the study and an assistant professor of pediatrics and emergency medicine at Emory University School of Medicine.

On a related note, Federal News Network relates

The Pentagon is looking to hire hundreds of clinicians and mental health professionals in the coming months, as part of the initial cohort of its worldwide suicide prevention workforce.

Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks, speaking Tuesday at a Washington Post Live event, said DoD is building up a “first of its kind” suicide prevention workforce that will eventually reach an end strength of 2,000 personnel.

Hicks said hiring, onboarding and training the suicide prevention workforce is “at the top of the list” of priorities for Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. This DoD workforce, she added, is expected to outpace any similar effort led by universities or state governments.

“This prevention workforce will be a first of its kind, and we’re going to do it right here in the United States military, because that’s what we owe our people and their families,” Hicks said.

From the medical research and development front, the Wall Street Journal reports

Researchers released new details from a study of a closely watched drug for Alzheimer’s disease on Tuesday, shedding more light on the drug’s risks and benefits as U.S. health regulators weigh approving it. 

Eisai Co. and Biogen Inc.’s drug, called lecanemab, slowed cognitive decline by 27% compared with a placebo over 18 months in a study of more than 1,700 people with early-stage Alzheimer’s, researchers reported in the New England Journal of Medicine on Tuesday. 

The drug’s effect was moderate, and was associated with swelling and bleeding in the brain, the researchers said. They recommended further, longer study of the drug.

Some 17.3% of patients taking lecanemab had signs of brain bleeding, compared with 9% in the placebo group. Brain swelling occurred in 12.6% of people getting the drug, versus 1.7% who got placebos. 

The study data have been eagerly anticipated by Alzheimer’s researchers since Eisai disclosed high-level results in September, raising the hopes of doctors and patients that a new treatment proven to help Alzheimer’s patients is on the horizon.

The companies have asked the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to conditionally approve lecanemab based on an earlier study showing that the drug reduced levels of a protein in the brain called amyloid associated with Alzheimer’s. The agency is expected to make a decision by Jan. 6. 

Eisai, which is leading the development of lecanemab, has said it plans to seek full approval using the new study data. 

The NIH DIrector’s Blog tells us about the NIH clinical center doctors who are testing 3D-printed miniature, single-use ventilators. Cool.

Healthcare Dive informs us

Google’s health division has inked its first commercial agreement to use its mammography AI research model in real-world clinical practice, with the goal of improving breast cancer screening, Google Health announced Monday.

Google Health has partnered with cancer detection and therapy medtech iCAD on the 5-year deal. Under the agreement, iCAD will work to validate and incorporate Google’s mammography AI — which Google has been building and testing for several years — into its products for use in clinical practices.

From the U.S. healthcare business front, the Wall Street Journal reports

Apoorva Mehta, a co-founder of Instacart Inc., is working on his next act after saying earlier this year that he would step down as executive chairman from the startup he built into a grocery delivery giant once it goes public.

Mr. Mehta earlier this month raised $30 million for Cloud Health Systems, a new healthcare startup aiming to offer consumers medical consultations and other health-related services, according to people familiar with the matter. 

Good luck.

Thursday Miscellany

David Ermer–CDC, Congress, FDA, Federal employment benefits, Mental health care, OPM, Rx coverage–
Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

Today, November 17, is National Rural Health Day.

Let’s follow up on two posts from this week:

  • On Tuesday, the FEHBlog mentioned that the Internal Revenue Service issued Notice 2022-59 which adjusts the PCORI fee for years “that end on or after October 1, 2022, and before October 1, 2023.” The FEHBlog referenced an adjusted PCORI fee of $2.79 per covered life. Whoops. The FEHBlog referenced the current PCORI fee. The adjusted PCORI fee is $3.00 per covered life. Lo siento.
  • Yesterday, the FEHBlog called to readers’ attention a Congressional Research Service report on federal healthcare laws enacted in the current Congress that expire at the end of 2022. The FEHBlog thought “I should go back and read that report.” Today an email from the Wagner Law firm identified one of these expiring laws, to wit

During the pandemic, Congress allowed telehealth services to be provided to HSA-eligible individuals without cost-sharing and without regard to whether they had met their deductibles under their High Deductible Health Plans. That authorization expired December 31, 2021. Congress then again allowed deductible-free telehealth services to resume from April 1, 2022, through December 31, 2022. Unless this authorization is extended again, plans covering HSA-eligible individuals will have to require that telehealth services be provided to those individuals on the same terms as in-person care, i.e., the deductible must be met before telehealth can be provided without further charge to the patient. [The American Benefits Council has asked Congress to extend this consumer protection.]

From Capitol Hill, Politico brings us up to date on medical association efforts to block or at least reduce a 4.5% cut in Medicare Part B payments to physicians.

From the federal employee benefits front, Tammy Flanagan writing in Govexec discusses the health benefit options available to federal employees who are veterans.

“From the public health front —

  • The Labor Department’s Department’s Occupational Safety and Health Administration offers guidance to employers on controlling seasonal flu outbreaks in the office or plant.
  • The New York Times examines anti-depressant drugs. “The most commonly prescribed medications for depression are somewhat effective — but not because they correct a “chemical imbalance.”

Hospitals have made progress in reducing preventable errors, accidents and injuries over the past decade, according to the Leapfrog Group’s fall 2022 hospital safety grades released Wednesday.

Incidents of falls and trauma and of objects unintentionally left in a body after surgery decreased by about 25% since 2012, according to Leapfrog.

In this year’s fall rankings, 30% of hospitals earned an A grade, 28% earned a B, 36% earned a C, 6% earned a D and 1% earned an F.

From the Rx coverage front,

Today the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved [Provention Bio’s] Tzield (teplizumab-mzwv) injection to delay the onset of stage 3 type 1 diabetes in adults and pediatric patients 8 years and older who currently have stage 2 type 1 diabetes. 

“Today’s approval of a first-in-class therapy adds an important new treatment option for certain at-risk patients,” said John Sharretts, M.D., director of the Division of Diabetes, Lipid Disorders, and Obesity in the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research. “The drug’s potential to delay clinical diagnosis of type 1 diabetes may provide patients with months to years without the burdens of disease.” 

“From the plan design front, MedCity News tells us “Historically having worked with Medicaid and Medicare Advantage populations, Uber Health is now expanding its services to self-insured employers. The company made the announcement at the HLTH conference in Las Vegas.”

Monday Roundup

David Ermer–ACA, Congress, Federal employment benefits, Mental health care, OPM, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash

From the Capitol Hill front —

  • Roll Call and Govexec bring us up to date on the lame-duck session’s agenda.
  • The Washington Post tells us about the Administration’s plans to include $10 billion in Covid funding in the omnibus appropriations bill that Congress must pass or extend by December 16.
  • The Wall Street Journal reports “Republicans have won 217 House seats to the Democrats’ 205, according to the Associated Press tally. A party needs 218 for a majority in the chamber, and Republicans were on track for a very narrow margin after they won seats Monday in Arizona, California and New York. ” This development increases the likelihood that Congress will pass an omnibus appropriations bill before year-end.
  • The Congressional Budget Office posted a presentation on its recommended policy approaches to reduce commercial health Insurer payments for hospitals’ and physicians’ services. The presentation is worth a gander because the American Hospital Association, among others, is not pleased with the CBO’s recommendations.

The Federal Employee Benefits Open Season started today, and Govexec offers a checklist to help decision-makers.

From the conferences’ front —

  • The American Medical Association shares developments from its interim meeting which concludes tomorrow.
  • Fierce Healthcare offers a news feed from the HLTH 2022 conference.

From the Affordable Care Act front, the Internal Revenue Service announced the PCORI support fee that health plans must pay for policy years and plan years that end on or after October 1, 2022, and before October 1, 2023. In short, the dollar amount that calendar year plans such as the FEHB plan must pay next July 31 is $3.00 times the average number of covered lives.

From the Alzheimer’s Disease and dementia front, Medscape reports

  • “Dementia prevalence is dropping in the United States, new research shows.”
  • “Of the more than 6 million Alzheimer’s patients in the U.S. age 65 or older, nearly two-thirds are women. A new study may help explain the gender gap — and offer clues to new treatments for helping patients of both sexes fight back.” The FEHBlog has been taking a continuing legal education course on eldercare, and the practicing lawyers teaching the court remarked that 95% of the clients for whom Medicaid nursing home coverage is sought are husbands.
  • “Among older adults who use the US Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), rates of memory decline appear to be slower than among those who don’t use the program, new research shows.”

The Wall Street Journal informs us

An experimental Alzheimer’s drug from Roche Holding AG failed to significantly slow cognitive decline in long-awaited trials, the latest in a long line of setbacks for a field that has seen little progress in decades.

The drug, called gantenerumab, slightly reduced cognitive decline in people with early Alzheimer’s compared with a placebo across two large and lengthy trials, but the difference wasn’t statistically significant, Roche said Monday. The trials, which lasted more than two years and involved nearly 2,000 participants, compared scores of cognition and function in areas such as memory, orientation and problem-solving. * * *

The news comes just weeks after clinical trial results from a drug developed jointly by Biogen Inc. and Eisai Co. infused fresh hope into a field that has been marked by failure. The Biogen and Eisai drug, called lecanemab, reduced cognitive and functional decline by 27% compared with a placebo. The companies say they plan to provide more detailed study results at an upcoming research conference.

Like lecanemab, Roche’s gantenerumab targets accumulations of beta-amyloid, a protein that is found in the brains of people with Alzheimer’s and is thought to be linked to the disease. Several earlier beta-amyloid-targeting drugs had failed in clinical trials, although each drug acts slightly differently.

Roche Chief Executive Severin Schwan said last month that the Biogen and Eisai results were encouraging, but cautioned that they didn’t shed any light on the likely success of gantenerumab. Roche said Monday that the level of beta-amyloid removal by gantenerumab was lower than expected in the trials.

In other news —

  • Per Fierce Healthcare, Aetna announced a new advanced price care program in cooperation with Crossover Health. The program will launch next January 1 in the Seattle Washington region. “The new hybrid care model is integrated into a health plan and aims to tackle the rising access issues and costs of healthcare with a fixed fee, value-based payment model, executives said.”
  • Milliman offers its thoughts on mental health challenges facing employers.

Happy Veterans’ Day

David Ermer–CDC, COVID-19, Federal employment benefits, Mental health care, OPM, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–

To those who followed our Nation’s colors, thanks for your service. Here’s a Veteran’s Day message from the Veterans Administration Secretary Denis McDonough and the OPM Director Kiran Ahuja.

FedWeek informs us about a recent OPM Inspector General report about the Federal Long Term Care Insurance Program contract.

Projected future income from premiums in the Federal Long-Term Care Insurance Program is not enough to cover projected future claims, an audit by the inspector general’s office at the OPM has found.

It said that while the program over 2017-2019 took in about $2.2 million more than it paid out, boosting a trust fund held by the contractor (the John Hancock insurance company), under current projections those reserves will be depleted by 2048. That’s due to lower long-term interest rates than previously assumed and “higher claims utilization due to longer life expectancies (especially with dementia patients).”

It says that participants “will likely see a large increase in premiums and/or decrease to benefits for the next contract period to help reduce the deficit. As demonstrated at the start of this contract period in 2016, FLTCIP’s large one-time premium increase and/or benefit decrease caused an unexpected hardship to its participants.” That contract is to expire in 2023. * * *

In response, the carrier pointed out that in a letter to participants with the option to purchase additional inflation protection it said “there is a strong likelihood that premium rates for many enrollees may need to increase” while OPM noted that earlier this year it told the carrier to stop active marketing efforts to prospective applicants.

The FEHBlog is glad that this problem is not on his plate.

Because today is a federal holiday, the Centers for Disease Control did not issue an interpretative report on its Covid statistics for this week.

Medscape tells us

Global deaths due to COVID-19 have dropped almost 90% since February, the head of the World Health Organization said Wednesday.

Last week, 9,400 deaths were reported linked to the coronavirus, Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said.

That’s down from 75,000 a week in February. * * *

The Associated Press reported that more than 2.1 million new cases were reported to WHO for the week ending Sunday. That’s down 15% from the prior week, and the number of weekly deaths fell 10% compared to the prior week.

Beckers Payer Issues adds

The U.S. will extend the COVID-19 public health emergency through at least April 11, 2023, Biden administration officials confirmed to CNBC Nov. 11.

A 12th extension of the PHE since the first in January 2020 is further ensured by a lack of public statement from HHS warning about a termination. The agency last renewed the PHE Oct. 13 for an additional 90 days to Jan. 11, 2023 — it also told states it would provide a notice 60 days before if it did decide to end it, or Nov. 11.

The PHE allows the country to continue operating under pandemic-era policies, which led to a complete overhaul of telehealth and who can use it, fast-tracked approvals of COVID-19 vaccines and treatments, and preserved healthcare coverage for millions of Medicaid beneficiaries nationwide.

The CDC did update its FluView page on November 10 for November 4

Influenza activity continues to increase. Regions 4 (Southeast) and 6 (South-Central) are reporting the highest levels of flu activity, followed by regions 3 (Mid-Atlantic) and 9 (south-central West Coast).

Three influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported this week.

CDC estimates that, so far this season, there have been at least 2.8 million illnesses, 23,000 hospitalizations, and 1,300 deaths from flu.

The cumulative hospitalization rate in the FluSurv-NET system is higher than the rate observed in week 44 during every previous season since 2010-2011.

The RSV epidemic has not subsided according to MedPage Today

Children’s hospitals aren’t the only ones drowning in patients with respiratory illness — it’s also general emergency departments (EDs), urgent care clinics, and pediatrician’s offices.

Hit by a surge of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), flu, and COVID-19, physicians and nurses across the country are calling for help and asking parents to keep children home unless they’re seriously ill.

“It’s just important that people recognize that when you step back and look at the healthcare system as a whole, that volume is high everywhere,” Katie Lockwood, MD, MEd, a primary care physician at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, told MedPage Today.

“It’s not as simple as saying, ‘Oh, you shouldn’t go to the ER because we’re busy, or the ER saying you should go to primary care because we’re busy. Everybody is busy,” she added. “One of the things that I had been hearing from my own patients … was how long they were having to wait when they did go to an emergency department, and urgent cares were really full, and we were seeing a lot of volume in [my] office.”

Physicians say that seasonal increases in respiratory illness, which are expected, normally come later in the year. This year’s early surge in RSV-associated hospitalization, according to the CDC, is higher than December and January peak rates in recent years.

From the mental healthcare front, the American Hospital Association reports

The Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration yesterday [Thursday] released National Guidelines for Child and Youth Behavioral Health Crisis Care, which offer guidance and strategies to help communities address gaps in behavioral health crisis services for children and youth. The guidelines recommend that youth in crisis from mental health and substance use disorders receive care in the least restrictive setting possible, and if safe, at home and in the community. They also recommend crisis response systems partner with schools, community organizations and others across the continuum of care; be trained to respond to diverse needs; and reflect the diverse communities they serve.

AHA last year joined the Children’s Hospital Association, American Academy of Pediatrics and the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry as a partner in Sound the Alarm for Kids, an initiative urging Congress to enact legislation and increase funding to better support mental health for children and teens.

The 10-digit National Suicide Prevention Lifeline in July transitioned to the 988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline, meaning individuals experiencing a suicide, mental health or substance use crisis can simply call, chat or text 988 to connect with a trained crisis counselor. For more information, visit the AHA’s 988 resources page. 

From the Rx coverage front, EndPoints discusses the importance of the FDA’s interchangeability tag in facilitating biosimilar competition.

With the growth in biologics spending, the biosimilar market is going to have to find new ways to keep up.

One avenue may open up with new interchangeable biosimilars that can be substituted without a doctor’s note, and which could help bring costs down for some pricier, patient-administered therapies. FDA officials discussed key flexibilities that they can make around the development of interchangeable biosimilars at an Association for Accessible Medicines’ industry conference yesterday in Bethesda, Md.

While the FDA has only signed off on three interchangeable biosimilars so far — Viatris’ insulin Semglee, Boehringer Ingelheim’s Humira interchangeable Cyltezo (launching next year), and Coherus’ Lucentis interchangeable Cimerli — Jacqueline Corrigan-Curay, CDER’s principal deputy center director, explained to the Association of Accessible Medicines’ industry conference yesterday that the agency is willing to work with industry where the science is justified.

From the artificial intelligence front, Health IT Analytics relates

A recent study published in the American Journal of Managed Care found that identifying high-cost members was made easier through the implementation of artificial intelligence (AI) and the analysis of patient demographics.

Identifying high-cost members is essential for payers and providers, as it offers them information on preventing excessive spending. Traditionally, payers and care delivery organizations rely on care management efforts to reduce medical expenditure; however, this can often be challenging due to the limitations of incorporating other data sources, according to the study authors.

In the study, researchers aimed to implement a risk prediction model that uses AI to analyze information such as claims data, demographics, social determinants of health (SDOH) data, and admission, discharge, and transfer alerts (ADT) to better identify high-cost members. * * *

Researchers used data from a Medicaid accountable care organization (ACO) gathered from 61,850 members enrolled between May 2018 and April 2019.

Researchers then estimated risk scores for each member using two separate models. The first model was developed by Medical Home Network and relied on AI to analyze data related to SDOH, and activity related to ADT, along with claims and demographic characteristics. However, the second model, known as the Chronic Illness and Disability Payment System (CDPS) , only used demographic and claims information.

Based on this information, the researchers found that the AI model could perform a more accurate analysis of the highest-risk members and their spending. In addition, they found that those the AI model identified as high-risk had higher spending than those identified by the CDPS model.

Despite these conclusions, researchers noted a few limitations, mainly related to the data coming from a single ACO from a single geographic area and a single 12-month period.

Useful insights.

Thursday Miscellany

David Ermer–CDC, COVID-19, Federal employment benefits, Medicare, Mental health care, OPM, U.S. Healthcare–

The HCP-LAN, which promotes alternate / value-based payment methods, held a summit this week. RevCycle Intelligence reports

Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

Value-based payment levels barely moved in 2021, with some movement in the downside financial risk category, according to the latest data from the Health Care Payment Learning and Action Network (HCP LAN).

The majority of healthcare payments—59.5 percent—from 63 commercial plans, five state Medicaid programs, and Medicare were tied to value and quality in some capacity, the annual APM Measurement Effort report showed this year. The remaining 40.5 percent of payments stemmed from fee-for-service models.

The proportion of healthcare payments in fee-for-service models is actually up slightly from the 2020 results when 39.3 percent of payments were tied to the models. However, this does not indicate a backslide for the healthcare industry, according to value-based care expert Andréa E. Caballero, MPA.

America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) and the Alliance of Community Health Plans also offer their perspectives on the LAN Summit.

Healthcare Dive looks forward to the HLTH conference that will be held in Las Vegas next week. “Representatives from major healthcare players will discuss private equity, value-based care, digital health funding and more at the fifth annual conference.”

From the Federal Employees Benefits Open Season front, FedWeek discusses the interaction of FEHB and Medicare.

From the public health front

The American Hospital Association reports

Infants under 6 months old had the highest COVID-19 hospitalization rates among Americans under age 65 during March 20-Aug. 31, when the omicron BA.2 and BA.5 variants predominated, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported today. Based on data from the COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network, the study found infants under 6 months old had hospitalization rates similar to adults aged 65-74. 

“COVID-19 vaccination during pregnancy might provide protection to infants younger than 6 months old who are currently ineligible for vaccination,” CDC said. “To protect themselves and their infants, people who are pregnant, breastfeeding, trying to get pregnant now, or might become pregnant in the future should stay up to date on COVID-19 vaccinations, as recommended by CDC and the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists.”

The Wall Street Journal adds

High rates of hospitalization with RSV are hitting the youngest children especially hard, part of an unseasonably early surge in respiratory infections. 

Some 3.0 people for every 100,000 were hospitalized with respiratory syncytial virus the week ended Nov. 5, according to federal data from 12 states. The rate is the highest since the winter just before the pandemic, when some 2.7 people per 100,000 were hospitalized in January 2020. The hospitalization rate declined from 3.4 hospitalizations per 100,000 in the week ended Oct. 29.

Babies under six months old have the highest RSV-related hospitalization rate, data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show, at 145 hospitalizations per 100,000 infants. Infants six to 12 months old were hospitalized at a rate of 63 for every 100,000 children that age. For adults, the hospitalization rate is 0.6 per 100,000 people.

RSV is a common virus that most children encounter by their second birthday. Reinfections can occur at any age. Most people experience mild, cold-like symptoms and recover in a week or two. But RSV can be serious for some infants and older adults, causing bronchitis and pneumonia.

The Journal also informs us

AstraZeneca PLC said it had dropped plans to submit its Covid-19 vaccine to the Food and Drug Administration for approval, ending a long-running ambition to eventually sell the shot in the U.S. despite initial setbacks.

The Cambridge, England-based pharmaceutical company said Thursday that there would likely be a lack of demand in the U.S., where it said primary vaccination needs had been met. It would continue to focus its efforts on ensuring the availability of the vaccine, called Vaxzevria, elsewhere, including seeking its approval as a booster shot, the company said.

HealthDay tells us

The risk for death from infective endocarditis (IE) increased twofold among young U.S. residents aged 15 to 44 years during 1999 to 2020, according to a research letter published online Nov. 9 in the Journal of Internal Medicine.

Laura McLaughlin, M.D., from the Columbia University Irving Medical Center in New York City, and colleagues characterized trends in mortality rates from IE among young U.S. residents (aged 15 to 44 years) and in relation to drug abuse using the Multiple Cause of Death Data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention between 1999 and 2000. Age-adjusted mortality rates standardized to 2000 U.S. census per 100,000 persons were reported. * * *

“The number of young people in the United States who die of infective endocarditis is increasing, and the ongoing opioid epidemic, specifically injectable drug abuse, appears to be a significant cause,” a coauthor said in a statement.

The Centers for Disease Control released its current / 2021 National and State Healthcare-Associated Infections (HAI) Progress Report.

From the plan design front, the International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans offers suggestions from an expert panel on four steps for evaluating your plan’s diabetes coverage.

From the mental healthcare front, the Senate Finance Committee released its “Fourth Bipartisan Discussion Draft on Mental Health Proposes More Integration Between Mental and Physical Health Care, Bolsters Crisis Care.” The bill appears to focus on Medicare and Medicaid coverage. The Committee explains

This discussion draft on the mental health integration is the fourth legislative draft the Finance Committee has released since kicking off its bipartisan mental health initiative. The first, released in May, focused on telehealth policies. The second, released in June, focused on youth mental health. The third, released in September, focused on expanding the mental health care workforce. Other discussion drafts may be released. The committee is committed to fully paying for any mental health package with bipartisan, consensus-driven offsets. 

The Associated Press reports

Mindfulness meditation worked as well as a standard drug for treating anxiety in the first head-to-head comparison.

The study tested a widely used mindfulness program that includes 2 1/2 hours of classes weekly and 45 minutes of daily practice at home. Participants were randomly assigned to the program or daily use of a generic drug sold under the brand name Lexapro for depression and anxiety.

After two months, anxiety as measured on a severity scale declined by about 30% in both groups and continued to decrease during the following four months. 

Study results, published Wednesday in the journal JAMA Psychiatry, are timely. In September, an influential U.S. health task force recommended routine anxiety screening for adults, and numerous reports suggest global anxiety rates have increased recently, related to worries over the pandemic, political and racial unrest, climate change and financial uncertainties.

Intriguing findings.

Monday Roundup

David Ermer–AHRQ, CDC, COVID treatment, COVID-19, FDA, Federal employment benefits, Mental health care, NIH, OPM, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash

From the Federal Employee Benefits Open Season front, the Federal Times offers a detailed report on FEHB infertility coverage. The article answered one of the FEHBlog’s outstanding questions:

In October, the White House Office of Personnel Management, which acts the human relations department for the federal workforce, unveiled four new plan options that will provide some form of assisted reproductive technology, or ART, for a total of 18 FEHB plan options in 2023.

Those are offered by carriers Triple S-Salud, UPMC Health Plan, Indiana University Health Plan, Foreign Service Benefit Plan, and Health Net of California Southern.

One new plan option, under CDPHP, will provide a non-FEHB benefit for discounted ART.

From the Omicron and siblings front —

The New York Times tells us “People who took the antiviral drug Paxlovid within a few days after being infected with the coronavirus were less likely to be experiencing long Covid several months later, a large new study found.” The federal government should be promoting Paxlovid and flu treatments at least as much as it promotes vaccines.

Because winter is coming the Centers for Disease Control reminds us about the importance of home ventilation.

Improving ventilation can help you reduce virus particles in your home and keep COVID-19 from spreading. You may or may not know if someone in your home or if a visitor to your home has COVID-19 or other respiratory viruses. Good ventilation, along with other preventive actions, can help prevent you and others from getting and spreading COVID-19 and other respiratory viruses.

Health IT Analytics reports

Researchers from New York University’s Machine Learning for Good Laboratory (ML4G Lab), Carnegie Mellon University, and the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (NYC DOHMH) have developed an automated machine-learning system designed to detect rare or previously unseen disease clusters.

According to the press release shared with HealthITAnalytics via email, current automated systems used to identify public health threats rely on “syndromic surveillance” to detect existing threats but can fall short of identifying new ones.

“Existing systems are good at detecting outbreaks of diseases that we already know about and are actively looking for, like flu or COVID,” said NYU Professor Daniel B. Neill, PhD, director of the ML4G Lab, in the press release. “But what happens when something new and scary comes along? Pre-syndromic surveillance provides a safety net to identify emerging threats that other systems would fail to detect.”

Bravo.

With the new year less than two months away, Med City New informs us “Consumer research firm Forrester recently predicted major trends that would shape healthcare in 2023. Healthcare stakeholders should prepare for key changes, such as care becoming even more inaccessible for rural patients[, more remote patient monitoring for chronically ill patients] and additional retail entrants into the clinic space.

On a related note, Becker’s Hospital Review identifies the ten states with the most rural hospitals at immediate risk of closure — 1. Mississippi 24; 2. Tennessee 17, and 3. Kansas 16.

In other U.S. healthcare business news

Healthcare Dive reports

  • VillageMD has agreed to acquire medical practice Summit Health for $8.9 billion including debt, the primary care provider announced Monday.
  • VillageMD, which is majority owned by pharmacy chain Walgreens, and Summit Health, the parent company of CityMD, plan to combine their provider locations and VillageMD’s experience with value-based care to help accelerate the transition to risk for payer clients.
  • Cigna’s health services division Evernorth is also taking a stake in the deal, and will become a minority owner in VillageMD at the deal’s close, expected in the first quarter of 2023.

Fierce Healthcare summarizes 3rd quarter earnings reports from major health insurers.

Fierce Healthcare also announced its ten 2022 Women of Influence in Health award winners.

This year’s honorees cover the breadth of the industry, from providers to payers to health tech, and represent some of the industry’s largest companies as well as up-and-coming innovators. Each has been pivotal in helping their organizations—and their patients—navigate some of the most complicated years that we’ve ever faced.

Kudos to the winners.

The Goverment Accountability Office released a report titled “Private Health Insurance: Markets Remained Concentrated through 2020, with Increases in the Individual and Small Group Markets.”

Several companies may be selling health insurance in a given market, but, as we previously reported, most people usually enroll with one of a small number of insurers. Known as market concentration, this can result in higher premiums due to less competition in the market.

We found this pattern continued in 2019 and 2020, with the markets for individuals and for small employers generally becoming more concentrated. Specifically, three or fewer health insurers held at least 80% of the market share for both of these markets in at least 42 states.

From the healthcare quality front, the HHS Agency for Healthcare Quality and Research released

  • a draft Evidence Map of Social and Structural Determinants of Health Risk Factors for Maternal Morbidity and Mortality; the public comment deadline is December 4, 2022.

Also, Fierce Healthcare tells us

The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) released a report Monday updating its strategic vision for implementing value-based care, including detailing its progress since the vision was released last year. One of the key new strategies focused on creating greater care coordination between primary care doctors and specialists, especially surrounding the types of models the center puts out.

From the mental healthcare front, the National Institutes of Health’s NIH in the News for November 2022 features an article on clinical depression for patients.

From the medical device front, the Wall Street Journal reports

A Medtronic PLC medical device reduced the blood pressure of people with tough-to-treat hypertension in a closely watched study, but not significantly beyond what medications achieved.

The device cut a crucial measure of blood pressure by only about two points more than the average reduction in study volunteers who didn’t get the procedure, researchers said Monday.

Despite falling short of the study’s main efficacy goal, Medtronic said it has completed its application to the Food and Drug Administration for approval of the device, based on its safety and ability to meet certain secondary goals in the latest study as well as positive data from earlier studies.

If the FDA approves it, the device could offer a new, nonmedication treatment option for people with blood pressure that remains high despite treatment with drugs. It could also be a big-selling product for Medtronic. * * *

Medtronic’s experimental device, Symplicity Spyral, is used to perform a minimally invasive procedure known as renal denervation. 

In renal denervation, doctors insert a spiral-shaped catheter into an artery near the patient’s groin, through which a generator delivers radio-frequency energy to nerves in arteries near the kidneys. These nerves can become overactive and fuel high blood pressure. The device essentially burns these nerves so that they don’t contribute to high blood pressure.

Renal denervation has potential to be a one-time treatment, though researchers are still following patients to see how the benefit lasts.

Weekend update

David Ermer–Congress, Federal employment benefits, Mental health care, OPM, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Tomasz Filipek on Unsplash

Congressional election day is Tuesday. The lame duck session will be next Monday.

Also next Monday, the Federal Employee Benefit Open Season will kick off. OPM has made the 2023 FEHBP and FEDVIP plan comparison tools available. Check them out.

Govexec reports on OPM Director Kiran Ahuja’s speech last Wednesday Wednesday at the annual meeting of the National Academy of Public Administration.” Ms. Ahuja said “the federal government’s HR agency is hard at work finding ways to improve the federal government’s personnel systems and shifting toward becoming a modern leader on strategic human capital issues.”

From the Rx coverage front, NPR Shots tells us

If you were prescribed medicine to lower your risk of a heart attack or stroke, would you take it? 

Millions of Americans are prescribed statins such as Lipitor, Crestor or generic formulations to lower their cholesterol. But lots of people are hesitant to start the medication. 

Some people fret over potential side effects such as leg cramps, which may be – or may not be – linked to the drug. As an alternative, dietary supplements, often marketed to promote heart health, including fish oil and other omega-3 supplements (Omega-3’s are essential fatty acids found in fish and flaxseed), are growing in popularity. 

So, which is most effective? Researchers at the Cleveland Clinic set out to answer this question by comparing statins to supplements in a clinical trial. They tracked the outcomes of 190 adults, ages 40 to 75. Some participants were given a 5 mg daily dose of rosuvastatin, a statin that is sold under the brand name Crestor for 28 days. Others were given supplements, including fish oil, cinnamon, garlic, turmeric, plant sterols or red yeast rice for the same period.

The maker of Crestor, Astra Zeneca sponsored the study, but the researchers worked independently to design the study and run the statistical analysis.

“What we found was that rosuvastatin lowered LDL cholesterol by almost 38% and that was vastly superior to placebo and any of the six supplements studied in the trial,” study author Luke Laffin, M.D. of the Cleveland Clinic’s Heart, Vascular & Thoracic Institute told NPR. He says this level of reduction is enough to lower the risk of heart attacks and strokes. The findings are published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

“Oftentimes these supplements are marketed as ‘natural ways’ to lower your cholesterol,” says Laffin. But he says none of the dietary supplements demonstrated any significant decrease in LDL cholesterol compared with a placebo. LDL cholesterol is considered the ‘bad cholesterol’ because it can contribute to plaque build-up in the artery walls – which can narrow the arteries, and set the stage for heart attacks and strokes.

“Clearly, statins do what they’re intended to do,” the study’s senior author Steve Nissen, M.D., a cardiologist and Chief Academic Officer of the Heart, Vascular & Thoracic Institute at Cleveland Clinic told NPR.

Forbes informs us

In healthcare contexts, American consumers have historically tended to abandon their consumerism skills, often entering the doctor’s office or insurance process helpless, overwhelmed, and at the mercy of the system. Even when consumers have high expectations for their healthcare experiences, they’re often disappointed.

New research suggests that those days may be over. According to the 2022 Patient Access Journey Report, released last week from Kyruus, “Patients are consumers first.”

For the sixth year in a row, Kyruus has surveyed 1,000 consumers across geographies and generations to understand their preferences for selecting and accessing healthcare services. This year’s report focuses on three aspects of the healthcare consumer experience: search, selection, and action. 

The latest findings suggest consumers, in fact, now weigh similar factors in choosing their healthcare providers and service sites as they do with other types of services. * * *

Healthcare provider websites have a two-to-one advantage in consumer trust compared with health insurance sites. Forty-four percent of consumers surveyed said that they view healthcare provider websites as the most trustworthy source for information about healthcare providers or services, compared with 20% who rated health insurance providers as the most trustworthy. But the percentage of respondents who said health insurance providers were the most trustworthy sources of information jumped nine points since 2021.

From the miscellany department

  • NPR Shots explains what to watch for in the RSV surge and answers about treatment options
  • MedPage Today calls our attention to models leading to a favorable Covid conclusion

The U.S. probably won’t see a major surge in COVID deaths this winter, according to new models from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington in Seattle.

By Feb. 1, 2023, daily deaths are projected to be at a high point of 335, which pales in comparison to the approximate 2,500 daily deaths seen during the Omicron surge around the same time last year, according to a recently published IHME policy brief.

  • The Wall Street Journal discusses the Menty B (mental breakdown) hashtag in use in Instagram and Tik Tok and a boarding high school in Massachusetts which replaced their students smart phones with light phones. The school also banned teachers from using smart phones while teaching. Everyone’s happier.

Weekend update

David Ermer–Congress, COVID-19, Mental health care, Telehealth, U.S. Healthcare–

Congress remains on the campaign trail with the November 8 election just nine days away.

The Federal Employees Benefits Open Season starts two weeks from tomorrow.

From the Omicron and siblings front, Fortune Well tells us about the Zoe Health Study, a study of Covid symptoms among five million people.

Getting vaccinated against COVID reduces your risk of severe illness, hospitalization, and death if you do catch the disease—but according to new research, it could also dictate which batch of the milder, more common symptoms of the virus you end up getting. It’s thought that a large proportion of cases are still asymptomatic.

In an update to the ongoing Zoe Health Study, which has collected data from almost 5 million participants since 2020, researchers said they had identified symptoms that had emerged in recent weeks, noting that they appeared to differ depending on vaccination status. 

“Generally, we saw similar symptoms of COVID-19 being reported overall in the app by people who had and hadn’t been vaccinated,” the research team said in its update. “However, fewer symptoms were reported over a shorter period of time by those who had already had a jab, suggesting that they were falling less seriously ill and getting better more quickly.”

Precision Vaccinations informs us

As World Pneumonia Day approaches on November 12th, the ongoing effort to reduce fatalities from infectious diseases has never been more urgent.

Pneumonia is an infection of the lungs that needlessly affects millions worldwide each year. Most of the people affected by pneumonia in the U.S. are adults.

Previous U.S. CDC data indicates 47,000 people died from pneumonia in the U.S. in 2020.

And that negative trend continues today.

According to the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Mortality Surveillance data available on October 27, 2022, 9.2% of infectious disease fatalities that occurred during week #42 were due to pneumonia, influenza, and/or COVID-19 (PIC).

Among the 2,128 PIC deaths reported last week, 1,164 listed pneumonia as an underlying or contributing cause of death on the death certificate, 949 had COVID-19, and 15 listed influenza.

Pneumonia always has been a killer. The FEHBlog’s Dad referred to the disease as “the old man’s friend.” He was not alone. A 2018 medical editorial explains

The term “old man’s friend” is often used when referring to pneumonia. Searching for it on Google yields 16,400 results in 0.33 s for this combination.

The term is attributed to William Osler, who in the first edition of his book The Principles and Practice of Medicine (1892) wrote:

In children and in healthy adults the outlook is good. In the debilitated, in drunkards and in the aged the chances are against recovery. So fatal is it in the latter class [i.e. the elderly] that it has been termed the natural end of the old man [1].

In the 9th edition, published after Osler himself already died (in 1919 from pneumonia at the age of 70 years [2]), this excerpt was rephrased as “.. . one may say that to die of pneumonia is almost the natural end of old people” [3]. But that was 100 years ago. Fortunately, a lot changed for the better in the century that followed.

Today, pneumonia still affects many ‘old’ men. Medical progress made since William Osler’s time has resulted in survival rate for hospitalized pneumonia that now sits above 90–95%. However, longer-term mortality is high. The reasons for this are still largely unknown. A hypothesis from the editors of Pneumonia? Perhaps chronic inflammation leading to silent progression of cardiac disease is an underlying mechanism.

In mental healthcare news, the Wall Street Journal reports

Mental-health screenings for kids are expanding across the country. But as more children are identified as needing assistance, families can face a tough time getting help from resources that are already stretched thin.

and

Startups [i.e., this site] are prescribing ketamine online to treat serious mental-health conditions, raising concern among psychiatrists about the safety of taking the mind-altering anesthetic without medical supervision, sometimes at high doses that raise risks of side effects.

The first story illustrates an issue for which telehealth is a solution, while the story shows why telehealth cannot replace in-person care.

In U.S. healthcare business news, Bloomberg relates

VillageMD, which is majority owned by Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., is exploring a deal to merge with Warburg Pincus-backed Summit Health, according to people familiar with the matter. 

The acquisition by primary-care provider VillageMD of Summit, a health-care network and the parent of CityMD, would value the combined entity at between $5 billion to $10 billion, said the people, who asked to not be identified because the matter isn’t public.

An agreement could be reached in the coming weeks, though talks could still fall apart, the people added. Representatives for VillageMD, Walgreens and Warburg Pincus declined to comment, while Summit Health didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment. 

Weekend update

David Ermer–ACA, CDC, CMS, Congress, COVID-19, Federal employment benefits, Medicare, Mental health care, OPM, Rx coverage, SDOH, U.S. Healthcare–

Congress remains on the campaign trail this week.

This is Red Ribbon Week, “an ideal way for people and communities to unite and take a visible stand against drugs.”

Speaking of illegal drugs, the Wall Street Journal tells the stories of three “high achieving” New York City dwellers who died on one day in March 2021 due to fentanyl-laced cocaine delivered by a single dealer.

New York City authorities have been warning of the risks of unknowingly taking fentanyl in cocaine and of its increased presence in cocaine seized by police. Health officials put up posters and sent drink coasters to clubs warning cocaine users to start with a small dose and to have naloxone, an opioid reversal drug, on hand to counter an overdose. They are handing out fentanyl testing strips that can be used to test cocaine and other drugs for fentanyl’s presence.

Multiple people died within hours from tainted cocaine in Long Island, N.Y., and in Newport Beach, Calif., last year. Nine were killed in Washington, D.C., in January. Law-enforcement officials said dealers often use coffee grinders or other basic equipment to cut drugs and prepare them for sale, which can result in deadly batches.

From the FEHB front, Tammy Flanagan, writing in Govexec, advises federal and postal employees and annuitants on how to prepare for the upcoming Federal Employee Benefits Open Season. The FEHBlog’s advice is to stack your plan’s summary of benefits and coverage which is available on all FEHB plan websites against other plans in which you are interested. The summary of benefits and coverage, which is an Affordable Care Act requirement, is four double-sided pages including consumer-tested practical information.

From the Omicron and siblings’ front

  • STAT News reports “FDA’s vaccines chief [Peter Marks, MD] sees the possibility of more Covid boosters — sooner than he’d like.”

Pfizer is considering hiking the price of its COVID-19 vaccine by roughly four times what it currently charges as it prepares for sales in the U.S. to shift from government contracts to the private market.

The pharmaceutical company is targeting between $110 and $130 per adult vaccine dose after that transition, said Angela Lukin, Pfizer’s head of global primary care and U.S. president, on an analyst and investor call Thursday.

“We feel confident that this range will be seen as highly cost effective and definitely one that will help to enable and ensure appropriate access and reimbursement to the vaccine,” Lukin said on the call. Discussions with insurers are still in early stages, she added.

No doubt this charming development seeks to pressure Congress to add more federal Covid dollars in the lame-duck session following the November 8 Congressional election.

In other vaccine news, MedPage Today reports

  • The CDC’s vaccine advisors updated their recommendations to clarify when to administer the 20-valent conjugate pneumococcal vaccine (PCV20; Prevnar 20) in adults who previously received the 13-valent conjugate vaccine (PCV13; Prevnar 13).
  • Three doses of hepatitis B vaccine with a cytosine phosphoguanine adjuvant (HepB-CpG; Heplisav-B) notched a perfect mark when it came to seroprotection for people with HIV who had never before been vaccinated against the hepatitis B virus (HBV), early results of a phase III trial showed.

In prescription drug development news, Fierce Healthcare points out “three drugs are set for FDA determinations soon.” The article explains why Optum says payers should take notice.

From the monkeypox front, Medpage Today adds

Cases of monkeypox are continuing to decline in the U.S., but the disease is still disproportionately affecting people of color, a White House official said.

“In the U.S., about 27,635 cases were reported as of yesterday,” Demetre Daskalakis, MD, White House National Monkeypox Response deputy coordinator, said at an online briefing Thursday. “We continue to have a decrease over time — we’re about 85% down from where we were at the peak of the outbreak. So that’s a lot of hopeful news, that we continue to see monkeypox going under better and better control.”

From the mental healthcare front, the Department of Health and Human Services “through the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA), announced more than $100 million this week in funding from the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act (BSCA) to states and territories for mental health emergency preparedness, crisis response, and the expansion of 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline services. BSCA, signed into law by President Biden earlier this year, provided unprecedented funding to address the nation’s mental health crisis and make our communities safer.”

From the maternal care front, Health Payer Intelligence informs us Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Michigan has “decided to go beyond traditional maternal healthcare benefits, such as prenatal and postpartum care coverage. They teamed up with a virtual care provider for women and family health, Maven, to offer a suite of solutions that integrated family care and maternal healthcare.”

From the SDOH front, Beckers Payer Issues relates

In a letter to HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra and Management and Budget Office Director Shalanda Young, AHIP explained its vision for how demographic data can be improved and standardized across the healthcare system. 

Five things to know about the association’s recommendations for improving demographic data:  

1. Current challenges with demographic data include the lack of specificity for questions on race. AHIP highlights that current census and HHS standards do not include an option for people to identify as Arab, Middle Eastern or North African. Additionally, AHIP recommends options should be tailored to the local area, depending on the populations that live there. 

2. Current demographic questions do not have an “I choose not to respond” option. AHIP advises that a lack of information about how demographic information is used can lead to a lack of trust from patients. 

3. Current regulations that require multiple providers and payers to collect demographic information lead to inconsistent results and greater burden on patients, AHIP says.

4. To reduce burdens on providers and patients, AHIP wants demographic data to be electronic and able to be shared with other places in the healthcare system with patient consent. 

5. AHIP wants a wide range of government agencies to adopt its recommendations for demographic data collection, which include questions on race, ethnicity, language preference, sexual orientation, gender, diability status, veteran status and spirtual beliefs. 

Read the full letter here.

Interesting approach.

From the miscellany department —

  • STAT New discusses weaknesses in traditional Medicare catastrophic coverage. FEHBlog suggests that Congress stop permitting Medicare supplemental plans to impose pre-existing condition limitations unless circumscribed by state law.
  • The Society for Human Resources Management tells us

Employee 401(k) contributions for 2023 will top off at $22,500—a $2,000 increase from the $20,500 cap for 2022—the IRS announced on Oct. 21. Plan participants age 50 or older next year can contribute an additional $7,500, up $1,000 from 2022. * * *

he limit on total employer-plus-employee contributions to defined contribution plans will increase to $66,000 in 2023, up by $5,000 from $61,000 in 2022. “This limit usually increases by $1,000 at a time but now it’s jumping five steps in one year,” Sit said.

The IRS announced the 2023 adjustments for 401(k) and similar defined contribution plans, and for defined benefit pension plan, in Notice 2022-55.

  • The American Hospital Association reports “The AHA and American Medical Association Oct. 19 filed a friend-of-the-court brief in support of a Texas Medical Association lawsuit claiming the revised independent dispute resolution process for determining payment for out-of-network services under the No Surprises Act skews the arbitration results in commercial insurers’ favor in ways that violate the compromise Congress reached in the Act.”
  • Business Insurance tells us “The U.S. Department of Justice has asked for more details on CVS Health Corp.’s proposed $8 billion deal to buy Signify Health, in a possible indication that the transaction will face a longer deal review rather than a quick approval, Reuters reports. The deal, announced last month, was expected to face a tough antitrust review even though the two companies do not compete directly in any market, according to experts.”
  • Following up on last Thursday’s post, RSV is a type of common cold according to the CDC.