Weekend update

Congress

Weekend update

David Ermer–Congress, Medical / Rx research, U.S. Healthcare–

From Washington, DC,

  • Govexec tells us,
    • “Rep. Gerry Connolly, D-Va., the new top Democrat on the House Oversight and Accountability Committee, says he’s open to working with Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s Department of Government Efficiency in some areas.
    • “That may make for strange bedfellows. But the lawmaker — who recently beat Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., to be the committee’s ranking member — has long focused on the government’s often-aged technology, a shared interest for both Ramaswamy and Musk. In recent months, Musk has posted about federal IT several times, referencing 2023 congressional testimony on legacy tech from the Government Accountability Office.
    • “By the way, that was the GAO report I requested,” Connolly pointed out during an interview with Nextgov/FCW. The report also lists former representatives Elijah Cummings, Mark Meadows, Will Hurd and current Reps. Robin Kelly, D-Ill., and Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, as requesters.”
  • Federal News Network lets us know,
    • “President-elect Donald Trump is preparing more than 100 executive orders starting Day One of the new White House, in what amounts to a shock-and-awe campaign on border security, deportations and a rush of other policy priorities.
    • “Trump told Republican senators about the onslaught ahead during a private meeting on Capitol Hill. Many of the actions are expected to launch on Inauguration Day, Jan. 20, when he takes office. Trump top adviser Stephen Miller outlined for the GOP senators the border security and immigration enforcement measures that are likely to launch soonest. Axios first reported on Trump and his team’s presentation.
    • “There will be a substantial number,” said Sen. John Hoeven, R-N.D.
    • “Allies of the president-elect have been preparing a stack of executive orders that Trump could sign quickly on a wide range of topics – from the U.S.-Mexico border clampdown to energy development to federal Schedule F workforce rules, school gender policies and vaccine mandates, among other day-one promises made during his campaign.”

From the public health and medical research front,

  • MedPage Today tells us,
    • ‘The detection of the first clade I mpox case in the U.S. this November, followed by a subsequent case in Canada, is far more than a fleeting headline. It is a stark reminder of the interconnectedness of global health. Clade I mpox, a public health emergency of international concern concentrated in Central and Eastern Africa, has already caused more than 57,000 suspected cases and more than 1,200 deaths in 2024 alone. Travel-associated cases have now extended to Europe, Asia, and North America, with the first U.S. case linked to travel from an endemic region.
    • “This development underscores the urgent need for sustained, coordinated action to prevent clade I mpox from following the trajectory of clade II. The latter has resulted in the continued global circulation of over 100,000 cases across 122 countries, including 115 nations where mpox was not previously reported.
    • The emerging threat of clade I mpox presents the incoming Trump administration with a unique opportunity to demonstrate leadership, bolster global health, and underscore the value of preparedness. Proactively addressing this challenge can protect the U.S. from future outbreaks while reaffirming its commitment to global health security and collaboration.
  • Per Healio,
    • Researchers developed a computer-based tool [known as TBorNotTB] to evaluate hospitalized patients for suspected tuberculosis that correctly identified 100% of cases, which could help prevent spread to other patients, they said.
    • “Infection prevention and control programs are tasked with implementing appropriate isolation of patients in health care facilities with suspected or confirmed communicable diseases to reduce the risk of health care-associated infections to patients and mitigate occupational risks to health care personnel,” Caitlin Dugdale, MD, MSc, an infectious disease physician at Massachusetts General Hospital, told Healio.
  • Fortune Well informs us,
    • “New research makes a strong case for morning joe, indicating that the timing may impact your longevity. In a study published in the European Heart Journal, researchers looked at two patterns of coffee timing: people who drank their coffee in the morning, and people who were all-day drinkers. After adjusting for other potential factors, researchers found that morning coffee drinkers were 16% less likely to die of any cause during the study period, and 31% less likely to die of cardiovascular disease, compared to people who didn’t drink coffee. However, there was no reduction in risk for all-day coffee drinkers compared to non-coffee drinkers. 
    • “The authors speculate that drinking caffeinated coffee later in the day could disrupt circadian rhythm and melatonin levels, leading to inflammation and sleep disturbances. A second potential explanation is that inflammation is at its highest in the morning, and the natural anti-inflammatory properties of coffee may have a greater impact when consumed earlier in the day.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Modern Healthcare reports,
    • “Mercy Health — Toledo plans to acquire 10 urgent care centers in Ohio and Michigan from Greater Midwest Urgent Cares.
    • “The nonprofit, faith-based system, part of Cincinnati-based Bon Secours Mercy Health, said Friday it plans to assume ownership April 1. Financial details of the transaction, which would be through an asset purchase agreement, were not disclosed.
    • “Our intent is to keep those Greater Midwest Urgent Care employees who’ve done an amazing job providing patient centric care,” said Bob Baxter, president of Mercy Health — Toledo.”
  • HR Dive points out “five compensation and benefits trends to buy into in 2025. To attract and retain workers, employers will focus on competitive salaries and flexible benefits, experts say.”

Thursday Report

David Ermer–CDC, CMS, Congress, FDA, Generative AI, Medical / Rx research, Obesity, Rx coverage, Telehealth, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

From Washington, DC

  • Tammy Flanagan, writing in Govexec, discusses, “The Social Security Fairness Act: What we know so far.  It may take time to implement this new law — here’s what you should know for now.”
    • “It will undoubtedly take time to implement this new law as it impacts about two million beneficiaries who have their earned Social Security benefits reduced because of the WEP, and close to 750,000 individuals who have had spousal and widow’s benefits payable based on the Social Security work record of their current, former or deceased spouse.  
    • “The repeal of the WEP and GPO will increase the Social Security benefit entitlements of the government worker or retiree who is receiving a pension from work not covered by Social Security. For most of you reading today’s column, this would be the CSRS employees and retirees who are married or were married to a spouse who paid Social Security taxes and the CSRS employee or retiree who earned their own Social Security retirement benefit in addition to receiving a CSRS retirement benefit.  
    • “The WEP can also affect CSRS Offset employees and retirees as well as some employees or retirees who transferred to FERS after more than five years of creditable service under CSRS.”
  • The American Hospital Association News tells us,
    • The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services will host a webinar Jan. 16 at 1 p.m. ET to provide an update on the No Surprises Act Good Faith Estimate requirements for uninsured and self-pay patients. Experts will discuss the recent GFE FAQs with a focus on implications for providers and facilities. REGISTER NOW” 

From the public health and medical research front,

  • Per Medical Economics,
    • Screening for physical inactivity during routine medical visits can play a pivotal role in the identification of patients at risk for chronic diseases, according to a study published in Preventing Chronic Disease, a journal of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Using the Exercise Vital Sign (EVS), researchers found that patients screened for physical activity had healthier profiles and fewer comorbid conditions than those who were not screened.
  • WTW Consulting informs us,
    • More and more evidence show that GLP-1 medications are good for losing weight and reducing the amount of metabolic disease in people with obesity. But only about 52% of employers currently cover these drugs for obesity, and these employers are facing rising costs.
    • Previous research has shown that the cost of these drugs will exceed any medical cost savings, as is true for most medical interventions. For example, medical plans don’t save money by treating cancer or providing dialysis for patients with kidney failure.
    • JAMA Network Open recently published a study that showed that healthcare spending could decrease based on the type of weight loss seen with use of GLP-1 medications. However, the study demonstrates once again that even with their impressive impacts on patient weight and health, an employer-sponsored health insurance plan should not expect net medical savings from these medications.
    • The researchers looked at medical claims from over 13,000 commercially insured adults from the Medical Panel Expenditure Survey from 2001 to 2020 and found that medical spending was lower in those who weighed less. Therefore, cost effectiveness of an effective weight loss drug would be much higher in those with higher BMIs, especially in those with diabetes. 
    • However, the study didn’t evaluate people who had lost weight, but rather examined differences in costs based on BMI. Those who lose weight won’t necessarily have the same lower level of expense as those who weren’t previously obese. Even if their estimate of cost “savings” is correct, the net cost of semaglutide or tirzepatide is around $9,000 annually, which is more than the delta in costs for a person with diabetes who loses 25% of their body weight.
    • Implications for employers: 
      • An employer-sponsored health insurance plan should not expect net medical savings from these medications, even with their impressive impacts on patient weight and health.
      • The decision to cover these medications should be based on the benefit they offer, and not the hope of lower medical expenses. Lower prices would allow more people to benefit from these medications.
  • The Wall Street Journal warns us,
    • Wildfires in California aren’t all wild anymore. They often burn in urban areas, creating a toxic soup of smoke, ash and noxious substances that can be dangerous, even deadly. 
    • In Los Angeles this week, wildfires have burned buildings and roadways. Incinerating the plastics, metals and other materials that these structures are built from releases hazardous chemicals and gases into the air, doctors and public-health experts say. 
    • Wildfires which tear through urban landscapes release chemicals from human-made fuels, construction materials, household products and generate emissions which are chemically different from wildland fires, according to a 2022 report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine. About 70,000 communities and 43 million homes are at risk from fires that could burn through both wild and urban landscapes, the report stated.
    • “The combination of wildfire smoke in conjunction with human elements might be even more dangerous,” said Dr. Sanjay Rajagopalan, chief of cardiovascular medicine at University Hospitals Harrington Heart & Vascular Institute in Cleveland. “When you burn plastic, for instance, or you burn rubber, you get some pretty nasty stuff.”
    • Smoke from the Los Angeles wildfires could have far-reaching effects. Depending on weather patterns and geographic conditions, smoke can travel vast distances. Tens of thousands of Los Angeles County residents have already been ordered to evacuate.
  • BioPharma Dive points out,
    • “An experimental menopause drug from Bayer succeeded in a late-stage trial in women taking drugs to treat or prevent breast cancer, the company said Thursday.
    • “Bayer said the drug, elinzanetant, significantly reduced the frequency of hot flashes and improved sleep for women with breast cancer, or who are at high risk of developing it, and whose symptoms are caused by hormone therapy. The study randomized 474 women to receive treatment or a placebo and measured the effects after four and 12 weeks.
    • “The announcement represents the fourth positive late-stage study result for elinzanetant, but the first that isn’t in menopausal women. Bayer has already submitted the drug for U.S. approval in postmenopausal women, and the Food and Drug Administration accepted its application in October. If cleared by regulators, the drug would compete with Astellas Pharma’s Veozah.”
  • Per Fierce Pharma,
    • “Trailing Johnson & Johnson’s powerhouse Darzalex by roughly five years in its development timeline has made it challenging for Sanofi’s Sarclisa—the only other CD38 antibody on the market for multiple myeloma—to compete in the indication.
    • “But with an on-body delivery system (OBDS) to deliver its subcutaneous (SC) formulation of Sarclisa, Sanofi may be finding the edge it needs.
    • “The company has taken a major step in the development of its OBDS as a phase 3 trial has met its primary co-endpoints, showing non-inferiority to intravenous (IV) Sarclisa. The company reported the trial result in a press release Thursday.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Health Dive relates,
    • “Blue Shield of California, one of the largest plans in the state, has revamped its corporate structure and named its first-ever female CEO.
    • “Blue Shield created a parent company called Ascendiun to oversee the insurer, along with its managed Medicaid subsidiary and clinical services firm Altais, starting Jan. 1, the company announced Wednesday. Ascendiun also includes a newly created health services business called Stellarus, which aims to scale and sell Blue Shield’s pharmacy and technology offerings to other insurers.
    • “Lois Quam, who has been Blue Shield’s president since last year, will step up as chief executive of the insurer. Quam will be the first woman to serve as Blue Shield’s CEO in the organization’s 86 years of operation. Paul Markovich, Blue Shield’s CEO for over a decade, will become president of Ascendiun and will also lead Stellarus on an interim basis.”
  • and
    • “Amwell is selling its virtual psychiatric care business to fellow telehealth provider Avel eCare for about $21 million in cash, the company said Thursday. 
    • “The divestiture, which includes an additional earn-out payment for Amwell if the business meets financial targets, includes the psychiatric care segment’s technology and personnel along with Asana, a clinical network that employs and contracts with the unit’s clinicians. 
    • “Amwell CEO Ido Schoenberg said in a statement the sale strengthens the telehealth firm’s balance sheet and “fortifies our confidence” to reach positive cash flow in 2026.”
  • The American Hospital Association announced,
    • “The AHA today released its 2025-2027 Strategic Plan, approved by the AHA Board of Trustees in November. The plan is rooted in four core disciplines — advocacy and representation, thought leadership, knowledge exchange, and agents of change. It also includes nine principles that serve as the foundation of the AHA’s work and strategies to help the field make progress on its mission of advancing health in America. View the 2025-2027 Strategic Plan for more information.”
  • Modern Healthcare notes,
    • Oakland, California-based Kaiser Permanente led a $275 million Series F funding round for Innovaccer, a company that sells technology to unify patient data across health systems.
    • Innovaccer said the round will help it introduce new artificial intelligence and cloud capabilities. The company also said the new capital will help it to continue scaling a developer ecosystem that can allow health systems to implement AI tools with other third-party vendors.
  • NCQA suggests “Health Care Trends to Watch in 2025.”
  • Per Fierce Healthcare,
    • “A new report from Press Ganey highlights the close relationship between patient experience and health plan star ratings.
    • “Researchers polled 450,000 people across 200 plans and combined those survey results with its database of 5.5 million patient encounters. It found that people who gave poor scores for safety and privacy in surveys following a visit to their primary care providers also frequently awarded their health plan one star on quality and access to needed care on Medicare consumer services.
    • “The report noted these are critical data for plans to consider, as they have traditionally focused on making improvements to customer service, benefit design and patient engagement. It suggests they should also be considering ways to address safety.
    • “In addition, the survey found that patients expect easy access to primary care, but their ability to reach specialists is a key differentiator. Plans that earned four or more stars connected a higher proportion of their members with specialty care.”
  • MedTech Dive points out “five medtech trends to watch in 2025. After a busy 2024, experts called out competition in soft tissue robotics, uncertainty from a Trump White House and continued success for pulsed field ablation as trends to watch this year.”

Midweek Report

David Ermer–CMS, Congress, FDA, Generative AI, Medical / Rx research, NIH, U.S. Healthcare–

From Washington, DC

  • FedScoop informs us,
    • “President Joe Biden on Saturday signed into law the Government Service Delivery Improvement Act, legislation that targets improving customer service interactions with the government.
    • “The bill (H.R. 5887) was first introduced by Reps. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., Byron Donalds, R-Fla., Barry Loudermilk, R-Ga., and William Timmons, R-S.C., in October 2023. Now as law, it requires the Office of Management and Budget to choose a senior official as a “Federal Government Service Delivery Lead” to coordinate government service delivery improvement within agencies. 
    • “That service delivery lead would also work with new agency-appointed senior officials, who must be named within a year of the bill’s enactment, to oversee their organizations’ delivery improvements.”
  • Per an HHS press releases,
    • “Today, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra announced he would delegate the authority vested in the HHS under the Dr. Emmanuel Bilirakis and Honorable Jennifer Wexton National Plan to End Parkinson’s Act to the National Institutes of Health, with support from the HHS Office of the Assistant Secretary for Health.”
  • and
    • “Today, the White House Initiative on Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians, and Pacific Islanders (WHIAANHPI) unveiled Rising Together, its final report to President Joe Biden. The report showcases how the Biden-Harris Administration has leveraged the full force of the federal government to make real the promise of America for Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander (AA and NHPI) communities. Read the full report at wh.gov/whiaanhpireport2025 – PDF“
  • and
    • “Today, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced seven winners of the KidneyX Sustainability Prize, designed to incentivize development of solutions to reduce water or power usage during dialysis care.” * * *
    • “HHS congratulates the winners of the KidneyX Sustainability Prize, who will each receive an equal share of the $7.25 million prize purse:  
      • “Kuleana Technology Inc. Advancing Hemodialysis Sustainability: Dialysate Regeneration via Uremic Toxin Photo-Oxidation. “Kuleana Technology’s Dialysate Regeneration Module enables hemodialysis with just 2 liters of water per treatment, making dialysis portable and accessible while saving 300 billion liters of water per year worldwide.”
      • “Micro Nano Technologies Inc. Handheld Water-Free and Battery-Powered Renal Replacement System. “The proposed technology mimics kidney filtration, eliminating the need for water and operating on a laptop-sized battery for 8 hours, ensuring dialysis access during disasters without traditional infrastructure.”
      • “Particle4X. SMART-PD: Sustainable Home Dialysis Revolution. “SMART-PD is an advanced home dialysis system that produces sterile PD fluid from tap water, reclaims effluent, and employs AI-powered monitoring to enhance sustainability and patient safety.”
      • “Qidni Labs Inc. Qidni/D: A Novel Sorbent Platform for Dialysis. “The Qidni/D is a portable and nearly waterless hemodialysis system that can offer accessible and sustainable access to care anywhere.”
      • “Stephen Ash. Sorbent Regeneration of Dialysate with Improved Ammonium Capacity. “We have developed a sorbent with high capacity for NH4+ (from urea) and minimal binding of Ca++ and Mg++, which should make regeneration of dialysate simpler, smaller and more practical.”
      • “University of Minnesota. Decentralized Dialysis Fluid Production: Enhancing the Sustainability of Dialysis Care. “Our innovation enables decentralized production of peritoneal dialysis fluids, reducing dialysis energy and water consumption by 48% and 66%, respectively, increasing supply chain resilience, and improving patient outcomes worldwide.”
      • “Wearable Artificial Organs Inc. Green dialysis on batteries using only 300ml of water. “A 2 lb. miniaturized Wearable Artificial Kidney (WAK) powered by rechargeable batteries, continuously regenerates dialysate water and delivers continuous dialysis 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.”
    • Kudos to the prize winners.
  • The American Hospital Association News tells us,
    • “The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Jan. 8 announced 23.6 million consumers have signed up for a 2025 Health Insurance Marketplace plan. Of that total, approximately 3.2 million are new consumers. Open enrollment continues until Jan. 15 for the 31 states that use HealthCare.gov and most state-based marketplaces for coverage beginning Feb. 1.” 
  • Kevin Moss, writing in Federal News Network, answers the question “If someone is on Federal Health Benefits, what happens when they turn 65 and become eligible for Medicare, and what happens when their spouse turns 65 and is also eligible for Medicare?” It’s worth adding that OPM regulations grant special FSHB/PSHB open enrollment period to employees and annuitants who turn 65:
    • On becoming eligible for Medicare. An employee [or an annuitant] may change the enrollment from one plan or option to another at any time beginning on the 30th day before becoming eligible for coverage under title XVIII of the Social Security Act (Medicare). A change of enrollment based on becoming eligible for Medicare may be made only once. 5 CFR Secs 890.301(k), 890.306(p)
  • Stars and Stripes gives us an update on the “pilot program aimed at helping Department of Defense civilian employees [based in Japan] find health care from Japanese providers is up and running, according to the DOD. The program, which aims to connect the civilians with local health care providers without paying large, upfront service fees, among other advantages, began Jan. 1, according to a fact sheet emailed to employees Wednesday by the U.S. Army Civilian Human Resources Agency. The program complements existing health insurance coverage for eligible DOD employees.”

From the judicial front,

  • Bloomberg Law reports,
    • “A trade group representing consumer credit reporting companies and a Texas-based credit union association sued to block the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s new rule barring most medical debt from credit reports.
    • “The CFPB overstepped its authority in eliminating medical debt from credit reports and banning creditors from considering medical debt in lending decisions, the Consumer Data Industry Association and the Cornerstone Credit Union League said in a complaint filed Tuesday in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Texas.
    • “Only Congress has the power to determine whether information can or can’t be included in credit reports, the complaint said.
    • “The ban will make it harder for lenders, employers, and rental housing providers to make informed decisions about the creditworthiness of borrowers, the industry groups said. 
    • “Knowing whether a consumer has debt is an important element of underwriting, and unilaterally eliminating consideration of coded medical debt information erodes the predictive nature, and therefore the value, of consumer reports,” the complaint said.
    • “The suit came on the same day the CFPB finalized its medical debt rule.”

From the Food and Drug Administration front,

  • Fierce Pharma lets us know,
    • “The FDA will require GSK and Pfizer to include on the label of their respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines a warning about the risk of developing Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), a rare neurological condition that can cause paralysis.
    • “The ruling will affect GSK’s Arexvy and Pfizer’s Abrysvo, both of which were approved by the agency in May of 2023 for adults 60 years or older and realized booming sales in their first year on the market.
    • “Seven months ago, however, the sales potential for both shots declined significantly when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended that they only be used by adults aged 75 and older and those 60 and older who have a high risk of severe disease due to underlying medical conditions.
    • “In narrowing the population with its revised recommendation, the CDC cited the potential link between the vaccines and GBS.
    • “On Tuesday, the FDA explained that its new guidelines come after the agency conducted a post marketing observational study and evaluated the results of clinical trials and reports to its Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS).”
  • Per Healthcare Dive,
    • “The Food and Drug Administration’s device center clarified how manufacturers should approach artificial intelligence in a draft guidance issued on Monday.
    • “The document outlines recommendations for design, development and maintenance to ensure AI-enabled devices are safe and effective. In particular, the guidance outlines how device makers should address transparency and bias and when post market monitoring is needed. 
    • “Troy Tazbaz, director of the FDA’s Digital Health Center of Excellence, said the agency has authorized more than 1,000 AI-enabled devices to date. 
    • “As we continue to see exciting developments in this field, it’s important to recognize that there are specific considerations unique to AI-enabled devices,” Tazbaz said in a statement.”
  • Per MedTech Dive,
    • “Johnson & Johnson said Wednesday it paused all U.S. Varipulse caseswhile the company investigates the cause of four reported neurovascular events.
    • “J&J said the cases were part of an external evaluation in the U.S. The pause was initiated on Jan. 5. J&J completed more than 130 cases across 14 sites as of Jan. 3.
    • “An external evaluation is a limited rollout intended to collect physician feedback on a new technology before a full release, a J&J spokesperson said in an email to MedTech Dive.
    • “Because the evaluation used a unique platform configuration, the pause does not affect the rollout of Varipulse outside of the U.S., where more than 3,000 commercial cases have been completed, J&J said.
    • “The pause of U.S. cases comes two months after J&J received Food and Drug Administration approval for Varipulse, becoming the third device company to offer a PFA system in the U.S.”

From the public health and medical research front,

  • The National Cancer Institute released its Cancer Information Highlights concerning “Targeted Therapy for Head and Neck Cancer & CAR T-Cell Therapy for Brain Cancer.”
  • MedPage Today informs us,
    • A study of older adults showed that 6% had depression, with higher prevalences in certain groups, including women, those who were unmarried, and those with chronic medical conditions. (Journal of the American Geriatrics Society)
    • A single 25-mg dose of synthetic psilocybin significantly improved depressive symptoms by week 3 among participants with severe treatment resistance in a small single-arm open-label trial. (American Journal of Psychiatry)
    • Older adults with major depressive disorder displayed riskier driving compared with those without depression, according to a prospective longitudinal cohort study. (JAMA Network Open).
  • MedPage Today adds, “Two types of Wicklow Gold cheddar cheese sold in five states were recalled due to potential contamination with Listeria monocytogenes, Abbey Specialty Foods said [last Friday].”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Healthcare Dive expects that “Health insurers will step off the roller coaster in 2025. After a turbulent year, things should calm for payers with the advent of a business-friendly Trump administration — though challenges will persist.”
  • MedCity News discusses
    • How Can Employers Manage Rising Healthcare Costs in 2025? Multiple reports indicate that employers can expect rising healthcare costs in 2025. To address these costs, employers are holding their vendor partners accountable and evaluating their health plan and PBM partners.
  • and
    • “Biopharma in 2025: Outlook for Obesity Meds, Drug Prices, Regulation & More. Metabolic medicines dominated life sciences headlines in 2024, a trend expected to continue into the new year. Other things to look for include more widespread adoption of artificial intelligence technologies and the IPO market’s return to normal levels.”
  • STAT News reports
    • “Next week brings the return of the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, and with it another fabled opportunity for companies in the industry to court possible mergers, acquisitions, and licensing deals. This year, there will be even greater pressure to make a good match, as the pharmaceutical industry, which drives more than $1 trillion in economic activity and thousands of jobs, faces one of the largest patent cliffs in recent history. 
    • “Between now and 2033, the patents on dozens of brand-name medications will expire, allowing generic drugmakers to begin selling cheaper versions. Drug companies stand to lose more than $400 billion in revenue as patents expire for Keytruda, Eliquis, Jardiance, Opdivo, and other blockbuster therapies. (By comparison, the last major patent cliff that hit the industry, in 2011, jeopardized around $250 billion in drug revenue.) 
    • “One of the few tried-and-tested methods for navigating a patent cliff is to acquire startups and new drugs — and lots of them. As a result, many experts anticipate pharma ramping up M&A activity in 2025, starting at the J.P. Morgan conference. 
    • “We always have a handful of deals announced around JPM. But the real work is the meetings that happen at JPM, that start the discussions.… I think people need to buckle up, because it’s already twice as frothy and could get even more,” said Charles Ruck, an attorney at Latham Watkins who specializes in M&A.”
  • Per Fierce Healthcare,
    • “Two-thirds of insured Americans say they would trust a health insurer’s artificial intelligence copilot to accurately inform them about a health plan’s benefits, a survey conducted by virtual care navigation platform Pager Health and market research firm The Harris Poll reveals.
    • “Of the respondents, 66% believe AI can correctly personalize digital healthcare with the goals and needs of the member. Even more respondents think AI can find doctors accepting new members and schedule appointments.
    • “The survey, shared exclusively with Fierce Healthcare, provide insights into how members want insurers to offer a better customer experience, sometimes through AI. However, health plans do not fully capitalize on this opportunity.
    • “Only 41% of people say they receive personalized messages, while 17% don’t receive health plan recommendations at all. About one-third of respondents say an insurer’s wellness programs would be more enticing if they received progress alerts, biometric information or claims data.
    • “Only health plans that fully leverage the power of AI to analyze the wealth of health data available will be able to meet this demand and, in the process, boost member engagement and satisfaction,” said Rita Sharma, chief product officer at Pager Health, in a news release.”
  • The Wall Street Journal reports,
    • “Novo Nordisk expanded a deal with Valo Health, a U.S. company, to discover and develop treatments for obesity, type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease using human data and artificial intelligence.
    • “The deal extends an agreement signed in 2023 and will see Valo become eligible for increased payments and funding.
    • “Under the original deal, the companies agreed to develop up to 11 drug programs, primarily focused on cardiovascular disease, with Valo eligible to receive up to $2.7 billion in milestone payments, plus research and development funding and potential royalty payments.
    • “The new agreement set out Wednesday expands the scope to put a stronger focus on obesity and type 2 diabetes and includes near-term payments to Valo of up to $190 million.
    • “A further $4.6 billion in potential milestone payments will be made for up to nine new drug programs and Valo will also be eligible for more research and development funding and potential royalty payments.
    • “The companies will continue to use Valo’s drug discovery and development platform that uses patient data and AI to generate new insights and translate them into potential therapeutics.”
  • Per Healthcare Dive,
    • “Transcarent, a healthcare platform for self-insured employers, will acquire benefits navigator Accolade for about $621 million, the companies announced Wednesday. 
    • “The deal will combine Transcarent’s offerings — including an artificial intelligence-backed information and navigation service, health benefits guidance and virtual care — with Accolade’s services, like providing virtual primary care and specialist consultations, as well as patient advocates and care navigation. 
    • “The acquisition will net Accolade stockholders $7.03 per share in cash, an approximately 110% premium over the company’s closing stock price on Tuesday. Transcarent’s CEO, noted entrepreneur and investor Glen Tullman, will head up the combined organization, according to a spokesperson.”

Tuesday Report

David Ermer–CDC, Congress, Medical / Rx research, Obesity, OPM, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–
OPM Headquarters a/k/a the Theodore Roosevelt Building
  • In a press release, OPM patted itself on the back for successfully launching the Postal Service Health Benefits Program.
  • Govexec adds,
    • “The Office of Personnel Management on Tuesday issued guidance to agencies reminding them of how to handle the pay and benefits of political appointees who are set to resign ahead of President-elect Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20.
    • “In a memo to agency human resources directors, OPM associate director for workforce policy and innovation Veronica Hinton wrote that agencies should compensate appointees who are planning on resigning at noon on Inauguration Day—when Trump is slated to be sworn into office—for the hours they are scheduled to work before that time.” * * *
    • “Hinton’s memo also addresses the fact that Inauguration Day, which Washington, D.C., area federal workers receive as a holiday due to the congestion resulting from the proceedings, happens to fall on another federal holiday: Martin Luther King, Jr. Day.
    • “In short, there are no so-called “in-lieu-of” holidays entitling employees who typically work Mondays to an extra day off in light of the two holidays’ confluence. But if a D.C.-area employee’s normal work schedule does not include Mondays, they would receive one “in-lieu-of” holiday.”
  • Speaking of political appointees leaving on Inauguration Day, an HHS press release lets us know “United States Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy released his Parting Prescription for America – PDF, weaving together reflections on his personal and professional experiences having spent six of the last ten years as our nation’s Surgeon General.”
  • Fierce Healthcare tells us,
    • “The Federal Consumer Financial Protection Bureau on Tuesday issued new regulations barring medical debts from American credit reports, enacting a major new consumer protection just days before President Joe Biden is set to leave office.
    • “The rules ban credit agencies from including medical debts on consumers’ credit reports and prohibit lenders from considering medical information in assessing borrowers.
    • “These rules, which the federal watchdog agency proposed in June, could be reversed after President-elect Donald Trump takes office Jan. 20. But by finalizing the regulations now, the CFPB effectively dared the incoming Trump administration and its Republican allies in Congress to undue rules that are broadly popular and could help millions of people who are burdened by medical debt.”
    • FEHBlog note — The rule does not take effect until early March. The FEHBlog hopes that the incoming Administration will cancel this rule making which is bound to disrupt the U.S. credit market.
  • Per a Senate press release,
    • Today, Senators Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) and Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), in their respective capacities as Chairman and Ranking Member of the Senate Budget Committee during the 118th Congress, released a bipartisan staff report on the findings of their investigation into the ways in which private equity investment in health care has negative consequences for patients and providers. 
    • The Committee focused on two private equity firms—including the single-largest private equity investor in health care—that currently or previously invested in two prominent hospital operators.  Throughout the course of its investigation, the Committee reviewed more than one million pages of documents from Leonard Green & Partners, Prospect Medical Holdings, Medical Properties Trust, Apollo Global Management (Apollo), Lifepoint Health, and Ottumwa Regional Health Center, a for-profit Iowa hospital, that revealed new information about the business dealings of private equity-owned hospital operators.  Documents obtained by the Committee detailed how private equity’s ownership of hospitals earned investors millions, while patients suffered and hospitals experienced health and safety violations, understaffing, reduced quality of patient care, and closures. 
    • “Private equity has infected our health care system, putting patients, communities, and providers at risk,” said Chairman Whitehouse. “As our investigation revealed, these financial entities are putting their own profits over patients, leading to health and safety violations, chronic understaffing, and hospital closures.  Take private equity firm Leonard Green and hospital operator Prospect Medical Holdings: documents we obtained show they spent board meetings discussing profit maximization tactics—cost cutting, increasing patient volume, and managing labor expenses—with little to no discussion of patient outcomes or quality of care at their hospitals.  And while Prospect Medical Holdings paid out $645 million in dividends and preferred stock redemption to its investors—$424 million of which went to Leonard Green shareholders—it took out hundreds of millions in loans that it eventually defaulted on.  Private equity investors have pocketed millions while driving hospitals into the ground and then selling them off, leaving towns and communities to pick up the pieces.”
    • “The Ottumwa community has personally felt the impact of private equity on its health care system.  Under private equity ownership, wait times at Ottumwa Regional Health Center have gone up as patient experience has gone down. The diminishing quality of care, service availability and care capacity at the hospital is forcing Ottumwa residents to travel significant distances in order to receive appropriate treatment. Iowans deserve better,” Grassley said. “A dependable health care system is essential to the vitality of a community.  As always, sunshine is the best disinfectant.  This report is a step toward ensuring accountability, so that hospitals’ financial structures can best serve patients’ medical needs.”  
    • Read the full report here, and view the documents released by the Committee here and here.

From the public health and medical research front,

  • Here is a link to the Centers for Disease and Control and Prevention’s respiratory virus updates.
  • STAT News reports
    • “At Tufts University in Medford, Mass., researchers loaded a tiny 3D model of the human brain into a plastic shell resting atop a spring-loaded platform. Inside this polymer skull, the donut-shaped ball of living brain tissue floated in a warm, salty bath, its neurons whispering to each other in the darkness. Then a piston struck the platform, whipping it back and forth, and sending the mini-brain sloshing.
    • “Days later, as the team assessed the damage, the results were stark. Some of the human brain-like tissue had been housing a latent infection with a herpes virus, the type that causes cold sores. And the impact of the piston — intended to mimic a concussion — had woken that virus up. In those tissues, the researchers found lots of inflammation, newly formed plaques of sticky amyloid proteins, and all around them dying neurons — the signature marks of Alzheimer’s disease. Meanwhile, infection-free brain tissues recovered from the concussion with just a bit of lingering inflammation. 
    • “Decades of epidemiological data have shown that infections with herpes simplex virus type 1, or HSV-1 can raise the risk of Alzheimer’s disease in certain people. So can a history of head injury. The new research, published Tuesday in Science Signaling, is the first to connect the dots between them, and adds to mounting evidence that this most common form of dementia can be caused by an everyday microbe.”
  • Per Fierce Pharma,
    • “It’s now official: Johnson & Johnson’s combination of Rybrevant and Lazcluze has racked up an overall survival (OS) victory against AstraZeneca’s standard-of-care Tagrisso as a first-line treatment for advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
    • “In reporting positive top-line results from the phase 3 MARIPOSA study in 1,074 patients with NSCLC with EGFR exon 19 deletions or L858R substitution mutations, J&J’s combo is expected to keep patients alive for at least a year longer than Tagrisso.
    • “The results, details of which are yet to be revealed, show a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in OS, according to J&J.” 
  • BioPharma Dive points out,
    • “A landmark study hoping to find new treatments for ALS has notched two more failures, as experimental medicines from Denali Therapeutics and Calico Life Sciences proved no better than a placebo at slowing the nerve-destroying disease or keeping patients alive longer.
    • “Denali disclosed high-level results from the study Monday. After about six months, treatment with the company’s drug didn’t result in any significant changes in the severity of the disease, nor did it substantially help patients’ muscle strength or respiratory function.
    • “Denali plans to further examine the data and look at biological markers of the disease, including one, “neurofilament light chain,” that’s become increasingly important to researchers focused on amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. The company expects to conduct those analyses later this year.”
  • and
    • “Privately-held biotechnology startup Metsera said Tuesday a long-acting GLP-1 shot it’s developing helped people who are overweight or have obesity lose more weight than placebo recipients in a Phase 2 trial. 
    • “Study participants who received the shot, dubbed MET-097i, lost on average 11% more of their body weight than those who got a placebo over the course of 12 weeks. Placebo-adjusted weight loss also reached around 20% in those who received the highest dose, comparable to what was observed in tests of Eli Lilly’s Zepbound and Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy over a similar period.
    • “Metsera also said data from the trial support plans to test MET-097i as a monthly injection, less frequent than the weekly shots Zepbound and Wegovy require. The announcement is the latest step forward for a company that has raised more than half a billion dollars since launching last April to support a bid to challenge Lilly and Novo’s medicines.” 
  • Cardiovascular Business adds,
    • “Semaglutide is associated with significant cardiovascular benefits for overweight and obese patients who have previously undergone coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery, according to new data published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.
    • “Semaglutide is a popular GLP-1 receptor agonist being sold by Novo Nordisk under the brand names Wegovy and Ozempic. GLP-1 receptor agonists were originally developed to treat diabetes, but they are being used more and more to help obese and overweight patients lose weight. 
    • “For this latest analysis, researchers tracked data from the SELECT trial, originally designed to examine semaglutide’s impact among overweight/obese patients without diabetes, and focused exclusively on more than 2,000 patients with a prior history of CABG. The patients had a mean age of 65 years old, 84.2% were men and the mean BMI was 31.9 kg/m2. A history of hypertension was seen in 85.6% of patients. The rates of pre-existing atrial fibrillation and heart failure were 12.5% and 33.4%, respectively. 
    • ‘The study’s results confirmed that CABG patients still face an elevated risk of ischemic cardiovascular events following treatment. And once again, researchers wrote, semaglutide has been linked to “significant and consistent reductions” in the risk of such events.” 
  • The Wall Street Journal reports,
    • “A new study is helping to answer a pressing nutrition question: Which ultra-processed foods are harming our health—and which might not be so bad? 
    • “The problem is the way many packaged foods are made, researchers believe. Products such as many frozen pizzas, cereals and chips pack more calories per gram than less-processed foods do. And most ultra-processed foods have combinations of salt, fat, sugar and carbohydrates that aren’t generally found in nature, which can make us crave them. Diets high in packaged foods without those traits—such as canned peaches or refried beans—don’t seem to lead people to overeat and gain weight, at least not as much.
    • “Those are the findings so far of a continuing study investigating how ultra-processed food affects our bodies. Scientists presented their interim data at a workshop put on by the National Institutes of Health and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in December. 
    • “There might be a way to create the quote, unquote healthy ultra-processed food that’s still convenient,” said Kevin D. Hall, the principal investigator of the study and a scientist at the NIH, giving an example of a frozen meal with brown rice, beans and a lot of vegetables.” 

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • STAT News reports,
    • “The advent of the first generic GLP-1 drugs could help Medicare negotiate a lower price for the highly sought after diabetes and obesity medication semaglutide, according to experts familiar with the price-negotiation program and STAT’s review of documents from the first round of negotiations.
    • “The Food and Drug Administration approved generics for the diabetes drugs exenatide and liraglutide in November and December. While those drugs don’t work as well as semaglutide, their much lower costs could give Medicare leverage to push for lower prices for semaglutide, two experts said.
    • “It’s hard to make an argument that liraglutide is not clinically comparable to the other GLP-1,” said Institute for Clinical and Economic Review President Sarah Emond.
    • “Both the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office and academic experts expect semaglutide, sold by Novo Nordisk under the brand names Ozempic and Wegovy, to be among the next 15 drugs up for price negotiation. Medicare will announce that list by Feb. 1, and the negotiated prices will take effect in 2027.” 
  • Fierce Pharma notes,
    • “With COVID vaccine sales in the doldrums and a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine market in “contraction”, Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel had the unenviable task of trying to put a positive spin on a sharp stock decline in his annual shareholder letter.
    • “After an unexpectedly limited RSV vaccination recommendation from the CDC resulted in a “contraction” in the U.S. market, Moderna will adjust its financial reporting traditions to exclude products in their launch year, Bancel said Monday in his annual letter to shareholders.
    • “The company was “too optimistic about our ability to break into the market given the headwinds from a midyear approval and launch,” the Moderna CEO wrote about the RSV launch. “We are taking those learnings to heart and going forward, we will not include revenue from products in their launch year in our financial framework,“ he added.”
  • Per MedTech Dive,
    • “Stryker has agreed to acquire Inari Medical for approximately $4.9 billion, the company announced late Monday. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter.
    • “Under the deal, Stryker would acquire all of Inari’s shares for $80 per share in cash, a premium of more than $30 over Friday’s closing price. Inari’s stock price closed at $65 Monday after surging by more than 30% in day trading.
    • “Inari would continue a busy year of dealmaking for Stryker in 2024, which included acquisitions of the artificial intelligence company Care.ai, the back pain device maker Vertos Medical and Nico Corporation, which makes devices to remove brain tumors and clots. Stryker did not disclose financial terms for the three deals.”
  • The Drug Channels Blog headlines “Inflation-Adjusted U.S. Brand-Name Drug Prices Fell for the Seventh Consecutive Year as a New Era of Drug Pricing Dawns.” Check it out.
  • Health Day relates,
    • “Patients have more access to their own medical test results than ever before, thanks to legislation requiring results be released as soon as they’re available.
    • “But that’s not necessarily a good thing, a new study warns.
    • “Many patients are reading test results in their electronic medical record before their doctor has had a chance to go over them, researchers say in a study published Jan. 2 in the Journal of the American Medical Association.
    • “This is provoking a lot of confusion and anxiety, mainly because medical reports contain a lot of jargon the average patient doesn’t understand, researchers said.
    • “For example, “a standard pathology report is written by a pathologist for a clinical specialist like a surgeon or a cancer doctor or for other pathologists to read,” lead researcher Dr. Cathryn Lapedis, a pathologist at University of Michigan Health, said in a news release from the college.
    • “To address this, Lapedis and her colleagues tested whether patients might benefit from pathology reports written in a way they would better understand.”

Monday Report

David Ermer–CDC, CMS, Congress, COVID treatment, FDA, Medical / Rx research, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–

From Washington, DC.

  • The Wall Street Journal reports, “Congress quickly and smoothly certified President-elect Donald Trump’s election victory Monday, a contrast to four years earlier, when a pro-Trump mob stormed the Capitol and temporarily halted the confirmation of President Biden’s win.” 
  • Federal News Network confirms,
    • “President Joe Biden signed the Social Security Fairness Act into law Sunday afternoon, the final step needed for nearly 3 million public sector employees, retirees, spouses and surviving spouses to begin receiving larger monthly Social Security payments.
    • “The legislation repeals the Windfall Elimination Provision and Government Pension Offset — two longstanding provisions of Social Security that reduce or eliminate benefits for certain government retirees, including Civil Service Retirement System annuitants, as well as teachers, firefighters, police officers and others who have worked in a public sector position.”
  • The American Hospital Association News tells us,
    • “The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Jan. 6 announced the 15 participants for its state Transforming Maternal Health Model: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Washington, D.C., Illinois, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Jersey, Oklahoma, South Carolina, West Virginia and Wisconsin. The model will provide technical support and resources to state Medicaid agencies to develop programs that address new mothers’ physical health, mental health and social needs during pregnancy and postpartum. The model launched Jan. 1 and will run for 10 years.”
  • Per FiercePharma,
    • “In recent years, the FDA has amped up its supervision of accelerated approvals, including by requiring that confirmatory trials at least be underway at the time of these conditional nods. But, after hearing some mixed messaging from the agency, drugmakers were left wondering what exactly “underway” means in this context.
    • “Now, a new draft guidance document tries to clear the air on the agency’s interpretation of the term “underway.”
    • “The FDA on Monday posted a draft guidance document titled “Accelerated Approval and Considerations for Determining Whether a Confirmatory Trial is Underway.” Although the guidance doc was uploaded by the Oncology Center of Excellence, which has issued the majority of accelerated approvals, the policies are slated to apply to the entire FDA.”
  • BioPharma Dive points out “five FDA decisions to watch in the first quarter of 2025. Over the next three months, the regulator could approve new medicines for pain, a deadly heart disease and a rare condition that’s long bedeviled drugmakers.”

From the public health and medical research front,

  • The New York Times reports,
    • “A Louisiana patient who had been hospitalized with severe bird flu has died, the first such fatality in the United States, state health officials reported on Monday.
    • “The patient was older than 65 and had underlying medical conditions, the officials said. The individual became infected with the bird flu virus, H5N1, after exposure to a backyard flock and wild birds.
    • “There is no sign that the virus is spreading from person to person anywhere in the country, and Louisiana officials have not identified any other cases in the state. Pasteurized dairy products remain safe to consume.
    • “I still think the risk remains low,” said Dr. Diego Diel, a virologist at Cornell University.
    • “However, it is important that people remain vigilant and avoid contact with sick animals, sick poultry, sick dairy cattle, and also avoid contact with wild birds,” he added.”
  • The Washington Post informs us,
    • “The rate of triplet and higher-order multiple births in the United States declined 62 percent from 1998 to 2023, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 
    • “Most of the downturn occurred since 2009. Triplet and higher-order births are pregnancies involving three or more babies. Because maternal and infant health problems are more frequently associated with higher-order multiple births than with twins and single births, the increase was of public health concern, the CDC report noted.” * * *
    • “The period that preceded the current study, 1980 to 1998, saw an extraordinary fivefold increase in births of triplets and higher-order multiple births — from 37 per 100,000 births in 1980 to 194 births per 100,000 in 1998. Researchers attributed the spike to higher maternal age and increased use of fertility treatments. Since that period, the rates of multiple births have trended in the opposite direction.”
  • Medscape adds,
    • “Respiratory syncytial virus prefusion F vaccine significantly reduced severe RSV-related lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) requiring hospitalization or emergency department (ED) visits in an older adult population, including substantial representation from the oldest age groups.”
  • In related news,
    • Per the New York Times, “Can Paxlovid treat long Covid? A new report suggests it might help some patients, but which patients might benefit remains unclear. The report, published Monday in the journal Communications Medicine, describes the cases of 13 long Covid patients who took extended courses of the antiviral drug. Results were decidedly mixed: Nine patients reported some improvement, but only five said it lasted. Four reported no improvement at all.”
    • Per Infectious Disease Advisor, “Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (PaxlovidTM) reduced COVID-19-related hospitalization and all-cause death, as well as the duration of COVID-19 symptoms and utilization of health care resources among patients at high risk for severe diseases, according to study findings published in Clinical Infectious Diseases.”
  • The Institute for Clinical and Economic Review announced today “that it will assess the comparative clinical effectiveness and value of apitegromab (Scholar Rock) for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). ICER will also assess new evidence (since ICER’s 2019 Final Evidence Report) on the clinical effectiveness of nusinersen (Spinraza®, Biogen) and onasemnogene abeparvovec-xioi (Zolgensma®, Novartis), as well as the evidence for risdiplam (Evrysdi®, Genentech). Risdiplam was not evaluated in the 2019 report.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Fierce Healthcare reports,
    • “All of the commercial prescriptions dispensed at CVS pharmacies will be processed through its CostVantage reimbursement model beginning this year, the healthcare giant announced on Monday.
    • “Under the model, prescriptions are priced based on the underlying cost with a delineated markup and dispensing fee to cover the services provided by CVS in the transaction. The company says that this model makes it less necessary to raise the cost for certain prescriptions to cover losses on other drugs.
    • “The model also seeks to increase transparency for insurers and pharmacy benefit managers, making it potentially easier for PBMs to establish their own more transparent programs for plans and clients.
    • “Prem Shah, group president for CVS Health, said that the team is also working with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to expand the program to Medicare and Medicaid prescriptions.”
  • Modern Healthcare relates,
    • “Although the pharmacy benefit manager market has long been controlled by three large, established players, many smaller PBMs are seeing a spike in interest. But the newer entrants will continue to face stiff competition this year as they seek more business.
    • “Smaller PBMs that advertise themselves as transparent have gained traction over the last few years as health insurers, employers and government entities look to deviate from the traditional spread pricing model. Many of these companies have said 2024 was their largest selling year, with an increasing number of large customers showing interest.”
    • “Companies that had never even spoken to us prior to this past year now are talking to us and are including us as a finalist,” said David Fields, president and CEO of Navitus Health Solutions, which serves employers with up to 500,000 workers and dependents. Navitus will manage pharmacy benefits for about 18 million people in 2025.”
  • McKinsey & Company notes,
    • Technology leaders and enthusiasts are convening in Las Vegas this week for CES—formerly known as the Consumer Electronics Show—to hear from industry leaders, get immersed in demos and interactives, and learn about the latest solutions to society’s greatest challenges. This year’s conference program features topics including artificial intelligence, digital health, vehicle technology and future mobility, and more. 
    • Whether you’re attending in-person or via livestream, prepare for #CES2025 by learning about the adoption, development, and effects of 15 top technology trends in an analysis by McKinsey’s Lareina Yee, Michael Chui, and Roger Roberts.

Weekend update

David Ermer–Congress, Medical / Rx research, Mental health care, U.S. Healthcare–

From Washington, DC

  • A joint session of Congress will be held tomorrow to counting the votes received from the Electoral College. Thereafter, the House of Representatives and the Senate will resume organizing the 119th Congress.
  • On January 3, the President issued a “Memorandum on the Designation of Officials of the Office of Personnel Management to Act as Director.” Such a memorandum has been issued in advance of Presidential Inauguration Day pursuant to the Federal Vacancies Act of 1998.
  • The FEHBlog understands
    • “The [Presidential] signing ceremony of HR 82, [the Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 which repeals certain laws that reduce Social Security benefits for individuals who receive other benefits, such as a pension from a state or local government, has been moved up to Sunday, January 5 at 4 PM Eastern time.  
    • “We still don’t know whether the ceremony will be broadcast or streamed, but one possible outlet if it is live is https://www.whitehouse.gov/live/
  • The President also signed another raft load of bills into law yesterday.

From the public health and medical research front,

  • Fortune Well explains why it is particularly important for adults and children to receive the flu vaccine. What’s more,
    • “Don’t worry if you missed the unofficial “vaccine before Halloween” memo. We’re in the thick of cold and flu season and any protection you can provide yourself, your loved ones, and your community will benefit public health, says Dr. Robert Hopkins Jr., medical director of the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases.
    • “It’s not too late,” Hopkins told Fortune in December. “It is not a bad time when we’ve got risk in front of us. And I would certainly prefer that people were vaccinated earlier, but I’m not going to make perfection the enemy of the good.”
  • The Washington Post reports,
    • “People who receive physical therapy shortly after suffering concussions have better outcomes than those who wait longer to start rehabilitation programs, a recent analysis suggests.
    • “Published in the Physical Therapy & Rehabilitation Journal, the study reports on a randomized trial of 203 adults diagnosed with a mild traumatic brain injury, or concussion, who were within two to 12 weeks from their injury.
  • NPR Shots shares “nine unexpected things we learned about mental health and our brains in 2024.”
  • A commentator in the Wall Street Journal shares her personal experience with chronic pain. For context, she writes
    • “[W]e do know that relentless chronic pain is destabilizing,” says Dr. Scott Fishman, a pain specialist at the University of California, Davis, who founded its Center for Advancing Pain Relief, a rare center that focuses on both the treatment and prevention of pain. 
    • It would be absurd to say that chronic pain drives sufferers to become murderers; the only people pain patients are at any heightened risk of killing is themselves. Yet Fishman likens the effects of enduring pain to “driving on a slippery road. It puts everyone at risk.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Modern Healthcare reports,
    • “Health tech companies focused on behavioral health are confident that reimbursement trends favor them in 2025.
    • “Payment flexibilities for telehealth, hospital-at-home care and remote prescribing have been temporarily extended until March 31. The changes will prolong COVID-19-era payment for remote care across all specialties.
    • “For many in mental health tech, new reimbursement codes from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ November physician payment rule are an even bigger deal.
    • “The codes reimburse providers for using digital mental health treatment applications or devices that have been cleared or granted De Novo authorization by the Food and Drug Administration.
    • “While the codes are narrow in scope, analysts said the move signifies a larger recognition among CMS and commercial insurers that virtual platforms treating mental health should be reimbursed.”

Friday Report

David Ermer–CDC, Congress, COVID-19, FDA, Medical / Rx research, NIH, Rx coverage, U.S. Healthcare–
Photo by Josh Mills on Unsplash

Public service notice — January 3 is the statute of limitations for wishing another person Happy New Year, according to Larry David.

From Washington, DC,

  • The Wall Street Journal reports,
    • “Incumbent Mike Johnson won re-election as speaker of the House on the first ballot, after President-elect Donald Trump pressured GOP holdouts to change their votes, handing the Louisiana Republican the narrow majority needed to claim the gavel.
    • “Johnson’s dramatic victory clears the way for Republicans to charge headlong into Trump’s second term, taking on an ambitious agenda of tax cuts and border security. While Johnson avoided a repeat of the GOP’s calamitous January 2023 speaker vote, the tally underscored how little room he has to maneuver with the party’s razor-thin margin. It also showed the power of any small group of dissidents to derail the party’s plans.
    • “Working together, we have the potential to be one of the most consequential congresses in the history of this great nation,” Johnson said.
    • “The chain of events previewed how Trump and Johnson will need to move in lockstep to get legislation across the finish line and tamp down dissent, even though the party controls both chambers of Congress and the White House.”
  • Roll Call adds,
    • “A last-minute insertion into House Republicans’ rules package for the 119th Congress substantially raises the bar for voting on legislation under suspension of the rules late in the week or over the weekend, in a concession to conservatives upset about recent deals with Democrats on big-ticket spending bills.
    • “The change requires the House to adopt a special rule to consider bills under suspension of the rules — which bars amendments but requires the support of two-thirds of members present and voting for passage — on any days other than Mondays, Tuesdays or Wednesdays.” * **
    • The House adopted the new rules package on a 215-209 vote late Friday.
  • The Wall Street Journal tells us,
    • “The U.S. surgeon general said alcoholic beverages should carry cancer warnings to increase awareness that the drinks are a leading cause of preventable cancers.
    • “An act of Congress would be required to change the existing warning labels on bottles of beer, wine and liquor. Today, federal rules require only a warning against drunken driving and drinking while pregnant, as well as a general warning that alcohol “may cause health problems.”
    • “Alcohol is a well-established, preventable cause of cancer responsible for about 100,000 cases of cancer and 20,000 cancer deaths annually in the United States,” Dr. Vivek Murthy said in his advisory issued Friday. “Yet the majority of Americans are unaware of this risk.”
  • Per a Health and Human Services Department press release,
    • “Today, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced it would award $306 million dollars to continue its H5N1 Avian Flu response. While CDC’s assessment of the risk of avian influenza to the general public remains low, USDA and HHS continue to closely collaborate with Federal, State, local, industry and other stakeholders to protect human health, animal health, and food safety.
    • “While the risk to humans remains low, we are always preparing for any possible scenario that could arise. These investments are critical to continuing our disease surveillance, laboratory testing, and monitoring efforts alongside our partners at USDA,” said Secretary Xavier Becerra. “Preparedness is the key to keeping Americans healthy and our country safe. We will continue to ensure our response is strong, well equipped, and ready for whatever is needed.”
  • MedTech Dive informs us that the “FDA closed 2024 with string of early alerts on device safety risks. Olympus advised providers to stop using an endoscope accessory due to an infection risk linked to 120 injuries and one death.”

From the judicial front,

  • Fierce Healthcare lets us know,
    • “Aetna is taking legal action against Pfizer, Novartis, Teva Pharmaceuticals and others, saying the list of drugmakers conspired to overcharge the insurer, consumers and the federal government for generic drugs.
    • “The complaint, filed Dec. 31, claims the drugmakers communicated secretly at trade conferences or through phone calls, beginning in 2012, to determine the market share, prices and bids of certain drugs. If communication was in writing, they destroyed the evidence, Aetna claimed.
    • “They effectuated their market allocation by either refusing to bid for particular customers or providing outrageously high cover bids,” the complaint said. “This created an artificial equilibrium that enabled the conspirators to then collectively raise and/or maintain prices for a particular generic drug.”
    • “Aetna said that drug purchasers, predominantly insurers, suffered as a result of these actions. Insurers place generic drugs on their formularies to lower costs but instead were paying unfairly high prices for these products.”

From the public health and medical research front,

  • The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced today,
    • “COVID-19 activity is increasing in most areas of the country. Seasonal influenza activity continues to increase and is elevated across most of the country. RSV activity is very high in many areas of the country, particularly in young children.
    • “COVID-19
      • “COVID-19 activity is increasing in most areas of the country, with high COVID-19 wastewater levels and increasing emergency department visits and laboratory percent positivity. Based on CDC modeled estimates of epidemic growth, we predict COVID-19 illness will continue to increase in the coming weeks as it usually does in the winter.
      • “There is still time to benefit from getting your recommended immunizations to reduce your risk of illness this season, especially severe illness and hospitalization.
      • “CDC expects the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine to work well for currently circulating variants. There are many effective tools to prevent spreading COVID-19 or becoming seriously ill.
    • “Influenza
    • “RSV
      • “RSV activity is very high in many areas of the country, particularly in young children. Emergency department visits and hospitalizations are highest in children and hospitalizations are elevated among older adults in some areas.
    • “Vaccination
      • “Vaccination coverage with influenza and COVID-19 vaccines are low among U.S. adults and children. COVID-19 vaccine coverage in older adults has increased compared with the 2023-2024 season. Vaccination coverage with RSV vaccines remains low among U.S. adults. Many children and adults lack protection from respiratory virus infections provided by vaccines.”
  • Following up on the Surgeon General’s advisory, the Wall Street Journal considers,
    • “How much drinking is bad for you?
    • “Though more people are calling themselves sober-curious or are trying zero-proof replacements for alcohol, drinking is a regular part of social life for most of us. A coupe of champagne can add fun to a celebration. A cocktail can take the edge off a tough day. And a cold beer can liven up a sports game. 
    • “Yet scientists’ warnings about the potential health problems of even small amounts of alcohol are growing more dire. For moderate drinkers, it can be hard to know what’s actually OK to consume: Is two a day that much worse than one? Are two drinks over a week the same as two in a day? 
    • “Averaging no more than about one drink a day is relatively low risk, according to scientists who study alcohol. They warn the risk of cancer rises significantly when you exceed that. Studies have suggested that alcohol contributes to about half a dozen types of cancers, including breast and colorectal, as well as heart and liver disease, among other conditions.” 
  • Per MedTech Dive,
    • “The Food and Drug Administration said a literature review found no safety concerns associated with tampon use and contaminant exposure.
    • “FDA officials commissioned the independent review in September in response to a study that found tampons may expose users to metals. After seeing the findings, the agency continues to recommend FDA-cleared tampons as a safe option for use as a menstrual product.
    • “The FDA is still running an internal bench laboratory study designed to show if metals from tampon materials are released or absorbed in the body. That study will better enable the FDA to complete a risk assessment, the agency said in a Dec. 23 statement.”
  • The Wall Street Journal notes,
    • Researchers have identified a focal point for the forces they suspect of driving up cancer cases in young people: the gut. They are searching people’s bodies and childhood histories for culprits.
    • Rates of gastrointestinal cancers among people under 50 are increasing across the globe. In the U.S., colorectal cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in men under 50 and second for women behind breast cancer. Each generation born since the 1950s has had higher risk than the one before. 
    • “Everything you can think of that has been introduced in our society since really the 1960s, the post-World War II era, is a potential culprit,” said Dr. Marios Giannakis, a gastrointestinal oncologist at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute in Boston.
    • “Robert F. Kennedy Jr., President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services secretary, has pointed to ultra-processed foods and chemicals in medicines and the environment. Cancer doctors share some of his suspicionsabout diet and exposure to contaminants such as microplastics, shards that make their way from packaging or clothing into our bodies through water and food. They are scrutinizing those and other potential hazards including “forever chemicals” and even light.   
    • “We’re all concerned and want to do something quickly and act quickly, but we want to do so based on sound science,” said Dr. Andrew Chan, director of epidemiology at Mass General Cancer Center in Boston.” 
  • Per HealthDay,
    • “Not sure what’s causing your child’s asthma?
    • “A new quick-and-easy nasal swab test for kids can diagnose the specific immune system drivers behind their asthma, potentially opening the door to better treatments, researchers say.
    • “The test diagnoses a child’s asthma subtype, also called an endotype.
    • “Because asthma is a highly variable disease with different endotypes, which are driven by different immune cells and respond differently to treatments, the first step toward better therapies is accurate diagnosis of endotype,” senior researcher Dr. Juan Celedon, chief of pulmonary medicine at the UPMC Children’s Hospital of Pittsburgh, said in a news release from the hospital.”
  • A National Institutes of Health news release points out,
    • “A novel class of antibodies that binds to a previously untargeted portion of the malaria parasite could lead to new prevention methods, according to a study from researchers at the National Institutes of Health (NIH) published today in Science. The most potent of the new antibodies was found to provide protection against malaria parasites in an animal model. The researchers say antibodies in this class are particularly promising because they bind to regions of the malaria parasite not included in current malaria vaccines, providing a potential new tool for fighting this dangerous disease.
    • Malaria is a life-threatening disease caused by Plasmodium parasites, which are spread through the bites of infected mosquitoes. Although malaria is not common in the United States, its global impact is devastating, with 263 million cases and 597,000 deaths estimated by the World Health Organization in 2023. Of the five species of Plasmodium that cause malaria, Plasmodium falciparum is the most common in African countries where the burden of malaria is largest and where young children account for the majority of malaria deaths. Safe, effective countermeasures are critical for reducing the immense burden of this disease. * * *
    • “Findings from the study will inform future strategies for the prevention of malaria and may facilitate the development of new antibodies and vaccines against the disease, the researchers indicate. The scientists also note that more research is needed to examine the activity and effectiveness of the newly identified antibody class and epitope, according to their paper. The approach used in this study could also aid the development of a new generation of countermeasures against other pathogens, in addition to malaria.”  

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Modern Healthcare reports,
    • “Ardent Health has acquired 18 facilities from urgent care provider NextCare, following through on its plan to expand its urgent and ambulatory care presence.
    • “The for-profit health system, which went public in July, said Friday it acquired six facilities in New Mexico and 12 in Oklahoma. Financial details and terms of the agreement were not disclosed.
    • “An Ardent spokesperson said the deal was part of a larger growth strategy and the system planned to acquire more ambulatory facilities.”
  • Beckers Payer Issues relates,
    • UnitedHealth Group is the world’s largest insurer by net premiums written for a 10th year in a row, according to AM Best’s annual ranking published Jan. 2.
    • In 2025, UnitedHealth expects revenues of up to $455 billion and adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share.
    • Top four insurers ranked by 2023 NPW:
      • UnitedHealth Group
      • Centene
      • Elevance Health
      • Kaiser Permanente
  • Per Beckers Hospital Review,
    • “The Women’s Choice Award has recognized 457 hospitals on its annual list of the Best Hospitals for Patient Safety.
    • “To compile the ranking, the organization analyzed hospitals’ performance on 13 surgical complication and infection measures from CMS, including central-line associated bloodstream infections, sepsis and serious blood clots after surgery. Hospitals had to report on at least six measures to be included in the analysis and could not rank worse than the national average on any measure.  
    • “Hospitals on the patient safety list were among the top 10% of organizations nationwide with the lowest incidence of adverse medical events and infections. See the full list of winners here.” 

Thursday Report

David Ermer–Congress, FDA, Medical / Rx research, NIH, Obesity, U.S. Healthcare–

From Washington, DC,

  • According to the House of Representatives and Senate press galleries, each body will assemble before noon to adjourn the 118th Congress sine die and at noon will convene for the start of the 119th Congress.
  • Govexec tells us,
    • “Current federal employees, retirees and others impacted by widespread breach of personal data maintained by the Office of Personnel Management took advantage of only a small portion of the money made available in a settlement agreement following the 2015 hack. 
    • “Plaintiffs in the class action lawsuit reached a settlement in 2022 with the government that made $63 million available for those who could demonstrate financial hardship as a result of the breach. A federal judge closed out the case last month after OPM and the Treasury Department doled out just $4.8 million to just more than 5,000 individuals. The remaining $58.2 million is set to go back to the Treasury on Thursday, according to court documents last month.” 

From the public health and medical research front,

  • The Washington Post reports, “More children are getting kidney stones. Experts think it’s their diet.”
    • “Some research suggests that genetic predisposition may play a role, but experts say the increase more likely reflects dietary habits and lifestyle.
    • “A North Carolina doctor detected a potential culprit: salt-laden diets. Sodium intake has increased significantly among children in the past few decades.
    • “There is so much added salt to the American diet today, and when the kidney is excreting the sodium, it pulls calcium with it and increases the risk of calcium-based stones,” John S. Wiener, a pediatric urologist at Duke Health, said.”
  • The American Medical Association discusses “Raw milk: Questions patients may have and how to answer.” Econtalk host Russ Roberts chats with Brown University economist Emily Oster about raw milk and similar public health issues in his latest podcast.
  • HealthDay lets us know,
    •  “Alzheimer’s disease experts have updated their diagnosis guidelines for the first time in more than 20 years, laying out how family doctors and brain specialists can best detect dementia.
    • “The guidelines call for the use of three general criteria to assess a person’s brain health, according to a report published Dec. 23, 2024, in the journal Alzheimer’s & Dementia:
      • “The patient’s overall level of cognitive impairment
      • “Specific symptoms they’re suffering, which can involve memory, reasoning, language or mood
      • “Brain diseases most likely to be causing these symptoms
    • “These three areas of diagnosis were intentionally left broad, so that new tests can be incorporated into the guidelines as researchers learn more about dementia and Alzheimer’s, Dr. Alireza Atri, a lecturer on neurology at Harvard Medical School, said in a news release from the Alzheimer’s Association.”
  • Per National Institutes of Health news releases,
    • “Based on new brain mapping research funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH), scientists have discovered that not all cell types in the brain age in the same way. They found that some cells, such as a small group of hormone-controlling cells, may undergo more age-related changes in genetic activity than others. The results, published in Nature, support the idea that some cells are more sensitive to the aging process and aging brain disorders than others.
    • “Aging is the most important risk factor for Alzheimer’s disease and many other devastating brain disorders. These results provide a highly detailed map for which brain cells may be most affected by aging,” said Richard J. Hodes, M.D., director of NIH’s National Institute on Aging. “This new map may fundamentally alter the way scientists think about how aging affects the brain and also provide a guide for developing new treatments for aging-related brain diseases.”
    • “Scientists used advanced genetic analysis tools to study individual cells in the brains of 2-month-old “young” and 18-month-old “aged” mice. For each age, researchers analyzed the genetic activity of a variety of cell types located in 16 different broad regions — constituting 35% of the total volume of a mouse brain.”
  • and
    • ‘In a small clinical trial, a CAR T-cell therapy—a type of immunotherapy that uses a patient’s own immune cells to fight cancer—shrank tumors in several children and young adults with diffuse midline gliomas. This fast-growing form of brain and spinal cord cancer typically causes death within a year of diagnosis.
    • “In the trial, several participants were still alive 2 years or more after receiving the treatment.” * * *
    • “This study breaks new ground,” said study co-investigator Crystal L. Mackall, M.D., of Stanford Medicine. “It demonstrates that CAR T cells can have real, meaningful benefit for solid cancers, something that many people have not believed [was possible].”  
    • “In the trial, 9 of 11 patients who received the GD2 CAR T-cell therapy had neurological improvement. Of those, 7 had tumor shrinkage and in some cases the effects were quite dramatic. As patients’ tumors shrank, their symptoms improved and many regained physical functions they had lost from the disease, such as hearing, walking, and taste sensation. 
    • “Participants lived a median of nearly 2 years after treatment, with two patients still alive past the study’s 2.5-year follow-up period. One of these patients had a complete disappearance of his tumor and remains cancer free 4 years after his diagnosis. 
    • “It’s really remarkable,” said Rosandra N. Kaplan, M.D., of NCI’s Center for Cancer Research, who is also running a GD2 CAR T-cell therapy clinical trial but was not involved in this study. “This is a tumor for which nothing has ever worked. I think this is the start of a revolution in understanding how to treat these patients.”   
  • The Hill reported yesterday
    • “Broccoli sold at Walmart stores in 20 states has been recalled.
    • “Braga Fresh last week issued a voluntary and precautionary advisory for 12-ounce bags of Marketside Broccoli Florets that may be contaminated with Listeria monocytogenes.” * * *
    • “According to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), which posted the advisory Tuesday, the pathogen can cause “serious and sometimes fatal infections” in young children, elderly people and others with weakened immune systems.” * * *
    • “It was distributed to stores in Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington and Wyoming.
    • “No illnesses have yet been reported in connection with the product, the advisory said.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Modern Healthcare reports,
    • “Sanford Health closed its merger with Marshfield Clinic Health System on Wednesday.
    • “The combined system, led by Sanford President and CEO Bill Gassen, has more than $10 billion in revenue and operates 56 hospitals across seven states, in addition to two health plans with roughly 425,000 members. It has almost 56,000 employees, including about 13,000 employees from Marshfield, according to a Thursday news release.“
  • and
    • “CareSource has completed its acquisition of Common Ground Healthcare Cooperative, the nonprofit health insurers announced in a news release Thursday.
    • “Privately held CareSource, which has 2 million Medicare, Medicaid and health insurance exchange members, gains 54,000 marketplace customers in Wisconsin through the deal. Common Ground CEO Cathy Mahaffey remains as chief executive of Common Ground Healthcare Cooperative and was named CareSource market president for the Badger State.”
    • “Common Ground had been one of three remaining member-owned cooperative health insurers supported with funding from the Affordable Care Act of 2010.” * * *\
    • “Of the 23 co-ops that debuted on the exchanges in 2013, only Community Health Options in Maine and Mountain Health CO-OP in Idaho, Montana and Wyoming are still in operation.”
  • Beckers Hospital Review lists “the hospitals patients are most likely to recommend in every state using Hospital Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems data from CMS.”
  • Beckers Payer Issues identifies the fifteen insurers exiting Medicare Advantage markets in 2025.
  • BioPharma Dive points out “ten clinical trials to watch in the first half of 2025. Expected readouts in diabetes, cancer and depression headline a series of study results that could help the biotechnology sector regain its footing after a shaky year.”
  • Forbes reports,
    • “The anti-obesity drug Zepbound made by Eli Lilly & Co. could be one of the biggest cost drivers for health insurers, employers and government health programs that cover it this year.
    • “Already, GLP-1 weight loss prescriptions Wegovy, Rybelsus and Saxenda—along with Ozempic—are the “single biggest driver” of employer health costs, adding 1% to the total premium expense for 2025, data released last fall from the benefits consultancy Aon said.
    • ‘These GLP-1 drugs are adding to general healthcare inflation that is projected to increase employer-sponsored health insurance coverage by 9%, eclipsing $16,000 per employee in 2025. The spike in premiums, which is higher than the 6.4% increase employers faced in 2024 and in 2023, comes before any “cost savings strategies” are implemented, Aon said.
    • “But a new report from GlobalData indicates Zepbound is poised to overtake other GLP-1 drugs.
    • “Zepbound’s superior efficacy and strategic market expansion suggest that the drug will dominate the obesity market, surpassing Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy (semaglutide),” GlobalData said in a report the market research firm released Tuesday.”
  • Per BioPharma Dive,
    • “Neumora Therapeutics, a well-funded biotechnology company, lost more than 80% of its value Thursday because its most advanced drug failed a major test.
    • “After seeing positive signs in a smaller study in 2023, Neumora pushed the drug into a trio of late-stage clinical trials to evaluate it as a treatment for the most common type of depression. The company just released data from the first of those trials, which found the drug no better than a placebo at alleviating depression.
  • and
    • “Pfizer won’t move forward with asking regulators to approve a gene therapy for hemophilia A and instead will hand back rights to development partner Sangamo Therapeutics in a blow to the California-based biotechnology company. In a Dec. 30 statement, Sangamo CEO Sandy Macrae said his company was “surprised and extremely disappointed” by Pfizer’s decision, which comes some five months after the treatment met its goal in a Phase 3 study of people with the inherited bleeding disorder. Sangamo plans to search for an “optimal path” forward, which could include partnering with another company. Pfizer has steadily retreated from gene therapy, although it sells a hemophilia B gene therapy called Beqvez that it obtained from Spark Therapeutics.”
  • and
    • “After many years of effort, Novartis has obtained positive results from a Phase 3 study for a form of its spinal muscular atrophy gene therapy Zolgensma that’s delivered via spinal injection rather than intravenous infusion. Data from the study, called Steer, showed treatment improved motor abilities in people with the neuromuscular disease who were two years of age or older and could still sit but had never walked independently. U.S. regulators suspended testing of the intrathecal formulation in late 2019 over safety concerns, but in August 2021 permitted Novartis to begin the Steer study. Novartis plans to share the new data with health authorities to support approval of the gene therapy in a broader range of people with spinal muscular atrophy.”

Weekend update

David Ermer–Congress, U.S. Healthcare–

From Washington, DC

  • On December 23, 2024, President Biden signed a raft load of Congressionally approved bills into law.
  • The 119th Congress convenes on Friday January 3, 2025. Here are links to the 2025 House of Representatives calendar and the 2025 Senate calendar.
  • Per Govexec,
    • Jimmy Carter, the 39th president of the United States and arguably the most dedicated to reforming the operations of the government, died on Dec. 29 at his home in Plains, Georgia. He was 100.

From the public health and medical research front,

  • Pew Research tells us,
    • “The number of Americans ages 100 and older is projected to more than quadruple over the next three decades, from an estimated 101,000 in 2024 to about 422,000 in 2054, according to projections from the U.S. Census Bureau. Centenarians currently make up just 0.03% of the overall U.S. population, and they are expected to reach 0.1% in 2054.
    • The number of centenarians in the United States has steadily ticked up since 1950, when the Census Bureau estimates there were just 2,300 Americans ages 100 and older. (The Census Bureau uses calculated estimates for years prior to the 1990 census because it has identified large errors in the census counts of centenarians for those years.)
    • “In the last three decades alone, the U.S. centenarian population has nearly tripled. The 1990 census counted around 37,000 centenarians in the country.”
  • The Wall Street Journal reports,
    • “The rich get richer—and older. People with high salaries and net worth tend to live longer lives, research shows.
    • “Once Americans make it to their late 50s, the wealthiest 10% live to a median age of around 86 years, roughly 14 years longer than the least wealthy 10%, according to a study published earlier this year in JAMA Internal Medicine.
    • “People with more money can afford healthier food, more healthcare and homes in safer, less-polluted neighborhoods, says Kathryn Himmelstein, a co-author of the study and a medical director at the Boston Public Health Commission.
    • “Though you can’t add more months or years to your online shopping cart yet, health and aging researchers say there are ways to spend money to improve your chances of living longer. They suggest favoring purchases that help you track your health, stay active and reduce stress.”
  • Medscape points out,
    • A booster dose of recombinant pertussis vaccines provides sustained immunity in adolescents and young adults even after 5 years, with pertussis toxin (PT)–neutralizing antibody levels remaining 2.5- to 3-fold higher than pre-vaccination levels. 
  • Per MedPage Today,
    • A study presented at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) annual meeting revealed that multiple myeloma patients with higher socioeconomic deprivation, as measured by the Area Deprivation Index (ADI), experienced poorer outcomes, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions.

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • The Wall Street Journal lets us know,
    • “Since the assassination of his top lieutenant Brian Thompson on Dec. 4, Andrew Witty has been keeping long difficult hours at the Minnesota headquarters of the giant company he runs, UnitedHealth Group.
    • “Witty has been telling company executives during meetings and rank-and-file employees in videos that the work they do is important, lifesaving and deeply appreciated following the killing of Thompson, who had run the company’s health-insurance division.
    • ‘More quietly, Witty is telling executives that the company is expecting to hit financial records by the end of the year. 
    • “It is up to Witty, a knighted former pharmaceutical chief who went on to a rare second act running the even larger and more powerful healthcare conglomerate that is UnitedHealth, to steer through one of the worst corporate crises imaginable: the targeted killing of one of its own executives.
    • “Witty must ease the concerns of his company’s anxious 440,000 employees following Thompson’s assassination, and keep its complex business humming, while also responding to a wave of outrage over health-insurance practices since the killing in Midtown Manhattan.”
  • Per Beckers Payer Issues,
    • “UnitedHealth Group and home health company Amedisys have agreed to extend the deadline for a planned $3.3 billion merger due to a legal challenge by the Department of Justice.
    • “In a Dec. 26 regulatory filing, the two companies waived their right to terminate the agreement if it does not occur before an agreed-upon date: either 10 business days after a final court ruling that blocks the merger or December 31, 2025. They also made adjustments to the terms, including a potential penalty fee of up to $325 million if regulatory conditions aren’t met.
    • “UnitedHealth’s Optum first announced its plans to merge with Amedisys in June 2023. The Baton Rouge, La.-based company was founded in 1982 and provides home health, hospice and high-acuity care services across more than 500 care centers in 37 states and the District of Columbia.
    • “In November, the Justice Department sued to block the deal in a Maryland federal court, citing concerns of lessened competition in the home health market because the two companies are “direct competitors.” The lawsuit claims the purchase could increase home healthcare prices across 23 states and in Washington, DC. The Attorneys General of Maryland, Illinois, New Jersey, and New York have also joined the complaint.
    • “The proposed merger has been under an antitrust review by the DOJ since August 2023. In March 2024, Oregon regulators opened their own review after a preliminary report found the deal could hurt competition in the state’s home health markets.”

Friday Report

David Ermer–CDC, Congress, COVID-19, Federal employment benefits, NCQA, U.S. Healthcare–
Hanukkah greeting template. Nine candles and wishing. Hand drawn sketch illustration. White, yellow and blue colors

From Washington, DC,

  • The Washington Examiner reports,
    • Debate within the intelligence community over the origins of COVID-19 ran much deeper than previously known, particularly within the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency. 
    • Three scientists at the National Center for Medical Intelligence, a branch of the Defense Intelligence Agency, conducted a scientific investigation in the summer of 2021, concluding that COVID-19 was likely manipulated in a biolaboratory. But the information was suppressed by the Pentagon and not included in White House briefings on the virus, according to a new report from the Wall Street Journal.”  * * *
    • “The National Center for Medical Intelligence examines global health threats, including infectious diseases and bioweapons, to determine what threats could endanger troops. The agency received a significant boost in funding in the immediate aftermath of the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center as the threat of biowarfare increased in the 21st century. 
    • “Three scientists at the medical intelligence center determined through genetic testing that a segment of the novel bat coronavirus, known as the spike protein, had been manipulated to infect human cells. They argued these changes indicated that Chinese scientists at the Wuhan Institute of Virology were engaging in gain-of-function experiments to see if they could make the virus more dangerous for humans.” * * *
    • “Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) has promised to pick up where the House investigation left off and said he plans to use his new chairmanship of the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee to delve deeper into what happened at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and what occurred behind closed doors within federal public health agencies.”
  • NCQA shares its insights about a December 9, 2024, White House listening session concerning the ongoing opioid crisis.
  • Federal News Network lets us know,
    • “With an incoming presidential administration and a new Congress both starting up at the beginning of 2025, there are many unknowns about what’s to come for the federal workforce.
    • “But at least one thing is for certain — telework for the federal workforce will remain a high-priority topic for agencies, employees, lawmakers, unions and many others.
    • “Already, key Republicans in Congress are looking ahead to further investigations into telework options for federal employees. House Oversight and Accountability Committee Chairman James Comer (R-Ky.) announced plans to hold a hearing on federal telework once the 119th Congress begins.”

From the public health and medical research front,

  • The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced today,
    • “Due to the holidays, a short summary of this week’s respiratory virus illness findings is presented here, and updated data are provided in subsequent pages. No additional data summaries will be provided this week. Regular updates will resume on Friday, January 3, 2025.
    • “COVID-19, seasonal influenza, and RSV activity continue to increase across the country.
    • ‘COVID-19
      • “COVID-19 activity is increasing in most areas of the country, with high COVID-19 wastewater levels and increasing emergency department visits and laboratory percent positivity. Based on CDC modeled estimates of epidemic growth, we predict COVID-19 illness will continue to increase in the coming weeks as it usually does in the winter.
      • “There is still time to benefit from getting your recommended immunizations to reduce your risk of illness this season, especially severe illness and hospitalization.
      • “CDC expects the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine to work well for currently circulating variants. There are many effective tools to prevent spreading COVID-19 or becoming seriously ill.
    • “Influenza
    • “RSV
      • “RSV activity is high and continues to increase in most areas of the country, particularly in young children. Emergency department visits and hospitalizations are increasing in children and hospitalizations are increasing among older adults in some areas.
    • “Vaccination
      • “Vaccination coverage with influenza and COVID-19 vaccines are low among U.S. adults and children. COVID-19 vaccine coverage in older adults has increased compared with the 2023-2024 season. Vaccination coverage with RSV vaccines remains low among U.S. adults. Many children and adults lack protection from respiratory virus infections provided by vaccines.”
  • The University of Minnesota CIDRAP adds,
    • “The genetic analysis of the H5N1 avian flu virus in specimens from the nation’s first severely ill hospitalized patient in Louisiana reveals mutations that may enable upper-airway infection and greater transmission, concludes a technical summary from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
    • ‘But the authors of the report, released late yesterday afternoon, say the risk of an influenza pandemic amid the ongoing outbreak remains low.
    • “In related news, Los Angeles County and Stanislaus County this week announced their first human H5N1 cases in two dairy workers. Both workers had mild symptoms and are recovering after receiving antiviral drugs. No related cases have been identified. 
    • “California, which has reported a total of 37 cases, recently announced a public health emergency for H5N1 to free up more resources with the virus now spreading to dairy farms beyond the Central Valley and further south.
    • “The US total for human cases is now at 65.”
  • The Washington Post reports,
    • “Whooping cough continues to surge in the United States, with reported cases soaring to more than 32,000 this year — nearly five times the 6,500 cases recorded during the same period last year — marking the highest levels in a decade.
    • “Health experts cite as main culprits for the increase waning vaccination rates and a loss of broad immunity tracing to coronavirus lockdown protocols.
    • “The disease, caused by the bacterium Bordetella pertussis, is highly transmissible from person to person through the air. Because of their immature immune systems, infants younger than 1 year old are at highest risk of contracting whooping cough — also known as pertussis — and are at most significant risk of severe illness.
    • “Vaccination rates with the DTaP shot — which protects against diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis — declined from March through September 2020 at the height of the coronavirus pandemic. But because people were following pandemic protocols such as masking and social distancing, cases did not soar. Some children who missed getting their shots during that period may never have received them, experts have said.”
  • The Wall Street Journal informs us about “What Your ‘Face Age’ Can Tell Doctors About Your Health Scans of face photos are estimating people’s ‘biological age’ and even predicting how long they’ll live.”
    • “The FaceAge test is an artificial intelligence model trained on tens of thousands of photos from patients and public-image databases to look for signs of aging in the face. [Dr. Raymond] Mak and his team ran a study that found that the algorithm did a better job than doctors at predicting how long cancer patients would live. 
    • “Their hope is that one day, the tool could be a standard part of assessing health. Already, separate versions of face-age tests exist online where anybody can upload a selfie and get an estimate of their biological age. 
    • “Your face reflects the wear and tear of your lifetime,” says Mak, a radiation oncologist at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, who co-led the study alongside other Mass General Brigham researchers. “We viewed this as a way to quantify a doctor’s clinical intuition.”
  • Per STAT News,
    • “Blood stem cell transplants have been central players in treating blood cancers for decades. These procedures can improve patients’ chances of survival and can even offer the opportunity for a cure in some cases.
    • “But over the last decade, physicians say they’ve started doing transplants for fewer cancer types, particularly lymphomas, and are instead reaching first for newer immune or targeted therapies that are safer and often more effective.
    • “That’s progress that experts hope will continue. “I know from my days as a transplanter, there was nothing better than when a patient didn’t have to be transplanted,” said Andy Kolb, the president and CEO of the Leukemia and Lymphoma Society. “Because it’s toxic.”
  • Per HealthDay,
    • “When supplies of certain generic, platinum-based cancer chemotherapies dwindled in 2023, oncologists feared it might lead to under-treatment and many more cancer deaths.
    • “Fortunately, that did not turn out to be the case, a new study published recently in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute shows.
    • “When we looked at the data on prescribing practices over the shortage period, compared to the previous year, we found that although reporting of the shortages was widespread, it didn’t affect as many patients as we had feared,” said lead study author Dr. Jacob Reibel. He’s a third-year fellow in hematology-oncology at Penn Medicine’s Abramson Cancer Center in Philadelphia.”

From the U.S. healthcare business front,

  • Modern Healthcare reports,
    • “National health expenditures in 2025 are forecast to rise 2.2% over 2024 levels, according to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Office of the Actuary. But some analysts say the predictions should be taken with a measure of skepticism.
    • “The predictions, released annually from CMS actuaries, project changes to healthcare spending by governments, businesses and households several years into the future. The report’s methodology acknowledges limitations, including relying on law and government policy in force at the time the projections were made.
    • “The office, which is independent from CMS leadership, predicts personal healthcare spending — which includes provider and retail revenue from medical goods and services — will increase 2.3% in 2025.
    • “Kevin Holoran, a senior director with data and analytics firm Fitch Group, said the projected 1.7% increase in spending on hospital care “feels a little low.” In December, Fitch Ratings released a 2025 outlook for nonprofit hospitals and health systems suggesting the sector would benefit from boosted cash flows and improved equity market returns.
    • “The Office of the Actuary predicted a 4.5% increase in prescription drug spending. Fitch Senior Director Mark Pascaris — who, along with Holoran, is a lead nonprofit hospital analyst at the firm — said those projections are consistent with growth in the sector, which Fitch expects to continue in 2025. Actuaries’ predicted 3.7% boost in home healthcare spending also makes sense, Pascaris said.
    • “The personal healthcare spending category additionally includes dental services; nursing home and continual care facilities; durable and non-durable medical products; other health, residential and personal care; and “other” professional services not included in the other subcategories.”
  • and
    • “Per diem nursing is replacing travel nursing as the preferred solution to providers’ staffing issues.” * * *
    • “Many employers, including Franklin, Tennessee-based Community Health Systems and Dallas-based Tenet Healthcare have said they’ve lowered their contract labor costs. And a June survey from employment firm Incredible Health found 67% of health executives did not increase travel nurse positions in 2024. The survey also found nurse interest in travel work dropped by 22% in 2024.
    • “Per diem nurses typically operate “on-demand,” picking up shifts for permanent staff who call out, are on a short leave or when a hospital needs extra help when a patient population is high. They are usually local residents and do not require long-term contracts, compared with travel nurses who often require relocation assistance and guaranteed pay regardless of whether a facility needs extra nurses.”
  • The Healthcare Cost Institute updated its assessment of no value care in the employer sponsored and traditional Medicare health insurance markets.
    • “In this brief, we calculated the prevalence and spending among a subset of “no value care” services between 2018 and 2022 among the employer-sponsored insurance and Traditional Medicare populations.
    • “Vitamin D Screening in administrative claims accounted for nearly $708 million in ESI and $312 million in Traditional Medicare spending in 2022. In that year, we estimate that 23% of all Vitamin D Screenings had no evidence of clinical benefit in administrative claims data among those with Employer Sponsored Insurance, much higher than the estimated 4% no value tests among those with Traditional Medicare. The prevalence of arthroscopic knee surgeries for osteoarthritis amounted to $389 million in ESI and $30 million Traditional Medicare spending in 2022.
    • “Our analysis focused just on these three services and, accordingly, does not speak to the prevalence of “no value care” in the employer-sponsored insurance and Traditional Medicare population broadly. Due to absence of clinical and health care operation data elements, we are not able to identify and measure most “no value care” or related challenges, such as medical mistakes, preventable infections, lack of care coordination, and lack of access to care.”
  • Beckers Payer Issues explains why Premera Blue Cross wants its employees to get creative with artificial intelligence.
  • Beckers Hospital Review shares what’s on pharmacy leaders’ radar screens for 2025 and its updated list of 2024 hospital closures which merited a Beckers report.