That’s the headline of a weekend Wall Street Journal article that disturbed the FEHBlog. The article discusses two women who caught the flu last month and died. Both women were in the late 30s, were married with young children, and had health insurance. One of the women was a teacher and the other was an administrator. Their deaths shouldn’t have happened but they did.

Bloomberg reports that the flu and its big brother pneumonia currently are the cause of 1 in 10 deaths in America.

The death toll in future weeks is expected to grow even higher because flu activity is still rising—and the number of deaths follow the flu activity. Hospitalization rates are already approaching total numbers seen at the end of the flu season, which may not be for months.
“Unfortunately, more deaths are likely to happen,” [Centers for Disease Control acting director Anne] Schuchat said. “Over the next few weeks, we do expect and it would make sense to see more pneumonia and influenza-related deaths. The people who are likely to die are already in the hospital.”

In a sidebar, the Wall Street Journal discusses why this disease can be so deadly.

People over age 65, young children [particular those five and under], pregnant women and adults with chronic medical conditions such as heart disease or chronic lung disease are at high risk of serious complications. It is uncommon, but otherwise healthy people can develop them too.
Complications occur when the body’s immune system overreacts, triggering an exaggerated inflammatory response. Or flu infection can make it easier for bacteria to invade the bloodstream, causing a secondary infection. 

The article encourages people or caregivers in those categories to contact their doctor right away. Tamiflu, according to the article (and the FDA), can reduce flu symptoms particularly if taken within the first two days of getting sick.  The article also discusses when you need to head to the emergency room.

The bottom line is that people need to have a primary care provider in place before they get sick. Similarly, it’s important if you have a telemedicine service to register for that service before you need it. Even if you prepared as the two unfortunate women in the article mentioned at the outset were, tragic things can happen.

The Wall Street Journal also reports this morning that

As Americans suffer through the worst influenza outbreak in almost a decade, a Japanese drugmaker says it has developed a pill that can kill the virus within a day. But even if the experimental drug lives up to the claim, it likely won’t be available in the U.S. until next year at the earliest.
A late-stage trial on Japanese and American flu patients found that for the people who took the Shionogi 4507 -3.04% & Co. compound, the median time taken to wipe out the virus was 24 hours. That is much quicker than any other flu drug on the market, including Roche AG’s RHHBY -0.07% Tamiflu, which the trial showed took three times longer to achieve the same result. Quickly killing the virus could reduce its contagious effects, Shionogi said.
Also, Shionogi’s experimental drug requires only a single dose, while patients need to take two doses of Tamiflu a day, for five days.
Both Shionogi’s compound and Tamiflu take roughly the same amount of time to entirely contain flu symptoms, but Shionogi says its compound provides immediate relief faster.

Over night, as the Wall Street Journal reports, Congress approved a two year budget deal (October 1, 2017, to September 30, 2019) and extended the continuing resolution funding the federal government though March 23.   The Senate leadership struck the bipartisan deal in which the House Republican leadership and the President joined.

This means no more government shutdown nonsense at least through the mid-term elections. Of course, there will be other issues for legislative combat.

Becker’s Hospital Review lists the five takeaways from the budget deal for healthcare leaders here.

While we wait to see whether Congress can reach a budget agreement overnight, here are two AHIP PowerPoints and two earning reports to ponder:

• AHIP’s uplifting presentation on the value of employer sponsored health care
• AHIP’s helpful presentation on its initiative to address the opioid crisis.
• Healthcare Dive’s report on CVS Health’s 4th Quarter 2017 earnings. “CEO Larry Merlo said on the company’s Q4 earnings call that ‘nothing that has surfaced’ has come as a surprise, adding that he still expects the deal to close in the second half of 2018,” and
• CNBC’s report on Gilead’s 4th Quarter 2017 earnings. Gilead is the company that first brought the Hepatitis C cures to market at an astoundingly high price. Those glory days are over due to competition and the success of the drug. 

The acting OPM Inspector General has posted on the internet his semi-annual report to Congress for the period ended September 30, 2017. The report, which has a flashy cover, leads with a lousy recommendation in the FEHBlog’s view.

The acting Inspector General wants Congress to apply a horribly complicated Medicare, Medicaid and TRICARE law, known as the federal healthcare programs anti-kickback act, to the FEHBP.  This law places restrictions on discount arrangements between healthcare providers and health plans. This law makes some sense with Medicare, Medicaid and TRICARE where the government dictates the pricing for the most part. The law makes no sense with the FEHBP where the discount arrangements are contractually negotiated. If the OIG’s recommendation is accepted, FEHB plans would be required to re-negotiate thousands of contracts and providers may be unwilling to play ball under the new rules. This type of chaos will not lead to better, more affordable healthcare.

The FEHBlog had hoped that OPM management would push back on this request but the management response does not oppose the recommendation, notwithstanding the President’s call for de-regulation.  This is a big bowl of wrong.

And it’s time to get in a post before the big game begins.

Congress is in session this week. Here’s a link to the Week in Congress’s account of last week’s actions on Capitol Hill.  Congress is expected to approve a further continuing resolution funding the federal government past February 8. Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee will hold a hearing on the obvious problems with governing through continuing resolutions. Healer, heal thyself because the House of Representatives did pass a spending bill before September 30. The hold up has been in the Senate.

While on the topic of complaints,

• Health Data Management discusses why healthcare interoperability moves at a snail’s pace. 
• Medpage Today documents the mediocre progress in implementing value based medicine (but don’t give up hope yet), and 
• Modern Healthcare reports that doctors are concerned that new Medicare quality measures ding them for cost out their control.  “‘Physicians are questioning what the patient’s part in all these is going to be,” [surgeon Brad] Johnson [M.D.] said. “Are they going to sign a contract that requires them to do follow ups or to quit smoking?” 

This brings us back to the announcement that Amazon, J.P. Morgan Chase, and Berkshire Hathaway plan to team up to bring health care to their employees. This consortium, which this helpful Fortune Magazine article discusses, is not ground breaking. More importantly, the consortium is not writing on a blank slate. It’s unfortunate that the companies (and doctors) were not more involved when the Obama Administration designed the electronic medical record giveaway. The Obama Administration’s disregard for electronic medical record interoperability gave birth to the current mess. The Affordable Care Act multitude of consumer protections also restricts independent development although the law allows the most flexibility to the large group market. Nevertheless, even the large group market is subject to ACA requirements, like the prohibition of annual dollar limits, that have caused the number of million dollar health plan claims to escalate. Furthermore, the consortium will have to deal with the significant cost shifting from Medicare and Medicare to private sector plans. These headwinds caused the FEHBlog to quip that the consortium leaders exhibited hubris. But good luck to them.

The FEHBlog always seeks to make readers aware of innovations. For example, MedPage Today explains why Americans need to learn more about genetic sequencing. Good luck to all innovators.

Six more weeks of winter and continuing resolutions! Roll Call reports that the Republican Congressional leadership is confident that Congress will timely extend the current continuing resolution funding the federal government beyond next Thursday, February 8. The FEHBlog have seen other articles suggesting an extension through March 22.

“The program results far exceeded our expectations,” the study said. “Throughout the 3-month program, the response rate was around 37%, and the 3-month average refill request rate was 18%. We had also expected that since this was an older patient population the response time span might be stretched out a little longer, but this was not the case with over 80% of refill requests received within 8 hours of the initial reminder.”

Yesterday, as the Chicago Tribune reports, Alex Azar was sworn in as Health and Human Services Secretary.

Modern Healthcare tells us that the 3700 physicians out of Medicare in 2017 as compared to 7400 in 2016 and 3500 in 2015. Very little FEHBP coverage is available if you are an annuitant over 65 whose doctor has opted out of Medicare. See Section 9 of your FEHBP brochure.  The Modern Healthcare article lead me to this useful CMS website which tells you whether your doctor has opted out of Medicare.  Opt out doctors are required to have to their Medicare Part B patients sign an opt out agreement.

The New York Times Upshot column has an interesting column with the following lede —

The idea that spending more on preventive care will reduce overall health care spending is widely believed and often promoted as a reason to support reform. It’s thought that too many people with chronic illnesses wait until they are truly ill before seeking care, often in emergency rooms, where it costs more. It should follow then that treating diseases earlier, or screening for them before they become more serious, would wind up saving money in the long run.  Unfortunately, almost none of this is true.

No kidding.

Healthcare Dive reports that Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and JP Morgan Chase are forming a not-for-profit company to reduce healthcare costs for their employees and presumably employees from other large employers. Here’s a link to their announcement.  The FEHBlog sees this as a quite a display of hubris but yesterday’s post illustrates the fact that the FEHBlog can make mistakes.

The FEHBlog made a mistake in several posts about the current continuing resolution. He thought that the additional health insurer tax moratorium applies to this year. In fact, this moratorium applies to 2019. So the government will be collecting $14.3 billion from insurers this year which Congress evidently assumes was already baked in the premiums. Here’s a link to the IRS guidance on the 2019 moratorium.

Congress is in session this week on Capitol Hill.  The FEHBlog’s attention was drawn to a Hill newspaper article headlined “Congress takes the sting out of Obamacare.”  In the FEHBlog’s view, Congress started to take the sting out of the law by repealing the individual mandate but it has a long way to go still. Way too much stick and not enough carrot in that law.

For example, the FEHBlog pointed out a few weeks ago a December 2017 HHS report on 2016 medical loss ratio (“MLR) results.  The HHS report notes that “In 2016, the average MLR was 92.9 percent in the individual market, 86.1 percent in the small group market, and 90.3 percent in the large group market.”  The statutory MLR is 80% for the individual and small group markets and 85% for the large group market which includes the FEHBP. So you would think that the MLR rebates would have been small in 2016, but they totalled hundreds of millions of dollars because those refunds are determined using state-level MLRs for each insurer.

FEHBP insurers are in double jeopardy because they are subject to this state-level MLR and OPM’s contract level MLR. It’s no wonder that you don’t see new carriers joining the FEHBP.  In any event, all MLR penalties / rebates should be based on the insurer’s aggregate MLR per market with no state or contract breakdown.

Health Payer Intelligence points out a recent AMA report finding that the ACA reduced consumer out of pocket spending by 11.9% but increased consumer spending on health insurance premiums by 12.1% over the period 2012-2015. There has to be a better, less complex, way. The FEHBlog continues to like his idea of giving all high earners, not just small business owners, a 50% tax exclusion on health insurance premiums. Give all middle income people, not just employees, a full exclusion and repeal the ACA taxes on providers and health plans. The low income people would continue to have ACA subsidies. That would be a good, equitable start.

In prescription drug news, Wired has an interesting report on the state of CRISPR gene editing research.

[Last] week the National Institutes of Health announced it will be awarding $190 million in research grants over the next six years, in part to push gene editing technologies into the mainstream. “The focus of the Somatic Cell Genome Editing program is to dramatically accelerate the translation of these technologies to the clinic for treatment of as many genetic diseases as possible,” NIH Director Francis Collins said in a statement Tuesday. Which could encourage some of the more exotic, experimental delivery systems out in the research world—strategies like Crispr-covered gold beads, yarn-like ball structures called DNA nanoclews, and shape-shifting polymers to get the editor where it needs to go.

Let’s go.  Also, the Wall Street Journal yesterday offered a fascinating interview with  economist David Ridley.  Prof. Ridley came up with idea of having the Food and Drug Administrative give drugs that treat rare diseases an express lane pass for a future new drug application. What’s more the express lane pass can be sold to another drug manufacturer for “between $67.5 million and $350 million, though the price last year settled in the range of $125 million to $150 million.” The applicant must pay a $2.7 million fee to use the express lane. Congress enacted the idea in 2007. At the first the express lane pass was awarded for infectious tropical disease treatments, and in 2012 the initiative was extended to rare pediatric diseases. Last year, the FDA issued “five [passes or more formally expedited review vouchers] for drugs to treat rare pediatric diseases and one for the tropical Chagas parasite, which afflicts more than six million people world-wide.” Cool.

It continues to be a busy week.  As Healthcare Dives reports, the Senate confirmed Alex Azar to be Secretary of the Health and Human Services Department. Meanwhile, the President’s nominations to be OPM Director and OPM Deputy Director continue to cool their heels due to Sen. Ron Johnson’s hold. The FEHBlog can find no news about the status of those nominations. Mysterious and unfortunate in the FEHBlog’s view.

The FEHBlog recalls that about five years ago OPM was pushing a government initiative called Blue Button which would allow you to download your claims history into a spreadsheet. The initiative lost steam according to this government website. Never fear. Apple plans to permit hospitals and other healthcare providers to download your electronic medical record (more likely keys parts of it) into your phone. Becker’s Hospital Review discusses the Apple initiative which makes a lot of sense.

On the opioid crisis front, the Federal Trade Commission and HHS’s SAMHSA unit released a consumer factsheet yesterday with tips on how get the right help of opioid addiction.  Meanwhile and disturbingly, Beckers Hospital Review reports that

United States residents purchased nearly $800 million worth of fentanyl pills from China over the internet in two years [and delivered by the Postal Service], according to a Senate investigations report released Wednesday. The 104-page bipartisan report produced by the Senate Homeland Security Committee is the result of a yearlong Senate investigation.

Fentanyl is a dangerous synthetic opioid that you can’t just pick up at CVS. The report explains that

Commercial shippers like UPS and FedEx are required to provide U.S. Customs and Border Protection with information about the origin and contents of the packages prior to their arrival. However, customs officials do not receive information on all packages shipped through the United States Postal Service. The volume of shipments and the limited information made available from certain foreign postal services make identifying packages containing illicit drugs difficult.

Loopholes as W.C. Fields remarked.  Opioid distribution, e.g., heroin, fentanyl, has returned to being principally a law enforcement issue. The fallout from opioids remains a key concern for providers and payers, in the FEHBlog’s view.