Tuesday’s Tidbits

Tuesday’s Tidbits

Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

From Capitol Hill —

Govexec reports that earlier today the House of Representatives passed the Postal Reform bill (HR 3706) by a bipartisan 342 to 92 vote. The bill now heads over the the Senate. Govexec adds “Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., who chairs the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee and authored the companion legislation in the Senate, sounded an optimistic note for the bill’s fate in his chamber. ”

The bill would create a Postal Service Health Benefits Program within the FEHB Program beginning in 2025. The PSHBP would feature tightly integrated coverage with Medicare for its annuitants over age 65.

Roll Call informs us that

The House passed a stopgap appropriations bill Tuesday evening to extend current federal agency funding rates through March 11 as Democrats and Republicans continue to trade offers on topline spending levels for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1.

Both sides claim they’re “close” to a framework deal on the fiscal 2022 omnibus and predict this latest continuing resolution, the third one this fiscal year, will be the last stopgap. The previous CR is set to expire Feb. 18. 

Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer said in floor remarks Tuesday morning that his chamber will take up the stopgap measure “quickly” after House passage, “in time before the Feb. 18 deadline.” The House vote was 272-162, indicating likely bipartisan support in the Senate as well.

Fierce Healthcare tells us

A bipartisan group of senators is crafting a package that tackles several barriers to mental health access, with a major emphasis on pay parity between behavioral and physical health and furthering telehealth use.

The Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden, D-Oregon, announced the contours of the mental health legislative package during a hearing Tuesday on youth mental health. Wyden said the goal is to get together a bipartisan bill by the summer.

The anticipated bill would be a gold mine for lawyers unless Congress also simplifies the existing parity standards.

From the Omicron front —

The Wall Street Journal advises

You’ve been exposed to Covid-19 more times than you can count. And yet somehow you’ve never tested positive. Could all these close encounters with Covid-19 be enhancing your immune response to it? The answer isn’t clear-cut, scientists say.

Your immune system probably benefits only if you get infected, many scientists say, because a near miss probably won’t have put enough virus in your body to meaningfully rev up your defenses. You can benefit from an asymptomatic infection that you didn’t realize you had, or a case that was too low-level to show up on a rapid test.

The only safe way to build immunity is vaccination, as any exposure to Covid-19 comes with a risk of serious illness, hospitalization or death. Avoiding infection is still important, but if you are exposed, there are circumstances where you might benefit if you already have antibodies, some scientists say.

Medscape reports

People who have had COVID-19 have an increased risk for and 12-month burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) that is substantial and spans an array of cardiovascular disorders, a deep dive into federal data suggests.

“I went into this thinking that this is most likely happening in people to start with who have a higher risk of cardiovascular disorders, smokers, people with high BMI, diabetes, but what we found is something different,” Ziyad Al-Aly, MD, told theheart.org | Medscape Cardiology. “It’s evident in people at high risk, but it was also as clear as the sun even in people who have no cardiovascular risk whatsoever.”

Rates were increased in younger adults, never smokers, White and Black people, males and females, he said. “So the risk confirmed by the SARS-CoV-2 virus seems to spare almost no one.”

Ruh roh.

From the synthetic opioid epidemic front, AP reports

The U.S. needs a nimble, multipronged strategy and Cabinet-level leadership to counter its festering overdose epidemic, a bipartisan congressional commission advises.

With vastly powerful synthetic drugs like fentanyl driving record overdose deaths, the scourge of opioids awaits after the COVID-19 pandemic finally recedes, a shift that public health experts expect in the months ahead.

“This is one of our most pressing national security, law enforcement and public health challenges, and we must do more as a nation and a government to protect our most precious resource — American lives,” the Commission on Combating Synthetic Opioid Trafficking said in a 70-page report released Tuesday.

The report envisions a dynamic strategy. It would rely on law enforcement and diplomacy to shut down sources of chemicals used to make synthetic opioids. It would offer treatment and support for people who become addicted, creating pathways that can lead back to productive lives. And it would invest in research to better understand addiction’s grip on the human brain and to develop treatments for opioid use disorder.

From the telehealth front —

According to mHealth Intelligence

Most [77%] infectious disease (ID) patients were open to using virtual care after they were informed about the toll in-person care took in terms of time, money, and travel, according to a survey conducted by Washington University and published in Open Forum Infectious Diseases.

Although patients are typically accustomed to the setting in which they receive care, information provided about virtual care can change their perspective, the new research shows.

The survey polled patients 18 years old and older who reside 25 or more miles away from their ID clinic. The goal was to acquire information regarding travel distance and time, money spent, and carbon dioxide emissions.

Beckers Hospital Review adds “Amazon Care’s virtual health services are now available nationwide, and its in-person services will be rolled out in more than 20 new cities in 2022, Amazon said Feb. 8 in a post on its website.” Amazon Care also offers in-person care in “Seattle, Baltimore, Boston, Dallas, Los Angeles, Washington, D.C, Austin, Texas, and Arlington, Virginia. This year, the company plans to bring in-person care services to more than 20 additional cities including New York City, Chicago, Miami and San Francisco, according to the post.”

From the healthcare business front

  • Biopharma Dive reports on Pfizer’s zesty 4th quarter 2021 financial report
  • Becker’s Payer Issues reports on health insurer Centene’s positive 4th quarter 2021 results.

From the rankings department, Beckers Hospital Review notes

“Healthgrades has recognized 250 hospitals nationwide for exceptional care via its America’s Best Hospitals awards released Feb. 8. Three lists feature America’s 50, 100 and 250 best hospitals, which represent the top 1 percent, 2 percent and 5 percent of hospitals in the nation, respectively.”

and

Three companies dominate the pharmacy benefit manager market, accounting for 79 percent of all prescription claims in 2020, according to data from Health Industries Research Companies, an independent, non-partisan market research firm. A breakdown of PBM market share, by total adjusted prescription claims managed in 2020:

1. CVS Caremark: 34 percent

2. Express Scripts: 24 percent

3. OptumRx (UnitedHealth): 21 percent

4. Humana Pharmacy Solutions: 8 percent

5. Prime Therapeutics: 6 percent

6. MedImpact Healthcare Systems: 5 percent

7. All other PBMs: 3 percent

Finally, from the good news department, the Wall Street Journal reports

The [CDC’s] new births data, released Monday along with final data for 2020, show the pandemic has had a more muted impact on childbearing than expected. The economists Melissa Kearney and Phillip Levine in December released calculations showing the pandemic led to 60,000 missing births from October 2020 through February 2021. Earlier in the pandemic, they predicted the health crisis and economic uncertainty would lead to 300,000 to a half million fewer births last year.

Monday Roundup

Photo by Sven Read on Unsplash

From Capitol Hill —

Roll Call reports that

House Democrats introduced a government funding stopgap Monday that would extend current spending levels through March 11 as appropriators continue to negotiate topline spending levels for a fiscal 2022 omnibus bill. 

The move would buy Congress an extra three weeks to complete work on an overdue omnibus package for the fiscal year that began last October. The government is currently operating on a continuing resolution that expires on Feb. 18.

Per the Roll Call article, Congress expects to meet the March 11 deadline with a consolidated appropriations bill for the current government fiscal year.

Reuters reports that the House also will vote on the Postal Reform bill (HR 3706) tomorrow. Here is a link to the House Rules Committee website describing the actions that the Rules Committee took on HR 3706 today to line up a vote for tomorrow.

From the Omicron front —

According to the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker, as of today, 90 million out of 213 fully vaccinated Americans (42%) have received a Covid booster. In his New York Times column this morning, David Leonhardt writes that the relatively slow adoption of boosters is not a function purely of skepticism. Rather

The vaccinated-but-unboosted more closely resemble the country as a whole. Millions of Americans who have already received two vaccine shots — eagerly, in many cases — have not yet received a follow-up. The unboosted include many Republicans, Democrats and independents and span racial groups. * * *

The most urgent problem involves the unboosted elderly. (About 14 percent of Americans over 65 eligible for a booster had not received one as of mid-January, according to Kaiser.) But some younger adults are also getting sick as their vaccine immunity wears off.

A recent study from Israel, published in The New England Journal of Medicine, was clarifying. For both the elderly and people between 40 and 59, severe illness and death were notably lower among the boosted than the merely vaccinated. For adults younger than 40, serious illness was rare in both groups — but even rarer among the boosted: Of the almost two million vaccinated people ages 16 to 39 in the study, 26 of the unboosted got severely ill, compared with only one boosted person.

“Boosters reduce hospitalization across all ages,” Dr. Eric Topol of Scripps Research has said. As Dr. Leana Wen wrote in The Washington Post, “The evidence is clear that it is at least a three-dose vaccine

Mr. Leonhardt places responsibility for the booster gap on the fragmented U.S. health system and the failure of government experts to make themselves understood to the American people. Health plans may want to lend a hand here.

The National Institutes of Health informed us

Pregnant women with COVID-19 appear to be at greater risk for common pregnancy complications — in addition to health risks from the virus — than pregnant women without COVID-19, suggests a study funded by the National Institutes of Health.

The study, which included nearly 2,400 pregnant women infected with SARS-CoV-2, found that those with moderate to severe infection were more likely to have a cesarean delivery, to deliver preterm, to die around the time of birth, or to experience serious illness from hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, postpartum hemorrhage, or from infection other than SARS-CoV-2. They were also more likely to lose the pregnancy or to have an infant die during the newborn period. Mild or asymptomatic infection was not associated with increased pregnancy risks.

“The findings underscore the need for women of child-bearing age and pregnant individuals to be vaccinated and to take other precautions against becoming infected with SARS-CoV-2,” said Diana Bianchi, M.D., director of NIH’s Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD), which funded the study. “This is the best way to protect pregnant women and their babies.”

The American Hospital Association offers six tips for health care leaders looking to build vaccine confidence among pregnant women.

The Wall Street Journal reports today

Drugmaker Shionogi & Co. said it plans to seek approval this month to sell its Covid-19 treatment pill in Japan after the company found that in human trials the pill had strong virus-fighting ability compared with Pfizer Inc.’s Paxlovid. 

Shionogi acknowledged that studies of its drug are much smaller than Pfizer’s and have yet to prove effectiveness in preventing serious Covid-19 cases. Pfizer said its final-stage trial, which included more than 2,000 patients, showed Paxlovid cut the risk of hospitalization or death by 89% if patients took the pill within three days of diagnosis. 

Still, Shionogi said it believed its trials to date, covering about 400 mostly Japanese patients, would offer sufficient evidence to seek approval in Japan, where the Pfizer drug is expected to be approved shortly, but is likely to be in limited supply. Shionogi said its trial found the pill, code-named S-217622, neutralized the virus quickly and didn’t cause serious or lasting side effects. 

The more, the merrier.

In other news, Fierce Healthcare tells us

CVS Health is teaming up with Medable to access and engage around clinical trials at select MinuteClinics, the healthcare giant announced Monday.

CVS Health Clinical Trial Services, a new arm at the company launched last May, will harness Medable’s software platform to deliver clinical trials with a focus on accessibility and retention to enhance the effectiveness of research, according to the announcement.

The companies note that while clinical trials are crucially important to test the efficacy of innovative pharmaceuticals, less than 4% of Americans actually participate in them. In addition, 30% of participants drop out before trials are completed, and 80% of studies are unable to make enrollment deadlines.

Tony Clapsis, general manager and senior vice president of CVS Health Clinical Trial Services, said in a statement that CVS has the ability to make a significant impact on outreach about trials to underrepresented people as more than 40% of vulnerable populations live within five miles of one of its pharmacies.

Smart move.

STAT News reports

  • “Some of the nation’s most influential doctors and public health groups are orchestrating a mad-dash effort to convince senators to confirm Robert Califf, President Biden’s pick to lead the Food and Drug Administration. * * * The pressure campaign comes amid growing signs that Califf’s nomination is in serious trouble. Five Democrats in the Senate have already expressed serious concerns with Califf’s nomination and at least 10 more are still undecided about his candidacy. Quite a few Republicans in the chamber also have concerns. ‘It’s … the ‘break glass in case of emergency’ moment,’ said one patient advocate, who noted that many advocacy groups had, until recently, thought Califf would sail through his confirmation process easily.”

and

  • “When President Biden tapped Eric Lander as White House science adviser in January 2021, he tasked the renowned genomics researcher with “reinvigorating” American science. Following Lander’s stunning resignation on Monday evening, however, the question is no longer whether he’ll reinvigorate the U.S. scientific enterprise. It’s whether he’s derailed it. Lander resigned after an all-staff apology for abusive workplace behavior, which Politico first reported. In an email, Lander admitted speaking in a “disrespectful and demeaning way,” acknowledging he had failed to set a “respectful tone” for the office and that his actions reflected poorly on the administration.”

Let’s hope Lander didn’t derail efforts like the Cancer Moonshot.

Thursday Miscellany

Photo by Juliane Liebermann on Unsplash

From Capitol Hill, Roll Call reports that Congress is not making much progress toward replacing the current continuing resolution funding the federal government with an omnibus bill resolving FY 2022 appropriations. The deadline for Congressional action is February 18. It is starting to look like Congress is headed toward passing another short-term continuing resolution according to the article. Time will tell.

From the Covid testing front, the Biden administration announced today that Medicare will begin direct coverage of over-the-counter Covid tests in the early Spring of this year.

Health Payer Intelligence informs us that America’s Health Insurance Plans wrote a statement to Congress describing the numerous administrative problems created by the “free” Covid test coverage mandates that started nearly two years ago with the CARES Act.

MedPage Today tells us about a human challenge study of the Covid incubation period conducted in London which found that the Covid incubation is only two rather than five days after exposure. Instead the symptoms tend to peak at five days and the virus remains detectable 10 days after exposure.

The Institute for Clinical and Economical Review released a draft assessment of outpatient treatments for Covid including the Pfizer and Merck pills, an intravenously administered recombinant monoclonal antibody (Sotrovimab), and an off-label use of an obsessive-compulsive SSRI drug (Fluvoxamine) for which researchers are seeking an emergency use authorization for Covid. The draft conclusion is that

Our analyses suggest that each outpatient intervention produces improved clinical outcomes. At their current prices, each intervention is estimated to meet standard cost-effectiveness levels in the US health care system, even under a scenario with a lower hospitalization risk that may reflect the current Omicron wave. The cost-effectiveness findings are primarily driven by a treatment’s ability to reduce hospitalization and the baseline probability of hospitalization.

From the No Surprises Act front, the Labor Department helpfully released a transcript of the January 19, 2022, listening session regarding provider nondiscrimination under Section 2706(a) of the Public Health Service Act. The NSA requires the ACA regulators to issue implementing rules for this law which has been in force since 2014.

Also, Kaiser Health News discusses mental health therapist concerns about the good faith pricing estimate for healthcare services that the NSA applies across the board. The law also requires health plans to issue advance explanations of benefits in response to a good faith estimate from a provider. The FEHBlog will never understand why Congress failed to direct HHS to create HIPAA standard transactions for the GFE and the AEOB. In any event, providers and health plans await implementing rules from the ACA regulators.

From the Rx coverage front, Biopharma Dive provide us with two insights

  1. “Biogen recorded $1 million in revenue from its new treatment for Alzheimer’s disease in the last quarter of 2021, offering the latest evidence that the drug, which came to market with multi-billion dollar sales expectations, continues to struggle commercially.”
  2. “AbbVie may soon face competition for its top-selling eye drug Restasis after the Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday approved a generic version.”

From the healthcare business front, Fierce Healthcare fills us in on Cigna’s fourth quarter 2021 financial report.

Midweek update

Happy Groundhog Day! The Pittsburgh Post Gazette informs us that “There will be six more weeks of winter, Punxsutawney Phil predicted as he emerged from his burrow Wednesday morning to perform his Groundhog Day duties.”

From the White House, we have the President’s fact sheet on his Cancer Moonshot initiative. Federal Times also has a report on today’s announcement.

A STAT News article on cancer markers suggests that the President’s timing may be right

Back in 2000, when President Clinton called a tie in the race to map the human genome, scientists forecasted a medicinal revolution, one in which scientists could ferret out the genetic roots of every known cancer and match patients with personalized treatments.

That did not happen, for reasons of biological complexity, technological immaturity, and perhaps a little scientific hubris. But after two decades of mapping the kaleidoscopic details of human DNA, researchers believe they finally have the tools and techniques to live up to those lofty promises.

“It’s almost like back to the future,” said Anna Barker, an oncologist who serves as chief strategy officer at the Ellison Institute for Transformative Medicine of USC. “Where we would like to have been 21 years ago is where we are now.” * * *

But many cancers don’t fit neatly into the field’s existing paradigm, said Suzanne Topalian, professor of surgery and oncology at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. Improving outcomes for those tumors will rely on multidimensional biomarkers, measurements that can take a systematic look at how cancer evolves rather than providing a snapshot.

To Barker, the field’s next major challenge is to find better biomarkers for “the big killers,” diseases including pancreatic cancer and glioblastoma.

“These are the cancers that — what are the unknown unknowns here? What are we missing?” she said. “We can’t seem to detect them early enough to stop them.”

From the opioid epidemic front, the National Institutes of Health informs us that

A new study of intentional drug overdose deaths, or suicides by an overdose of a medication or drug, found an overall decline in recent years in the United States, but an increase in young people aged 15-24, older people aged 75-84, and non-Hispanic Black women. The study also found that women were consistently more likely than men to die from intentional drug overdoses, with the highest rates observed in women ages 45 to 64. In addition, factors such as time of year, length of day, and day of the week appeared to be associated with intentional overdose death rates. The study published today in the American Journal of Psychiatry and was led by investigators at the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), part of the National Institutes of Health.

Nearly 92,000 people died from drug overdoses overall in the U.S. in 2020. This represents the largest increase ever recorded in a calendar year and reflects a nearly five-fold increase in the rate of overdose deaths since 1999. About 5% to 7% of these overdose deaths are recorded as intentional. Because it can be difficult to determine whether overdose deaths are intentional, the actual numbers are likely even higher. Many people who have a substance use disorder also develop other mental illnesses, such as mood and anxiety disorders, which are independently associated with increased suicide risk. In addition, many people who are diagnosed with other mental illnesses are often diagnosed with a substance use disorder, emphasizing the need to address co-occurring mental health conditions holistically. 

“The distinction between accidental and intentional overdose has important clinical implications, as we must implement strategies for preventing both,” said Nora Volkow, M.D., senior author on the study and director of NIDA. “To do so requires that we screen for suicidality among individuals who use opioids or other drugs, and that we provide treatment and support for those who need it, both for mental illnesses and for substance use disorders.”

From the antibiotic resistance (“AR”) front, we learn that the CDC has updated its AR investment map.

“Highlights of this year’s AR Investment Map release include:

  • An interactive map showcasing CDC’s antibiotic resistance funding to support activities in every U.S. health department and across hundreds of public health partners
  • An updated fact sheet featuring CDC’s global investments with partners in more than 50 countries to improve detection, prevention, and response to AR threats internationally
  • An updated fact sheet showing how CDC’s COVID-19 efforts have also worked to address antibiotic resistance, including investments in infection prevention and control, training, surveillance, and public health personnel.”

Obviously, this is an important government initiative.

From the healthcare business front —

Anthem is betting on a different strategy than some of its competitors as it looks to transition to value-based care.

The payer is partnering with many value-based clinical platforms like Privia and CareMax to bring physicians into alternative payment models aiming to reimburse for the quality of care delivered, as opposed to pure volume. That’s a different tack on value-based primary care than its peers like UnitedHealth and Humana, which have mostly acquired and built their own clinical networks.

But Anthem is betting its capital-light strategy is more sustainable and flexible as the payer looks to push deeper into capitation to really bend the cost curve.

  • Health Payer Intelligence tells us that

Walmart has partnered with a healthcare machine intelligence company to offer a personalized provider recommendation tool to associates who receive healthcare coverage through the retail giant’s health plan.

The company, Health at Scale, will provide the technology that Walmart intends to integrate into its health plan administrator’s search engine and virtual care referrals, according to the press release.

Associates and their families who are enrolled in Walmart’s health plan and work at select locations will have access to the resource, which aims to facilitate the process of finding a healthcare provider that fits a member’s health needs.

From the Rx coverage front, the always thought provoking Drug Channels opines that

The boffins at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) recently dropped the latest National Health Expenditure (NHE) data, which measures all U.S. spending on healthcare. (See links below.) These data provide our first official look at how the pandemic has affected U.S. healthcare spending.

Today, I examine the key insights from these latest figures.

As you will see, outpatient drug spending remains a small—and shrinking—share of the $4.1 trillion spent on U.S. healthcare. What’s more, drug spending again grew more slowly than overall healthcare spending.

Meanwhile, consumers shoulder a much higher portion of this spending compared with their share of hospital spending.

Speaking of CMS that agency today released “the Calendar Year (CY) 2023 Advance Notice of Methodological Changes for Medicare Advantage (MA) Capitation Rates and Part C and Part D Payment Policies (the Advance Notice). CMS will accept comments on the CY 2023 Advance Notice through Friday, March 4, 2022, before publishing the final Rate Announcement by April 4, 2022.” Here’s a link to the CMS fact sheet.

The FEHBlog wishes that OPM would release a draft call letter for carrier comment before finalizing it. In fairness OPM does solicit carrier input before it draft the call letter. Nevertheless, it would be more collaborative for OPM to seek carrier comment before drafting and then on the first draft.

From the HR front, Federal News Network reports that

A new memo from the Office of Personnel Management released today, offers them performance management tips for a hybrid workplace.

“Effective performance management requires engagement and commitment from individuals at all
levels of an agency,” the memo says. “As such, these performance management tips have been uniquely tailored to assist Non-supervisory Employees, Supervisors, and Leadership throughout the various phases of the performance management cycle.”

And now with agencies expected to begin returning employees to the office in the coming months, OPM wants to make sure managers are “equipped to manage employee performance equitably and effectively—regardless of whether the employees are in the office or not.”

Tuesday’s Tidbits

Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

The FEHBlog nearly fell off his office chair when he noticed a Govexec headline this afternoon reading “The House finally plans to vote on Postal reform [HR 3706] next week. The long sought after bill could make it to the President’s desk by the end of the month.” This Postal reform saga has been going on for over a decade.

The Postal reform act (HR 3706) would relieve the Postal Service of the obligation to prefund the cost of FEHB coverage in retirement for its employees. The bill also would create a Postal Service Health Benefits Program (“PSHBP”) within the FEHB Program. The PSHBP would tightly integrate Medicare annuitant coverage with primary Medicare A, B, and D. Medicare Part A (hospital care) is premium free while Medicare Part B (medical care) and Part D (prescription drugs) charge premiums.

OPM encourages Medicare age annuitants to pick up Part B but it prohibits FEHB carriers from using integrated Part D arrangements knowsn as EGWPs even though every other U.S. employer that provides drug coverage to its retirees uses a Part D EGWP or takes the retiree drug subsidy. What’s more Congress in the Medicare Modernization Act of 2003 expressly authorized FEHB plans to use Medicare EGWPs. Go figure.

In any event, all enrollee costs are included in FEHB risk pools which is an important feature of the FEHB Plan and its constituent PSHBP. The cost of Medicare Prime annuitants in the PSHBP will be much lower than those in legacy FEHB, and Medicare Prime annuitants are a signficant cadre of enrollment, PSHBP premiums will be noticeably lower than legacy FEHB premiums.

The CBO has projected that 3/5s of the Medicare integration savings for the PSHBP will come from the Part D EGWPs. The FEHBlog looks forward to the day later this decade when OPM finally permits legacy FEHB carriers to offer Medicare Part D EGWPs.

From the Covid vaccine front —

  • Pfizer and BioNTech have a submitted an emergency use authorization request for an mRNA Covid vaccine for little children aged six months through four years. The FDA and CDC are likely to approve the application by the end of February according to Medscape.

Novavax announced Monday that it has formally submitted a request to the FDA for emergency use authorization of its COVID-19 vaccine for ages 18 and older.

The request includes results from two large clinical trials that showed an overall efficacy of about 90% and a “reassuring safety profile,” the company said.

“We believe our vaccine offers a differentiated option built on a well-understood protein-based vaccine platform that can be an alternative to the portfolio of available vaccines to help fight the COVID-19 pandemic,” Stanley Erck, the president and CEO of Novavax, said in the statement.

From the COVID treatment front, the Wall Street Journal reports that providers are having difficulty obtaining the drugs need to treat Omicron because the treatments typically are available under emergency use authorizations and each State makes its own decison on how to distribute EUA treatments. On the brighter side,

Antiviral-pill manufacturers are ramping up production to meet demand. Supplies of Pfizer Inc.’s Paxlovid are expected to increase in the spring, according to Pfizer and state officials. Merck & Co., which manufactures molnupiravir with partner Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP, said it has delivered two million courses to the U.S. and will deliver the rest of the 3.1 million courses under its contract by the end of this week.

From the healthcare cost front, Healthcare Dive reports that

The omicron variant walloped hospitals in the final month of 2021, driving up both adjusted patient volumes and expenses as the number of COVID-19 cases surged to new highs for the pandemic, according to Kaufman Hall’s latest flash report.

Patient days rose nearly 4% in December compared to November, while emergency department visits jumped more than 7% as patients came in with COVID-19 symptoms. Omicron’s rapid spread drove a 98% jump in COVID-19 hospitalizations over the course of the month, Kaufman Hall said, citing Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data.

The second full year of the pandemic was marked by an increase in severely ill patients requiring longer hospital stays compared to the first year, the report also found.

From the No Surprises Act front, Healthcare Dive examines healthcare provider association legal challenges to the federal regulators’ use as the qualifying payment amount in NSA arbitrations. The FEHBlog has described those cases now pending in federal district courts in Texas and Washington DC as exercises in futility. For example,

Since the qualifying payment amount represents the median in-network rate, it by definition means that half of providers are below the QPA and half are above, according to Chris Garmon, a professor at University of Missouri – Kansas City, who has studied surprise billing. Not all providers are set to see payments decline and some may even see them increase if the QPA is used, he said.

The good professor overlooks the fact that in 2021 out of network doctors caring for patient at in-network facilities were reimbursed at out-of-network rates typically two or perhaps three times the Medicare RBRVS reimbursement. For that reason, the FEHBlog expects that in most cases the QPA will be noticeably higher than pre-NSA reimbursements. Time will tell, but the regulators’ approach is reasonable, and patient advocacy groups have been supporting the regulators in these cases.

From the mental health parity front, Health Payer Intelligence compares provider and payer reactions to the government’s recent report to Congress on payer compliance with complex federal health parity act rules.

From the healthcare business front, Fierce Healthcare tells us that

GuideWell, the parent company of Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Florida, has closed its acquisition of Triple-S Management Corporation, a Puerto Rico-based health services company.

The deal was first announced in September.

GuideWell acquired all shares of Triple-S at $36 per share in cash, according to an announcement from the company. Triple-S will now operate under its existing branding as a wholly owned subsidiary of GuideWell.

From the FDA front, check out this FDA news roundup.

From Capitol Hill, Govexec reports on OMB acting director’s Shalonda Young’s confirmation hearings to be the Presidentially nominated OMB director. Ms. Young appears on her way to confirmation.

Monday Roundup

It has been quite a day in COVID vaccine news. This morning, the New York Times reported that

The C.D.C. has begun to publish data on Covid outcomes among people who have received booster shots, and the numbers are striking:

As you can see, vaccination without a booster provides a lot of protection. But a booster takes somebody to a different level.

This data underscores both the power of the Covid vaccines and their biggest weakness — namely, their gradual fading of effectiveness over time, as is also the case with many other vaccines. If you received two Moderna or Pfizer vaccine shots early last year, the official statistics still count you as “fully vaccinated.” In truth, you are only partially vaccinated.

Once you get a booster, your risk of getting severely ill from Covid is tiny. It is quite small even if you are older or have health problems.

The average weekly chance that a boosted person died of Covid was about one in a million during October and November (the most recent available C.D.C. data). Since then, the chances have no doubt been higher, because of the Omicron surge. But they will probably be even lower in coming weeks, because the surge is receding and Omicron is milder than earlier versions of the virus. For now, one in a million per week seems like a reasonable estimate.

Later in the day, AHIP informed us that

Today, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved a second COVID-19 vaccine.  The Moderna COVID-19 vaccine has been approved for the prevention of COVID-19 in individuals 18 years of age and older.  The vaccine will be marketed as Spikevax.

Spikevax meets the FDA’s standards for safety, effectiveness, and manufacturing quality required for approval.  Spikevax has the same formulation as the Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine which held emergency use authorization (EUA) and is administered as a primary series of two doses, administered one month apart.  Spikevax can be used interchangeably with the EUA Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine to provide the COVID-19 vaccination series.

The Moderna vaccine has been available under EUA for individuals 18 years of age and older since December 18, 2020.  The Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine remains available under EUA as a two-dose primary series for individuals 18 years of age and older, as a third primary series dose for individuals 18 years of age and older who have been determined to have certain kinds of immunocompromise, and as a single booster dose for individuals 18 years of age and older at least five months after completing a primary series of the vaccine. It is also authorized for use as a heterologous (or “mix and match”) single booster dose for individuals 18 years of age and older following completion of primary vaccination with a different available COVID-19 vaccine.

Please send any comments or questions to Chris Regal (cregal@ahip.org).

Now both the Pfizer and Moderna mRNA vaccines have FDA marketing approval which allows for wider distribution.

Notwithstanding these advances, the Wall Street Journal calls to our attention the unfortunate fact that

Two years into the Covid-19 pandemic, America’s death toll is closing in on one million. 

Federal authorities estimate that 987,456 more people have died since early 2020 than would have otherwise been expected, based on long-term trends. People killed by coronavirus infections account for the overwhelming majority of cases. Thousands more died from derivative causes, like disruptions in their healthcare and a spike in overdoses.

Covid-19 has left the same proportion of the population dead—about 0.3%—as did World War II, and in less time.

Unlike the 1918 flu pandemic or major wars, which hit younger people, Covid-19 has been particularly hard on vulnerable seniors. It has also killed thousands of front-line workers and disproportionately affected minority populations. 

It robbed society of grandparents, parents, spouses, sons and daughters, best friends, mentors, loyal employees and bosses. Those lost include a 55-year-old Rhode Island correctional officer; a 46-year-old Texas dental-office receptionist who helped care for her granddaughter; a 30-year-old Iowan who fatally overdosed; and an active 72-year-old and grandmother of 15 who was Nashville’s first female city bus driver.

“It’s catastrophic,” said Steven Woolf, director emeritus at the Center on Society and Health at Virginia Commonwealth University. “This is an enormous loss of life.”

Unquestionably so.

From the Covid vaccine mandate front, Govexec.com reminds us that the federal District Court’s nationwide stay of the President’s September 2021 executive order does not apply to agency mandates that were implemented before the President’s executive order. For example,

The Veterans Affairs Department * * * is keeping its vaccine mandate in place for the vast majority of its workers. All employees of the Veterans Health Administration—about 380,000 workers—will still be subject to a vaccine requirement. VA issued its own mandate for those employees in July, prior to Biden’s executive order for the rest of the federal workforce. * * *

While 98% of the VA workforce was already in compliance with Biden’s order prior to the pandemic, only 89% had been vaccinated—one of the lowest rates of any large federal agency. McDonough had warned in certain medical settings the department would reject exemption requests, meaning those employees would have to get their shots or face discipline. VA is still sorting through those requests for Veterans Health Administration personnel.

In healthcare business news, Healthcare Dive tells us that

The Cleveland Clinic had its strongest financial performance ever in 2021, as the pandemic drove record levels of clinical activity — and subsequent revenue.

The Ohio-based academic medical giant’s total operating revenue reached $12.4 billion last year, up 17% from 2020’s topline. Operating income was $746 million, more than three times 2020’s operating income of $232 million. Both metrics, released last week by CEO Tom Mihaljevic in an annual address, were also notably higher than the system’s pre-pandemic performance in 2019.

Cleveland Clinic conducted 10.4 million outpatient visits — the nonprofit’s first time exceeding 10 million patient visits in a year — and had more than 22,800 COVID-19 admissions.

From the benefit design front, Axios reports that

“Employers are beefing up benefits packages to lure workers in a tight labor market, and many are adding pricey fertility benefits — such as in-vitro fertilization and egg freezing — to their offerings.

Why it matters: Benefits around fertility and family-building have long been overlooked by employer health care plans, but that’s rapidly changing.

  • “You see couples today that are living child-free, and a lot of times that’s their decision, but a lot of times it’s not,” says Gina Bartasi, founder and CEO of the fertility clinic Kindbody.
  • Employers can play a vital role in helping people find alternative options to grow their families, she says.

What’s happening: “Earlier in my career, it was so rare for companies to offer this,” says Alice Vichaita, head of global benefits at Pinterest, which covers fertility services for its global workforce. “More and more companies are becoming aware that this is really an inadequacy in our health care system.”

  • In the past, many companies have avoided offering fertility benefits due to concerns about the cost, according to a Mercer report. But the rise in the number of fertility clinics — and growing demand for their services — is driving down the price, Bartasi says.
  • 97% of employers who provide this coverage say it has not resulted in a significant increase in medical plan costs, per a Mercer survey.”

From the Rx coverage front, Fierce Healthcare lets us know that

While much of the energy in the drug pipeline has centered on orphan drugs, novel therapies in more crowded markets have also been marching toward approval, according to a new report from Optum.

Analysts at OptumRx released the pharmacy benefit manager’s quarterly drug pipeline report, which highlights therapies in the pipeline insurers should be keeping an eye on. All three drugs mentioned in this quarter’s report would enter hot markets should they be approved.

“Even in these competitive landscapes, we do see novel therapies approved,” Arash Sadeghi, clinical pharmacist at OptumRx, told Fierce Healthcare.

The report includes three drugs: tezepelumab—which was approved in December under the brand Tezspire [an asthma treatment] —cabotegravir [an injectable for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) to reduce the risk of sexually acquired HIV] and vadadustat [a pill to treat anemia in adults with chronic kidney disease].

Tuesday’s Tidbits

Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

From the Omicron front, the Wall Street Journal reports that

Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. have reached the highest level since early last year, eclipsing daily averages from the recent Delta-fueled surge, after the newer Omicron variant spread wildly through the country and caused record-shattering case counts.

The seven-day average for newly reported Covid-19 deaths reached 2,191 a day by Monday, up about 1,000 from daily death counts two months ago, before Omicron was first detected, data from Johns Hopkins University show. While emerging evidence shows Omicron is less likely to kill the people it infects, because the variant spreads with unmatched speed the avalanche of cases can overwhelm any mitigating factors, epidemiologists say.

“You can have a disease that is for any particular person less deadly than another, like Omicron, but if it is more infectious and reaches more people, then you’re more likely to have a lot of deaths,” said Robert Anderson, chief of the mortality-statistics branch at the National Center for Health Statistics, which is part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Bloomberg adds that

Covid-19’s deadly effects manifest long after some patients leave the hospital, according to a new study that points to the pandemic’s grave aftermath. 

Hospitalized patients who survived at least a week after being discharged were more than twice as likely to die or be admitted again within months, scientists from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and the University of Oxford found. The Covid survivors also had an almost five times greater risk of dying in the following 10 months than a sample taken from the general population.

The findings, published Tuesday in the journal PLOS Medicine, add to evidence that the pandemic’s effects on health and wellbeing extend well beyond an initial infection. A Dutch study on Monday showed that three-quarters of Covid patients treated in intensive care were still suffering fatigue, impaired fitness and other physical symptoms a year later, and one in four reported anxiety and other mental symptoms.

“Covid-19 isn’t just an acute respiratory viral illness — like a cold or some other inconsequential infection — that goes away in a few days or a few weeks,” said Ziyad Al-Aly, director of the clinical epidemiology center at the Veterans Affairs St. Louis Health Care System in Missouri, who has led similar studies in the U.S. “It carries serious long-term consequences, including higher risk of death.” * * *

Needless to stay these articles illustrate the importance of being vaccinated with a booster against Covid.

From the free COVID tests front, MedCity News reports that

In the days since the Biden Administration announced on January 15 that insurers would be required to cover eight over-the-counter Covid-19 tests per month for members, digital health company Truepill has been busy developing a platform to help health plans meet that mandate.

In May, the San Mateo, California-based startup, which provides pharmacy fulfillment and telehealth services for brands like Hims, Nurx and Lemonaid, added home testing. Co-founder and President Sid Viswanathan said in an earlier interview that the company had planned to also offer diagnostics from the beginning.

The Covid-19 test coverage platform will give clients a behind-the-scenes partner who can assist with everything from checking member eligibility for coverage of tests to delivering those tests to their homes and providing shipping updates en route.

“We found a lot of plans are having to react to this on very short timelines, and so we’re building out a white-labeled, e-commerce experience that a plan can utilize,” said Varun Boriah, senior vice president of diagnostics at Truepill, in a phone interview. “We can put any plan’s logo on that asset and manage their patient experience for them.”

Cool.

From the OSHA vaccinate or test mandate front, the Society for Human Resource Management informs us

The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) is withdrawing its emergency temporary standard (ETS) that would have required by Feb. 9 that large businesses ensure employees are vaccinated against the coronavirus or undergo weekly COVID-19 testing. Nonetheless, the agency is moving forward with its proposal to make the temporary directive a permanent standard. 

On Jan. 13, the U.S. Supreme Court halted the ETS while the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals considered the merits of the challenge against the vaccination-or-testing directive. OSHA announced on Jan. 25 that it will no longer seek to enforce the ETS, which will end the lawsuit, but the temporary directive served a dual purpose. The ETS also acts as a proposal for a permanent standard, which is separate from the litigation. “OSHA is not withdrawing the ETS to the extent that it serves as a proposed rule,” according to the agency.  * * *

OSHA said in a statement that it is prioritizing a proposal for a permanent COVID-19 safety standard for health care workers. 

“Notwithstanding the withdrawal of the [ETS], OSHA continues to strongly encourage the vaccination of workers against the continuing dangers posed by COVID-19 in the workplace,” the agency said.

The FEHBlog noticed that the Justice Department has asked the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit to dismiss the consolidated challenge to the OSHA ETS as moot citing this OSHA action.

From the mental health parity front, the Department of Health and Human Services announced the release of the government’s

2022 Report to Congress on the Paul Wellstone and Pete Domenici Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act of 2008 – PDF. The report includes information that suggests health plans and health insurance issuers are failing to deliver parity for mental health and substance-use disorder benefits to those they cover. The report also highlights the departments’ recent emphasis on greater MHPAEA enforcement in addition to guidance to correct those failures, and makes recommendations to strengthen MHPAEA’s consumer protections and enhance the departments’ enforcement abilities.

The FEHBlog is not surprised at allegations on non-compliance because this is a very complicated. The law requires carriers to build walls between physical and mental health benefits and then ensure parity in quantitative and nonquantitative treatment limits. Why not break down the wall and define general coverage rules to embrace mental and substance use disorder care? Simply put, establish one set of rules for both types of care.

From the healthcare business front, Bloomberg reports that

Change Healthcare Inc. is considering selling some assets to clear the way for its $8 billion acquisition by UnitedHealth Group Inc., according to people with knowledge of the matter. 

The company is working with advisers on a possible divestiture of its payment integrity business, ClaimsXten, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. ClaimsXten could fetch a value of more than $1 billion, the people said. The business generates $130 million to $150 million in annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, they said.

There’s no certainty a deal for ClaimsXten will be reached or that it will be enough to satisfy regulators, the people said.

A representative for Change Healthcare didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. A spokesperson for UnitedHealth declined to comment.

UnitedHealth and Change Healthcare have been caught in a regulatory limbo over their proposed merger since the U.S. Justice Department opened an investigation into the deal in March, two months after it was announced.

Can’t blame Change for trying.

From the benefit design front, Govexec offers a helpful article about the advantage of enrolling in a high deductible plan which permits funding a health savings account. Contributions to an HSA are tax deductible when contributed; grow tax free, and tax exempt when withdrawn for healthcare purposes. You can’t beat that.

Drug Channels offers a January news roundup featuring an Insulin G2N Update; OptumRx “Data,” HDHPs, 340B Projections, and Fun with the CDC. What’s not to like?

Weekend Update

Both Houses of Congress will be engaged in Committee business and floor voting this week as we are now less than one month away from the expiration of the current continuing resolution funding the federal government. That resolution runs through February 18.

From the Omnicron front, the New York Times reports that ‘

New coronavirus cases have started to fall nationally, signaling that the Omicron-fueled spike that has infected tens of millions of Americans, packed hospitals and shattered records has finally begun to relent.

More and more states have passed a peak in new cases in recent days, as glimmers of progress have spread from a handful of eastern cities to much of the country. Through Friday, the country was averaging about 720,000 new cases a day, down from about 807,000 last week. New coronavirus hospital admissions have leveled off.

Even as hopeful data points emerge, the threat has by no means passed. The United States continues to identify far more infections a day than in any prior surge, and some states in the West, South and Great Plains are still seeing sharp increases. Many hospitals are full. And deaths continue to mount, with more than 2,100 announced most days.

But following a month of extraordinary rates of case growth, blocklong lines at testing centers and military deployments to bolster understaffed I.C.U.s, the declining new-case tallies offered a sense of relief to virus-weary Americans, especially in the Northeast and parts of the Upper Midwest, where the trends were most encouraging. After another round of masking up or hunkering down, some were considering what life might look like if conditions continued to improve. 

Bloomberg adds

The omicron variant spreads so rapidly that sometimes it feels as if resistance is futile. It’s disheartening to hear of omicron infecting people who are up-to-date on their shots and wear an N95 mask every time they leave home. Even some well-known public-health experts are getting infected. But that doesn’t mean everyone is going to get it. 

What it does mean is that life is profoundly unfair. In some of us, the Covid-19 vaccines work quite robustly, even against omicron. In others, the vaccines’ effect is weaker. Chalk this up to the spectacular diversity of the human immune system, which is partly regulated by some of the most varied genes in the human body. 

A recent study led by Harvard and MIT showed that about 20% of people get much poorer protection from their vaccines against omicron. They’re still better off than completely unvaccinated people, but this variability could account for some of the fully vaccinated people who’ve been hospitalized in the omicron wave.

According to the American Medical Association (AMA), here’s what physicians want their patients to know about Omicron. “The AMA has developed frequently-asked-questions documents on COVID-19 vaccination covering safety, allocation and distribution, administration and more. There are two FAQs, one designed to answer patients’ questions (PDF), and another to address physicians’ COVID-19 vaccine questions (PDF).”

From the Rx coverage front, the New York Times offers an interview with CVS Health’s CEO Karen Lynch. For example,

What do you see as the most effective ways that we could reduce health care costs for everyday Americans? And what’s your company’s role in doing that?

There’s a couple of things. One is there’s the site of care. Our role is offering an alternative site of care, either in our retail locations, or in the home with virtual connections. We’re entering into the primary care space because we believe that primary care has real significant influence over the cost of health care.

And I’m pretty passionate about the fact that the head is attached to the body, and most people experience behavioral health issues when they are experiencing physical health issues. We only deal with the physical health. We don’t deal with the behavioral health part, and I think there’s more we can do.

Healthcare Dive provides us with industry perspective on last week’s launch of TEFCA which is intended to vastly improve interoperability by linking together regional health information exchanges.

The goal of TEFCA is to get rid of individual legal agreements between health information networks, health plans, providers and other entities by instituting one common agreement that qualified networks and their participants sign onto, paring back on administrative burden. The framework standardizes the operational side of data exchange, while raising the privacy and security bar for entities that want to be certified as qualified health information networks (QHINs), groups of organizations that agree to the same data-sharing infrastructure. * * *

Getting a nationwide network of groups of organizations that agree to the same data-sharing infrastructure could significantly streamline patient care across different geographies.

For example, if a patient from Virginia takes a vacation to California and ends up in an emergency room, doctors currently do the best they can to treat them without their medical record, which can contain valuable information about preexisting conditions, allergies and other health factors. But with a nationwide QHIN infrastructure, clinicians can query all participating networks for that patient’s data and use it to inform their clinical choices, Barrett said.

That budding future all centers on buy-in. * * *

Many, including ONC, are optimistic on TEFCA adoption, citing the competitive disadvantages to nonparticipation.

The hope is that the more networks use it, the more its value proposition will be proved. Patients will inquire why their provider doesn’t have their data from other facilities, and the provider will then wonder why the exchanges it’s a participant in aren’t qualified to work with other networks, Lee Barrett, CEO of EHR standards development organization EHNAC said.

Thursday Miscellany

The American Hospital Association released its latest COVID Snapshot today.

Bloomberg adds that

The U.S. hospital-staffing shortage exacerbated by the latest Covid-19 wave is showing signs of easing, but many West Coast and rural states are still seeing the worst of it.

Over the past seven days, about 16.7% of U.S. hospitals have reported critical staffing shortages, down from a recent peak of 18.7% on Jan. 9, according to data from the Department of Health and Human Services. Fewer facilities are reporting shortages in populous New York, Florida and Illinois. 

The numbers are still concerning to state leaders, but are at least returning to the levels seen in October and November, before the omicron spike.

From the Covid treatment front —

The niftiest COVID news that the FEHBlog ran across today is this GoodRx website that provides “Live Updates on How to Find Paxlovid and Molnupiravir,” respectively the Pfizer and Merck Covid pills. Bookmark it.

From the COVID testing front —

SHRM brings us up to date on the unnecessarily rushed rollout of the federal government mandate that health plans cover over the counter Covid tests. Most plans did not have time to create in-network coverage because health plans do not cover OTC drugstor items except when mandated to do so.

From the COVID vaccine mandate front, FedWeek reports that

The impact of the Coronavirus vaccine mandate in terms of turnover in the federal workforce—either voluntary or not—remains largely anecdotal, although the largest agency, DoD has said there have been “no terminations yet.”

“We are still finalizing the guidance to the civilian force in that regard,” a Pentagon spokesman said late last week in a comment that seems to characterize the state of affairs in general.

From the Rx coverage front —

  • Drug Store News reports that

CVS Health is embarking on a collaboration with Uber Health, Uber’s healthcare arm, to provide critical transportation support at no cost to people who need it most when seeking access to medical care, work or educational programs.

The relationship is part of Health Zones, CVS Health’s new initiative that provides concentrated local investments designed to reduce health disparities and advance health equity in high-risk communities across the country. Health Zones is an integrated approach to addressing six key social determinants of health: housing, education, access to food, labor, transportation, and health care access. 

The Health Zones initiative is now active in five markets nationwide: Atlanta, Ga.; Columbus, Ohio; Fresno, Calif.; Hartford, Conn.; and Phoenix, Ariz. with plans to expand into more cities later this year. Working with trusted national and local partners, CVS Health is addressing community health care needs, ensuring at-risk communities have access to resources and opportunities that can help them thrive.

  • Fierce Healthcare tells us that

Mark Cuban Cost Plus Drug Company (MCCPDC) has launched its online pharmacy as part of an ongoing effort to provide consumers with low drug prices. 

The pharmacy claims to offer significant savings, with several prescription drugs reportedly at more than half the cost of the next most affordable option. For instance, leukemia treatment imatinib has a retail price of $9,657 a month, according to MCCPDC, compared to $120 with a common voucher. Its price through the new company, however, is just $47 per month.

The pharmacy’s initial inventory launch consists of 100 generic drugs. 

From the No Suprises Act front, Health Payer Intelligence discusses how the new law is likely to spur collaboration between providers and payers to improve the accuracy of provider directories. The FEHBlog has always thought the providers should post the a notice about the networks in which they participate at their offices and on their websites.

Midweek update

Photo by JOSHUA COLEMAN on Unsplash

In this morning’s New York Times, columnist David Leonhardt writes

Omicron appears to be in retreat, even if the official national data doesn’t yet reflect that reality. Omicron also appears to be mild in a vast majority of cases, especially for the vaccinated. This combination means that the U.S. may be only a few weeks away from the most encouraging Covid situation since early last summer, before the Delta variant emerged.

If that happens — and there is no guarantee it will, as Katherine Wu of The Atlantic explains — it will be time to ask how society can move back toward normalcy and reduce the harsh toll that pandemic isolation has inflicted, particularly on children and disproportionately on low-income children.

When should schools resume all activities? When should offices reopen? When should masks come off? When should asymptomatic people stop interrupting their lives because of a Covid exposure? Above all, when does Covid prevention do more harm — to physical and mental health — than good?

These are tricky questions, and they could often sound inappropriate during the Omicron surge. Now, though, the surge is receding.

Yes, indeed. Helen Branswell, writing in STAT News, offers an array of expert opinions on what could be next on the COVID front.

John Moore, a virologist at Weill Cornell Medical College, said a post-Omicron decrease in transmission “is certainly a plausible scenario,” suggesting it might take until late February or early March for most of the country to get there. But equally possible, he suggested, is that another variant will emerge, with the transmissibility of Omicron but without its reticence to replicate in the deep lungs [like Alpha and Delta did].

“This is where it’s all so freaking difficult. There are scenarios. You don’t know what the future’s going to hold. All these people who say ‘This is what’s going to happen.’ Well, this is what they think might happen, if they’re being honest,” he said.

While the situation remains unsettling, the FEHBlog thinks that Mr. Leonhardt’s thinking is on the right track.

From the masking front, the Wall Street Journal reports that

The Biden administration on Wednesday announced plans to make 400 million N95 masks available for free at pharmacies and community health centers across the country.

The move comes as President Biden has stepped up the federal government’s response to a nationwide surge in Covid-19 cases triggered by the highly transmissible Omicron variant. Some scientists and doctors have said popular single-layer cloth masks may not be sufficient to protect against Omicron and called on the administration to expand access to high-filtration masks such as N95s.

The nonsurgical N95 masks will start to be available at pharmacies and community health centers late next week and the program will be fully up and running by early February, the White House official said. The masks will be sourced from the Strategic National Stockpile, the nation’s safety net of medical-equipment supplies. * * *

Three masks will be available per person, the official said, to ensure broad access. Most of the pharmacies that are part of the federal pharmacy vaccine program will distribute the masks, the official said.

Following up on yesterday’s post on distribution of the Pfizer and Merck Covid pills, the New York Times offers a reporter’s saga of tracking down the Pfizer treatment for her ailing mother.

The fact that the process was so hard for a journalist whose job it is to understand how Paxlovid gets delivered is not encouraging. I worry that many patients or their family would give up when told “no” as many times as I was.

I was also reminded that even a “free” treatment can come with significant costs.

The federal government has bought enough Paxlovid for 20 million Americans, at a cost of about $530 per person, to be distributed free of charge. But I spent $256.54 getting the pills for my mother. I paid $39 for the telemedicine visit with the provider who told my mother that she would need to visit in person. The rest was the Uber fare and tip. Many patients and their families can’t afford that.

President Biden recently called the Pfizer pills a “game changer.” My experience suggests it won’t be quite so simple.

FEHB and other health plans hopefully are looking into helping their members navigate this complicate process.

From the COVID vaccine mandate front, Fierce Healthcare reports

All 50 states are now subject to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’ (CMS’) healthcare workforce mandate after a federal court tossed Texas’ lawsuit and preliminary injunction contesting the requirement.

Today’s dismissal comes less than a week after the Supreme Court removed a stay of the federal government’s industry-wide vaccine requirement in 24 states that opposed the policy. The Biden administration filed an appeal of Texas’ injunction the following day.

Although CMS’ requirement may now be enforced across the country, the agency has set varying compliance deadlines reflecting whether its initial interim final rule was enjoined in a particular state.

Healthcare Dive adds

Healthcare workers in the 24 states that legally challenged the requirement will now be on a different vaccine deadline than the rest of the nation. For these states, healthcare workers must be fully inoculated by March 15, CMS confirmed with Healthcare Dive.        

But for the healthcare workers in the other 25 states and D.C., which were not a part of the litigation, workers will need to be fully vaccinated by Feb. 28, per CMS.         

From the healthcare business front —

Healthcare Dive tells us that

UnitedHealth reiterated its 2022 enrollment targets for Medicare Advantage on Wednesday, easing recent concerns that rising competition could hamstring future growth in the fruitful market.

The forecast was released along with its fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 results. The Minnetonka, Minnesota-based healthcare behemoth also reported no serious change in utilization trends despite skyrocketing COVID-19 case counts due to the highly infectious omicron variant.

UnitedHealth beat Wall Street expectations on both earnings and revenue in the fourth quarter, with revenue of $73.7 billion, up 13% year over year, thanks in part to the outsized growth of its health services business Optum. Net earnings of $4.2 billion were almost double the $2.4 billion in profit brought in at the same time last year.

Healthcare Dive adds that

Antitrust regulators said Tuesday they are looking to modernize merger guidelines in an effort to crack down on tie-ups amid a flood of merger filings that has more than doubled in the past year.

Leaders of the Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice are launching a review of the current guidelines that are used to detect and analyze potentially unlawful mergers. Those policing guidelines have not been updated in 12 years, potentially excluding realities of a modern economy, leaders said.

To bring the guidelines up to date, the FTC and DOJ are calling on the public to submit information and new evidence, about the potential effects of mergers so the agencies can ultimately beef up tools to block anticompetitive deals.

From the Rx coverage front —

  • Drug Channels offers five takeaways from the Big Three PBM’s exclusion lists.
  • The Congressional Budget Office released a report titled “Prescription Drugs: Spending, Use, and Prices.”

In general healthcare news —

  • The American Medical Association discusses what drives Black maternal health inquities in the U.S.

Researchers at the University of Wisconsin-Madison have spent years making sure that their meditation app, called the Healthy Minds Program, passes clinical muster and delivers positive outcomes. Designing studies to test the app’s efficacy led Simon Goldberg, an assistant professor at UW, to confront the mountain of thousands of studies of different mobile mental health tools, including apps, text-message based support, and other interventions.

Researchers had taken the time to synthesize some of the studies, but it was hard, even for someone steeped in the science like Goldberg, to draw definitive conclusions about what works and what doesn’t. So Goldberg teamed up with a few other researchers and took a step back to see if they could put order to the work collected in these meta-analyses — a kind of deep meditation on the existing research inspired by UW’s meditation app.

The meta-review, published on Tuesday in PLOS Digital Health, examined 14 meta-analyses that focused specifically on randomized control trials for mental health interventions, including treatments for depression, anxiety, and smoking cessation. In total, the review included 145 trials that enrolled nearly 50,000 patients. The review found universal shortcomings in study design, leading the researchers to write that they “failed to find convincing evidence in support of any mobile phone-based intervention on any outcome.”

Ruh roh.