Monday Roundup

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From the Omnicron and siblings front —

The Wall Street Journal and STAT News consider when the Covid pandemic will be over in the United States in response to the President’s comment to a 60 Minutes interviewer Sunday night.

STAT News also offers an interview with the President’s science advisor Francis Collins, MD. Dr. Collins “revealed his pain at seeing people spurn mRNA Covid vaccines developed with breathtaking speed and lamented that he and other health officials failed to communicate the ever-changing science behind Covid recommendations.”

The Wall Street Journal adds

More than a year-and-a-half after the first Covid-19 vaccines became available, people are trickling in every day to get their first doses. 

As health officials and physicians roll out retooled boosters targeting substrains of the Omicron variant, federal data suggest there are still thousands of people a day getting shots of the original vaccines for the first time. 

All together, the seven-day average for adults getting first shots each day ranged between roughly 15,000 and 18,000 in late August, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 

The data can overestimate first-shot recipients, because there are times where the agency can’t link follow-up shots, including boosters, to people who received an initial series. The same effect can lead to an undercount of booster shots, according to the CDC.

People who recently got the first jab cited a range of reasons. Some said they were ordered to do so, such as to start a new job or travel for a vacation. Others waited until a vaccine using a more-traditional technology, instead of the newer mRNA versions, became available. Some went ahead after getting sick with Covid-19, or after a family member vouched that the shots worked. 

Perhaps this news will reassure Dr. Collins.

Moreover, Paxlovid helps people who contract Omicron whether or not they are vaccinated. However, STAT News cautions that advances in treating the sickest Covid patients have stalled since February 2021.

From January 2020 to February 2021, researchers proved four different effective therapies for patients hospitalized with Covid-19 — a lightning pace for drug research, where progress is often measured in decades.

That picture has changed starkly. Advances in treating the sickest Covid patients have stalled. Since February 2021, no new therapies for the hospitalized have emerged as decisively effective, even as over 2,000 patients continue to die daily around the globe, including 300 to 500 in the U.S. * * *

[The stall is due to the fact that m]ost trials have been too small to generate decisive results. Breakthroughs in treating hospitalized patients have come exclusively from large coordinated studies run by governments, NGOs, or consortiums, often testing multiple therapies at once. 

As severe Covid grows rarer, those large studies become harder to do. The U.K.’s landmark Recovery trial, which early on demonstrated steroids were effective and hydroxychloroquine was not, is still ongoing and has expanded to new countries. But it hasn’t issued results since May and hasn’t shown a new therapy was effective since 2021

Quite a conundrum.

In monkeypox news, Fierce Healthcare tells us

New cases of monkeypox are down 50% since early August, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention announced in a press briefing.

The nation’s seven-day average for new cases peaked on Aug. 10, with 461 cases, and on Sept. 14 was 170, according to federal health officials. Credit for the decrease was given to education and vaccination efforts.

“We approach this news with cautious optimism,” said Rochelle Walensky, M.D., director of the CDC, at a Sept. 15 press briefing. “We continue to closely monitor data on this outbreak, those at risk, and how prevention measures are being used.”

Walensky stated that while overall growth was down, geographical pockets of the U.S. still showed an increase in cases. Over 23,000 cases of the virus have been confirmed in the U.S. as of Sept. 16.

From the maternal health front, the American Hospital Association reports

An estimated 84% of pregnancy-related deaths in 36 states between 2017 and 2019 were preventable, according to a new Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report based on data from interdisciplinary committees that review deaths during and up to one year after pregnancy.

Among deaths with information on timing, 22% occurred during pregnancy, 25% on or within seven days of delivery, and 53% seven days to one year after pregnancy. The leading underlying causes of pregnancy-related death were cardiac and coronary conditions among Black people, mental health conditions among Hispanic and white people, and hemorrhage among Asian people.

The first data released under a CDC-funded program to support these Maternal Mortality Review Committees, the report “paints a much clearer picture of pregnancy-related deaths in this country,” said Wanda Barfield, M.D., director of CDC’s Division of Reproductive Health at the National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion. “The majority of pregnancy-related deaths were preventable, highlighting the need for quality improvement initiatives in states, hospitals, and communities that ensure all people who are pregnant or postpartum get the right care at the right time.”

From the healthcare costs front, Health Leaders Media discusses a Buck Consultants survey of health insurers and administrators finding rising costs in employer-sponsored plans.

In US healthcare business news –

The Wall Street Journal reports

A federal judge Monday ruled against a Justice Department antitrust challenge to UnitedHealth Group Inc.’s $13 billion acquisition of health-technology firm Change Healthcare Inc., rejecting government claims that the deal would unlawfully suppress competition and limit innovation in health-insurance markets.

U.S. District Judge Carl Nichols ruled for the companies in an opinion that he kept under seal for now because he said it “may contain competitively sensitive information.” The judge said he would release a redacted public version of the ruling in the coming days. In a one-page public order, he denied the Justice Department’s request to block the companies from completing the deal.

The lawsuit, filed in February, is an early blow to stepped-up antitrust enforcement by the Biden administration. The department didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

The decision is a triumph for UnitedHealth, which owns the largest U.S. health insurer and a healthcare operation that comprises thousands of doctors as well as clinics, surgery centers and other assets, along with a powerful conglomeration of health data.

Healthcare Dive adds

Humana expects to pay between $450 million and $550 million to acquire the first group of senior-focused primary care centers that it developed through a joint venture with Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe, Chief Financial Officer Susan Diamond said Friday during the insurer’s investor day.

The agreement inked with Welsh Carson in 2020 included options for Humana to acquire the private equity firm’s interest in the joint venture in stages over the next five to 10 years. The venture was expected to open 67 clinics by early 2023. “We are planning for the full acquisition of centers built in partnership with Welsh Carson through our put and call options beginning in 2025,” Diamond said.

In mid-May, Humana and Welsh Carson announced a second joint venture that will spend up to $1.2 billion to open about 100 new value-based primary care clinics for Medicare patients between 2023 and 2025 under the CenterWell Senior Primary Care brand.

From the Medicare front, STAT News relates

Chronic kidney disease, already a problem affecting millions of Americans, is only expected to become more prevalent as the country ages. For those with end-stage disease, a transplant is the ideal treatment, but dialysis is their reality. Hundreds of thousands of Americans flock to clinics three times a week to have their blood filtered through — in the absence of a functioning kidney — a machine.

As a medical treatment, dialysis is a stopgap measure that fails to fix a chronic problem (average life expectancy on dialysis is five to 10 years). As an industry, dialysis has significant flaws, including a lag in home dialysis use. Critics argue dialysis clinics have for decades shirked a responsibility to help patients get on the kidney transplant waitlist and receive organs from living donors — the gold standard. 

Now federal health officials are trying to fix those problems with a big policy experiment, using one of their biggest hammers: how dialysis providers are paid. 

That should get the dialysis providers’ attention.

From the National Institutes of Health front, the NIH Center for Alzheimer’s and Related Dementias issued an update on its work and operations.